Same as Ever: A Guide to What Never Changes

Jul 16, 2026

探讨“永不改变”的人生规律与思维法则，汇集关于韧性、稳定与变化的洞见。通过“落后于预期”“激励的力量”“故事胜过统计”“用复盘培养前瞻”“小事的复利效应”等主题，强调人类行为、风险、时间视角与心理过程的共通性，倡导在不确定中保持理性与长远判断。

LanguageEnglish

CategoryResearch & Report

FormatPDF

Pages223

Reading Time9 h 22 min

AccessFree to download

PORTFOLIO / PENGUIN An imprint of Penguin Random House LLC [penguinrandomhouse.com](penguinrandomhouse.com) Copyright © 2023 by Morgan Housel Penguin Random House supports copyright. Copyright fuels creativity, encourages diverse voices, promotes free speech, and creates a vibrant culture. Thank you for buying an authorized edition of this book and for complying with copyright laws by notreproducing, scanning, or distributing any part of it in any form without permission. You are supporting writers and allowing Penguin Random House to continue to publish books for every reader. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Housel, Morgan, author. Title: Same as ever : a guide to what never changes / Morgan Housel. Description: [New York, NY] : Portfolio/Penguin, [2023] | Includes bibliographical references. | Identifiers: LCCN 2023010800 (print) | LCCN 2023010801 (ebook) | ISBN 9780593332702 (hardcover) | ISBN 9780593716229 (international edition) | ISBN 9780593332719 (ebook) Subjects: LCSH: Resilience (Personality trait) | Stability. | Change. Classification: LCC BF698.35.R47 H656 2023 (print) | LCC BF698.35.R47 (ebook) | DDC 155.2/4—dc23/eng/20230624 LC record available at [https://lccn.loc.gov/2023010800](https://lccn.loc.gov/2023010800) LC ebook record available at [https://lccn.loc.gov/2023010801](https://lccn.loc.gov/2023010801) Cover design: Christopher Parker Cover image: Sumkinn / iStock / Getty Images Plus Book design by Jessica Shatan Heslin/Studio Shatan, Inc., adapted for ebook by Estelle Malmed pid_prh_6.1_145346964_c0_r0 For the reasonable optimists Our life is indeed the same as it ever was The same physiological and psychological processes that have been man’s for hundreds of thousands of years still endure. —CARL JUNG The wise in all ages have always said the same thing, and the fools, who at all times form the immense majority, have in their way, too, acted alike, and done just the opposite. —ARTHUR SCHOPENHAUER History never repeats itself; man always does. —VOLTAIRE I’ve learned an important trick: to develop foresight, you need to practice hindsight. —JANE MCGONIGAL The dead outnumber the living . . . fourteen to one, and we ignore the accumulated experience of such a huge majority of mankind at our peril. —NIALL FERGUSON 23 Little Stories about Things That Never Change Introduction The Little Laws of Life Hanging by a Thread If you know where we’ve been, you realize we have no idea where we’re going. Risk Is What You Don’t See We are very good at predicting the future, except for the surprises—which tend to be all that matter. Expectations and Reality The first rule of happiness is low expectations. Wild Minds People who think about the world in unique ways you like also think about the world in unique ways you won’t like. Wild Numbers People don’t want accuracy. They want certainty. Best Story Wins Stories are always

Jul 16, 2026

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