Fiscal Year Return Projections for the United States: 2020–2027 - Publication 6292 - IRS

Sep 19, 2026

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Fiscal Year Return Projections for the United States: 2020–2027 presents IRS forecasts for the number of tax returns expected to be filed in FY 2020 through FY 2027. The projections are organized by major return categories and by business operating divisions, reflecting historical filing patterns and changes tied to economic and demographic trends, legislative requirements, and IRS administrative processes. The publication details data sources and the methodology used to compute calendar-year filing estimates, convert them to fiscal-year projections, and apply statistical models to extrapolate trends.

LanguageEnglish

CategoryPresentations

FormatPDF

Pages15

Reading Time5 min

AccessFree to download

Overview

Data Sources and Projections Methodology

Summary of Significant Trends

Accuracy of Prior Projections

Table 1. Fiscal Year Projections by Number of Returns, 2020–2027

Table 2. Selected Estimates by Business Operating Division, 2020–2027

Table 3. Accuracy Measures for Major Return Categories

Table Notes

Projection Publication Series

STATISTICS OF INCOME DIVISION RESEARCH, APPLIED ANALYTICS, AND STATISTICS Fiscal Year Return Projections for the United States: 2020–2027 Fall 2020 Projections of Federal Tax Return Filings [w w w . i r s . g o v / s t a t i s t i c s](w w w . i r s . g o v / s t a t i s t i c s) Publication 6292 (Rev. 9-2020) Catalog Number 59069P Department of the Treasury Internal Revenue Service [www.irs.gov/statistics](www.irs.gov/statistics) Publication 6292 (revised 9-2020) is a product of the IRS Statistics of Income Division within the Research, Applied Analytics, and Statistics organization. Department of the Treasury Internal Revenue Service Charles P. Rettig Commissioner -HႇUH\ -􀀑 7ULELDQR Deputy Commissioner for Operations Support Barry W. Johnson $FWLQJ &KLHI 5HVHDUFK DQG $QDO\WLFV 2ႈFHU Barry W. Johnson Director, Statistics of Income Division Laura R. Rasmussen Chief, Statistical Services Branch Timothy S. Castle Chief, Servicewide Support Section Fiscal Year Return Projections for the United States: 2020–2027 Publication 6292 Fall 2020 Suggested Citation Internal Revenue Service Research, Applied Analytics, and Statistics Statistics of Income Division Fiscal Year Return Projections for the United States Publication 6292 (Rev. 9-2020) Washington, D.C. 20224 Table of Contents (Fall 2020) Principal Contacts...................................................................................................................... iii Online Availability of Forecasts.................................................................................................. iii Overview..................................................................................................................................... 1 Data Sources and Projections Methodology .............................................................................. 1 Summary of 6LJQL¿FDQW 7UHQGV...................................................................................................2 Accuracy of Prior Projections .....................................................................................................2 Table 1. Fiscal Year Projections ofthe Number of Returns To Be Filed with IRS, 2020–2027 ................................................................................4 Table 2. Selected Fiscal Year Return Filing Estimates by Business Operating Division (BOD), 2020–2027.........................................................6 Table 3. Accuracy Measures for U.S. Forecasts of Major Return Categories........................................................................................................7 Table Notes................................................................................................................................. 8 Projection Publication Series........................................................................... Inside Back Cover (ii) Principal Contacts Questions or comments regarding these return forecasts, or related matters, can be directed to WKH FRUUHVSRQGLQJ VWDႇ PHPEHU OLVWHG EHORZ􀀑 | Business Returns | -Hႇ 0DWVXR
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Yan K. Liu | (202) 803-9363
(202) 803-9369
(202) 803-9357 | | --- | --- | --- | | Individual Returns (Estimated Tax, Extensions, and Amended) | 0LFKHOOH &KX
Andre Palmer Gordon Akudibillah Derrick Dennis
Andy J. Roche | (202) 803-9369
(202) 803-9368
(202) 803-9782
(202) 803-9337
(202) 803-9334 | | Other Comments or Questions | Andre Palmer
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(202) 803-9369 | Online Availability of Forecasts Forecasts from the most recent edition of this publication may be found on the IRS Internet site. The World Wide Web address [is:](is: www.irs.gov/statistics. From the Website)[ www.irs.gov/statistics](is: www.irs.gov/statistics. From the Website)[. From the Website](is: www.irs.gov/statistics. From the Website), select “All Topics” in the “Products, Pu

FAQs

What does IRS Publication 6292 forecast for FY 2020–FY 2027?

It forecasts the number of tax returns expected to be filed during FY 2020 through FY 2027. Forecasts are presented by major return categories and by business operating divisions.

Which organizations prepare these projections?

The projections are prepared semiannually by the Statistics of Income division within the IRS Research, Applied Analytics, and Statistics organization.

How are the projections methodology and data sources described in the publication?

The publication describes IRS data sources used for projection development and explains that fiscal-year forecasts are computed for the calendar year of filing and then converted to fiscal-year based on historical quarterly filing experience.

Sep 19, 2026

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