Recent history and projections - Real GDP growth, at constant market prices

Jul 19, 2026

This document presents a detailed overview of recent economic history and future projections for an unnamed country, focusing on key indicators such as Real GDP growth, inflation, current account balance, foreign direct investment, fiscal health, debt levels, poverty rates, and GHG emissions. The data spans from 2022 to 2027, with specific projections for 2025-2027 denoted by 'e' for estimate and 'f' for forecast. The report details GDP growth at both constant market and factor prices, breaking down the former into private consumption, government consumption, gross fixed capital investment, exports, and imports. Agriculture, industry, and services are specifically analyzed for their contribution to GDP growth at constant factor prices. Inflation is measured by the consumer price index. Financial indicators include the current account balance, net foreign direct investment inflow, fiscal balance, revenues, debt, and primary balance, all presented as percentages of GDP. Poverty rates are detailed for international, lower middle-income, and upper middle-income demographics, using 2021 Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) as a baseline. Finally, the document tracks Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions growth in metric tons of CO2 equivalent (mtCO2e). The source of the data is the World Bank, with specific emissions data from CAIT and OECD, and notes clarifying the methodologies for nowcasts and projections.

LanguageEnglish

CategoryResearch & Report

FormatPDF

Pages1

Reading Time3 min

AccessFree to download

Real GDP growth, at constant market prices

Private consumption

Government consumption

Gross fixed capital investment

Exports, goods and services

Imports, goods and services

Real GDP growth, at constant factor prices

Agriculture

Industry

Services

Inflation (consumer price index)

Current account balance (% of GDP)

Net foreign direct investment inflow (% of GDP)

Fiscal balance (% of GDP)

Revenues (% of GDP)

Debt (% of GDP)

Primary balance (% of GDP)

International poverty rate ($3.00 in 2021 PPP)1,2

Lower middle-income poverty rate ($4.20 in 2021 PPP)1,2

Upper middle-income poverty rate ($8.30 in 2021 PPP)1,2

GHG emissions growth (mtCO2e)

FAQs

What is the projected GDP growth rate for the next five years?

Real GDP growth at constant market prices is projected to be 5.3% in 2025, 5.4% in 2026, and 5.9% in 2027. Growth at constant factor prices is projected at 5.3% in 2025, 5.4% in 2026, and 5.9% in 2027.

How are poverty rates expected to change in the coming years?

The international poverty rate ($3.00 in 2021 PPP) is projected to decrease from 11.1% in 2024 to 10.7% in 2025 and 10.8% in 2026 and 11.0% in 2027. Lower middle-income poverty rates ($4.20 in 2021 PPP) are projected to fall from 26.9% in 2024 to 25.7% in 2025, 26.0% in 2026, and 26.2% in 2027. Upper middle-income poverty rates ($8.30 in 2021 PPP) are expected to decline from 72.1% in 2024 to 70.1% in 2025, 69.9% in 2026, and remain at 69.9% in 2027.

What are the projections for GHG emissions growth?

GHG emissions growth is projected to be 3.6 mtCO2e in 2025, 3.3 mtCO2e in 2026, and 3.4 mtCO2e in 2027. This follows a growth rate of 2.2% in 2022, 2.6% in 2023, and 2.4% in 2024.

Jul 19, 2026

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