Burkina Faso Country Partnership Framework - Streamlined Country Diagnostic (SCD) 2024 - Binding Constraints and Policy Priorities

Jul 19, 2026

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Burkina Faso’s Streamlined Country Diagnostic (SCD) 2024 identifies binding constraints and policy priorities through conflict-sensitive analysis and consultations. It updates the 2017 SCD, focusing on developments since 2015, including a worsening security context, deepening fragility, insufficient productive jobs, and underdeveloped human capital. The diagnostic evaluates feasibility and risks related to achieving high-level outcomes, linking insecurity to displacement, food insecurity, service delivery gaps, and constrained public investment despite ongoing macroeconomic growth.

LanguageEnglish

CategoryResearch & Report

FormatPDF

Pages12

Reading Time30 min

V. Streamlined Country Diagnostic (SCD)

An Increasingly Difficult Country Context

Drivers of Fragility and Social-Economic Impacts

Economic Output, Per Capita Growth, and Shocks

Fiscal Deficits and Public Investment Constraints

Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Burkina Faso Country Partnership Framework FY26-FY31 V. Streamlined Country Diagnostic (SCD) The Burkina Faso Streamlined Country Diagnostic (SCD) 2024 identifies binding constraints and policy priorities through extensive analysis and conflict-sensitive consultations.2 Updating the 2017 SCD, it examines developments since 2015 (Chapter 1), identifies three constraints—deepening fragility, lack of productive jobs, and underdeveloped human capital (Chapter 2)—details priorities (Chapters 3–5), and assesses feasibility/risks and the achievement of high-level outcomes (HLOs) .3 An Increasingly Difficult Country Context (Chapter 1) The security situation in Burkina Faso has worsened, with increasing violence and political instability. Since the 2014 popular uprising, overthrowing President Compaoré after a rule of 27 years, the country has faced recurrent instability and violence, peaking in 2022 with two coups d’état within nine months. Transitional governments have responded by mobilizing paramilitaries and increasing security spending. By the end of 2023, reported fatalities from security incidents reached about 8,500 for the year. Following the two coups, Burkina Faso left the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and established the Confederation of Sahel States (AES) together with Niger and Mali. Figure ES.1 Rising and unevenly distributed fatalities have led to widespread school closures (A) Number of reported fatalities caused by (B) School closures by province, May 2023 security incidents in Burkina Faso, 2015–2024* 9000 ~~ ~~8000 ~~ ~~7000 ~~ ~~6000 ~~ ~~5000 ~~ ~~4000 ~~ ~~3000 ~~ ~~2000 ~~ ~~1000 ~~ ~~0 ~~ ~~2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024* Source: ACLED 2024; Ministère de l’Education Nationale, de l’Alphabétisation et de la Promotion des Langues Nationales du Burkina Faso 2023a. Note: Panel (A) considers data until 11 October 2024. The country’s fragility is driven by three key factors: competition for natural resources, challenges with land management, and the expansion of artisanal gold mining, all worsened by climate change. 2 Consultations included: government, private sector, civil society, academics, traditional leaders, youth/women’s groups, organizations of persons with disabilities, and development partners. Inputs elevated security/IDP integration, balanced urban/rural service, and sharpened land governance/justice preconditions. 3 Prioritization criteria (per WBG SCD guidance): (a) likely impact on ending extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity—with a strong emphasis on expanding productive jobs; (b) whether the constraint addresses essential preconditions and urgent basic needs (e.g., safety, food security, education, health); (c) complementary benefits across inequality, growth, and climate resilience; (d) strength of the evidence; and (e) balance of short‑term results and longer‑horizon impacts. Near‑term feasibility and political economy considerations inform sequencing and risk management but are not used as an additional filter that excludes high‑impact long‑term priorities. As insecurity worsened, communities responded in three ways: (a) moving to urban areas; (b) making survival pacts with non-state actors when besieged; and (c) allying with government forces, particularly the Volunteers for the Defense of the Homeland (VDP) . Weak service delivery and local governance exacerbate grievances against institutions and hinder a positive State presence, as evidenced by widespread lack of access to education, water, health, and electricity services outside the capital region. Fragility has led to significant social and economic costs. Acute insecurity is closely linked to internal displacement and food insecurity. Between 2018 and 2023, fatalities from security incidents increased 28-fold, food-insecure people rose sevenfold, and internally displaced persons (IDPs) incr

FAQs

What does the Streamlined Country Diagnostic (SCD) 2024 for Burkina Faso analyze?

It identifies binding constraints and policy priorities using extensive, conflict-sensitive analysis and consultations, updating the 2017 SCD and covering developments since 2015.

What are the three main constraints highlighted by the SCD 2024?

They are deepening fragility, lack of productive jobs, and underdeveloped human capital.

How does worsening insecurity affect society and the economy?

It is closely linked to internal displacement and food insecurity, increases fatalities, reduces access to key services, and raises defense/security spending that crowds out public investment and growth.

Jul 19, 2026

Upload by Ezra