Acreage Response and Price Fluctuation of Rice in Bangladesh - Vol. 3, No. 1 - 22-39 - 2019

Sep 18, 2026

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Study examines annual price fluctuation and acreage response of rice in Bangladesh using time-series data from 1981-82 to 2010-11. Acreage response is estimated with the Nerlovian Partial Adjustment Model. Growth rates of area, production, yield, and nominal price are calculated via an exponential trend function, alongside annual fluctuation in nominal and real prices across three rice seasons. Aus, Aman, and Boro show the highest price fluctuations in sub-period II (1991-92 to 2000-01), and yields rise significantly. Findings support developing farmer field-oriented policies for high yield and stable markets.

LanguageEnglish

CategoryResearch & Report

FormatPDF

Pages18

Reading Time45 min

AccessFree to download

Introduction

Bangladesh agriculture context

Food security and agricultural sector challenges

Study focus on rice price and acreage response

Acreage Response and Price Fluctuation of Rice in Bangladesh International Journal of Pure Agricultural Advances Vol. 3, No. 1, 22-39, 2019 e-ISSN: 2523-9538 (۞ Corresponding Author) Md Forhed Bin Khalique 1 Md Moniruzzaman2 Sarker Md Touhiduzzaman3 ۞ Md Shahidul Islam4 Hilarius Murmu5 Elizabeth Rozario6 Md Harun Or Rashid7 1,2Department of Agribusiness & Marketing, Bangladesh Agricultural University, Mymensingh, Bangladesh. 3Department of Poultry Nutrition and Feed Science, Yangzhou University, Jiangsu, China. 4Department of Plant Pathology, Yunnan Agricultural University, Kunming, China. 5,6College of Economics & Management, Yunnan Agricultural University, Kunming, China. 7Department of Management, University of Dhaka, Dhaka, Bangladesh. ABSTRACT The aim at the study is to examine the annual price fluctuation, and acreage response of rice in Bangladesh using the time series data for the period 1981-82 to 2010-11. Acreage response was estimated within the Nerlovian Partial Adjustment Model. The study estimates the growth rate of the area, production, yield and nominal price of rice and annual fluctuation on nominal and real prices of all the three rice seasons. The study was based on secondary data. Price fluctuation of Aus rice for nominal and real price was highest (-26.6 to 46.9) and (-29.4 to 37.2) in sub-period II (1991-92 to 2000-01) . The fluctuation in nominal and real price of Aman rice was also highest (-27.0 to 40.7) and (-29.7 to 29.2) in the sub-period II (1991-92 to 2000-01) . The fluctuation in nominal and real Boro rice price was also highest (-48.5 to 28.5) and (-34.4 to 28.4) in the sub-period II (1991-92 to 2000- 01) . Growth rates of area, production, yield and nominal price of three seasons of rice were estimated by fitting exponential trend function. Growth rates of area which were significantly negative for Aus, Aman that were-4.6 percent and-0.3 percent and positive for Boro rice it was 4.5 percent over the whole period. The growth rates of yield for Aus, Aman, and Boro were increased significantly at the rate of 2.2, 1.9 and 1.9 percent respectively during the entire time period. Farmer’s field-oriented policy should be developed for high yield and stable market. Keywords: Rice cultivation, Agricultural marketing, Agricultural economics, Agribusiness, Price determination, Price elasticity. DOI: 10.20448/813.31.22.39 Citation | Md Forhed Bin Khalique; Md Moniruzzaman; Sarker Md Touhiduzzaman; Md Shahidul Islam; Hilarius Murmu; Elizabeth Rozario; Md Harun Or Rashid (2019) . Acreage Response and Price Fluctuation of Rice in Bangladesh. International Journal of Pure Agricultural Advances, 3(1): 22-39. Copyright: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License Funding: This study received no specific financial support. Competing Interests: The authors declare that they have no competing interests. History: Received: 8 August 2019/ Revised: 12 September 2019/ Accepted: 15 October 2019/ Published: 28 November 2019 Publisher: Online Science Publishing Highlights ofthis paper • This study intends to examine the annual price fluctuation and acreage response of rice. • The fluctuation in the fluctuationd real price of Aman rice was also highest (-27.0 to 40.7) and (-29.7 to 29.2) in the sub-period II (1991-92 to 2000-01) . • Farmer’s field-oriented policy should be developed for high yield and stable market. 1. INTRODUCTION Bangladesh is a developing country having an area of 1, 47,570 square kilometers and the pressure of growth of the population expands demand for the food and other basic needs day by day (BBS, 2007). Rapid population growth increased food demand, and urbanization are exerting tremendous pressure on agricultural land, making it an increasingly scarce resource (Sarker, 2016a) . Agricultural land is being transformed into non-agricultural (1 percent) uses that hamper agricultural production (Barmon and Chaud

FAQs

What are the study’s main objectives?

To analyze annual price fluctuation and acreage response of rice in Bangladesh, using 1981-82 to 2010-11 time-series data.

How is acreage response modeled in the study?

Acreage response is estimated using the Nerlovian Partial Adjustment Model.

Which period shows the highest price fluctuation for each rice season?

For Aus, Aman, and Boro, the highest nominal and real price fluctuations occur in sub-period II (1991-92 to 2000-01).

What does the study suggest for policy and production?

It recommends developing farmer field-oriented policies to achieve high yield and a stable market.

Sep 18, 2026

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