Federation 2.0 - 10/14/2019-David Walker - Scenarios from an Alternate Universe

Aug 25, 2026

Uploaded by Sarah

Federation 2.0 scenarios examine future environments through four quadrants defined by resource availability (abundant or limited) and external political influence on academic endeavors (directed or autonomous). The document summarizes cautionary outcomes for each quadrant, then reframes them with positive markups to show what could produce beneficial results. It presents revised narratives where wise direction and community advocacy mitigate limited-resource challenges, and where public policy and research infrastructure enable recovery from disease, while political compromise threatens progress.

LanguageEnglish

CategoryStory & Novel

FormatPDF

Pages6

Reading Time9 min

AccessFree to download

Federation 2.0 Scenarios from an Alternate Universe

Quadrant-based scenario framework

Autonomous-Limited and Directed-Limited outcomes

Multiply and Divide (Directed-Limited)

Mission Accomplished (Directed-Abundant)

Federation 2.0 Scenarios from an Alternate Universe (10/14/2019-David Walker) The scenarios constructed for the Federation 2.0 effort tend to have a cautionary tone, often expressing negative outcomes within each of the working group’s four quadrants of potential future environments, based on the degree (abundant or limited) of resource availability and the degree that external (e.g. , political) issues affect academic endeavors (directed or autonomous) in each of these quadrants. This is an attempt to cast the scenarios with positive outcomes to highlight what might happen in each of those quadrants to result in those positive outcomes. The results are below as markups of the original scenarios. New text is in red, and removed text has been ~~struck-through~~. As one might expect, it’s hard to do well with limited resources. In fact, I couldn’t think of any practical way to improve the outcomes of the I Will Survive (Autonomous-Limited) scenario. Multiply and Divide (Directed-Limited), though, shows the benefit of wise Direction in the face of limited resources. To mitigate the negative aspects of the Directed scenarios, wise policies and community advocacy are valuable. Multiply and Divide (Directed-Limited) It wasn’t always like this, I was educated as a chemical economist . During “the before” I studied like everyone else, and was excited about doing research to figuring out how companies had benefited from our current environment. We were so young and naive. We were completely taken by surprise by “the freedom”. Everything was taken away from us- “the others” closed themselves off and we were left with nothing.. There was no more money to do any researcheverything was about survival, and you couldn’t think about anything else. My dreams about a future in the agri-chemical industry turned to survival. I knew that life could be better, so I ran for office with the goal of making our world better. I got to work in the Government creating a system of policies, applications, and processes that helped to make basic living easier. It completely worked-the systems anticipates practically every need. My colleagues were brilliant in pulling this all together. Now students are trained in the system at an early age, and are taught how to be creative and innovative in making things even better for us. They learn how to analyze data and how to use this system to improve things, how to develop processes and policies to make our lives even easier. All research and education is designed to benefit us. My daughter, Else, and her friend Rasmus were educated in this system. Rasmus has been working on a cure for this terrible disease that has been plaguing our country over the past 5 years. We are definitely in a much better place now~~-who needs ~~“~~the others”?~~ ; even “the others” have largely recognized the value of working together. But yesterday, Else told me about a really disturbing situation. She and Rasmus have been doing some side analysis based on some resources that she found at the library where she works. They have found that one of my colleagues in the government has been compromising our opportunity to cure the disease that has been challenging our citizens. There is a plant that only grows in the Solmstas region. It seems that the reason that this region is so special is because of the composition of the soil which is rich in a lithium cobalt salt-a rare substance that can be used in advanced battery technology. The Minister for Agriculture apparently has created a side deal with a coalition of remaining “~~the~~ others” to mine this area. Even more disturbing is that it looks like they have done it for their own financial benefit. All of my work to make our country and lives better ~~is likely to~~ could be compromised because of their greed. Luckily, though, the policies we created, coupled with the increasingly strong community support (particularly from former “others”), should be sufficient to repla

FAQs

Federation 2.0 的情景分析如何划分四个未来象限？

以两项因素划分：资源充足或稀缺，以及外部（如政治）因素对学术工作的影响方式是“定向”还是“自主”。四象限据此展开不同的未来环境。

文中如何解释在资源有限情况下仍可能出现积极结果？

文本强调有限资源下难以获得理想结局，但在定向（Directed）条件下，通过明智的方向、政策与社区倡导，可以缓解负面影响并推动更好的结果。

“Mission Accomplished (Directed-Abundant)” 这一情景的关键行动是什么？

为解决能源危机，AllGood 联合多方投资融合研究，并通过全球建立研究中心和学习体系来培养数字化人才；同时在关键突破出现后快速公开核心发现，防止关键知识被敌对政府掌握。

Aug 25, 2026

Uploaded by Sarah