The Cancer Incidence and Trends From 2011 to 2018 in Ma’anshan, China - A Registry-Based Observational Study

Sep 21, 2026

Uploaded by Miles

China’s cancer burden has grown over recent decades, yet cancer incidence in Ma’anshan—a central city in the Yangtze River Delta—remained unclear. This registry-based observational study describes cancer incidence and temporal trends from 2011 to 2018 to inform preventive programs. Cancer incidence rates, age-standardized incidence rates, and AAPC were computed using registry data, with Joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort modeling for interpretable effects.

LanguageEnglish

CategoryResearch & Report

FormatPDF

Pages11

Reading Time28 min

AccessFree to download

Abstract

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Keywords

Introduction

Cancer burden and projections

Cancer registration in China

Study setting: Ma’anshan City

The Cancer Incidence and Trends From 2011 to 2018 in Ma’anshan, China: A Registry-Based Observational Study Cancer Control Volume 31: 1–11 © The Author(s) 2024 Article reuse guidelines: [sagepub.com/journals-permissions](sagepub.com/journals-permissions) [DOI: 10.1177/10732748241284537](DOI: 10.1177/10732748241284537)[ ](DOI: 10.1177/10732748241284537)[journals.sagepub.com/home/ccx](journals.sagepub.com/home/ccx) Qirong Qin, PhD 1,2,*, Yuxin Min, MPH3,4,*, Yijing Xie, MPH3, Chun Wang, BD 1, Yan Zhang, BD 1, Dandan Wu, BD 1, Jiahua Xu, MPH 1, Na Meng, BD 1, and Chen Suo, PhD3,5,6 􀀁 Abstract Background: The cancer burden in China has been increasing over the decades. However, the cancer incidence remains unknown in Ma’anshan, which is one of the central cities in the Yangtze River Delta in Eastern China. The study was designed to describe the cancer incidence and trends in Ma’anshan from 2011to 2018, providing information about cancer etiology that is useful for prevention programs. Methods: The cancer incidence rate and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) were calculated using the cancer registry data in Ma’anshan during 2011-2018. The average annual percentage change (AAPC) of the ASIR was analyzed by the Joinpoint regression analysis. Age, period, and cohort effects on cancer incidence were estimated through the age-period-cohort model. Results: There were 13,508 newly diagnosed cancer cases in males and 9558 in females in Ma’anshan during 2011-2018. The ASIR maintained a steady trend in both males and females. Age effects showed that cancer risk increased with age in both genders; no visible period effects were detected during this study period. Cohort effects changed slowly until the end of the 1950s, then started decreasing in males while increasing in females after 1960. Lung, gastric, female breast, colorectal, cervical, esophageal, liver, thyroid, lymphoma, and pancreatic cancer were the most common cancersin Ma’anshan during the study period. TheASIR of gastric cancer (AAPC: 􀀁3.72%), esophageal cancer (AAPC: 􀀁8.30%), and liver cancer (AAPC: 􀀁5.55%) declined, while that of female breast cancer (AAPC: 3.91%), colorectal cancer (AAPC: 3.23%), and thyroid cancer (AAPC: 22.38%) rose. Conclusion: During 2011-2018, the cancer incidence in Ma’anshan was lower than that in China, nation-wide. The incidence of upper gastrointestinal cancer decreased gradually while female breast, colorectal, and thyroid cancers showed an upward trend, consistent with the changes in the cancer spectrum in China. Further studies should be designed to discover the underlying causes of these ﬁndings. Keywords cancer incidence, joinpoint regression analysis, age-period-cohort model, cancer spectrum Received April 8, 2024. Received revised August 16, 2024. Accepted for publication August 28, 2024. 1 Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Management Department, Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Ma’anshan, China 2School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Anhui, China 3School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China 4Management Department of Scientiﬁc Research, Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai, China 5The principal investigator with no department or Institute, Fudan University Taizhou Institute of Health Sciences, Taizhou, China 6The principal investigator with no department or Institute, Shanghai Institute of Infectious Disease and Biosecurity, Shanghai, China *Joint ﬁrst authors: Contributed equally Corresponding Author: Chen Suo, PhD, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China. Email: [suochen@fudan.edu.cn](suochen@fudan.edu.cn) Creative Commons Non Commercial CC BY-NC: This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 License ([https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/](https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/)) which permits non-commercial use, repro

FAQs

What question does the study address about Ma’anshan’s cancer burden?

It characterizes cancer incidence and trends in Ma’anshan from 2011 to 2018, where population-level incidence had not been clearly known. The goal is to provide information useful for prevention programs.

How were cancer incidence rates and trends analyzed?

Incidence rates and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) were calculated from Ma’anshan registry data for 2011–2018. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) was assessed using Joinpoint regression, and age-period-cohort effects were estimated with an APC model.

What major patterns were found in cancer incidence over the study period?

ASIR showed a steady trend for both males and females. Risk increased with age in both genders, while no visible period effects were detected during the study window; cohort effects changed slowly and differed by sex.

Sep 21, 2026

Uploaded by Miles