[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"doc-seo-184956-113":3,"detail-sidebar-cat-0-id-113":81,"doc-detail-184956-id":128},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"ok",{"site_id":7,"language":8,"slug":9,"title":10,"keywords":11,"description":12,"schema_data":13,"social_meta":74,"head_meta":76,"extra_data":78,"updated_unix":80},113,"id","random-number-generation-and-monte-carlo-simulation-for-new-student-admissions-at-sd-telkom-padang","Pembangkitan Bilangan Acak dan Simulasi Monte Carlo Penerimaan Peserta Didik Baru SD Telkom Padang","","Dokumen menyajikan perhitungan pembangkitan bilangan acak menggunakan metode congruential dengan rumus Ne+1 = (u*Ne + s) mod i serta contoh substitusi parameter U=19, N0=20, S=24, dan i=99 untuk memperoleh deret N(e+1). Hasil deret acak kemudian digunakan untuk menyusun distribusi dan interval secara kumulatif, dilanjutkan dengan simulasi Monte Carlo penerimaan peserta didik baru SD Telkom Padang pada beberapa tahun ajaran. Akurasi dibandingkan dengan data real, menghasilkan persentase rata-rata sekitar 84% untuk 2020-2021, 81% untuk 2022-2023, serta simulasi lanjutan untuk 2023-2024.",{"@graph":14,"@context":73},[15,34,56],{"@type":16,"itemListElement":17},"BreadcrumbList",[18,23,27,31],{"item":19,"name":20,"@type":21,"position":22},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",1,{"item":24,"name":25,"@type":21,"position":26},"https://docshare.wps.com/id/document/","Document",2,{"item":28,"name":29,"@type":21,"position":30},"https://docshare.wps.com/id/document/penelitian-laporan/","Penelitian & Laporan",3,{"item":32,"name":10,"@type":21,"position":33},"https://docshare.wps.com/id/document/random-number-generation-and-monte-carlo-simulation-for-new-student-admissions-at-sd-telkom-padang/184956/",4,{"url":32,"name":10,"@type":35,"image":36,"author":41,"headline":10,"publisher":44,"fileFormat":47,"inLanguage":8,"description":12,"dateModified":48,"datePublished":49,"encodingFormat":47,"isAccessibleForFree":50,"interactionStatistic":51},"DigitalDocument",{"url":37,"@type":38,"width":39,"height":40},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/random-number-generation-and-monte-carlo-simulation-for-new-student-admissions-at-sd-telkom-padang/184956.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":42,"@type":43},"Connor ","Person",{"url":19,"name":45,"@type":46},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-10-07","2026-09-02",true,{"@type":52,"interactionType":53,"userInteractionCount":55},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":54},"ViewAction",6,{"@type":57,"mainEntity":58},"FAQPage",[59,65,69],{"name":60,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":62},"Bagaimana rumus pembangkitan bilangan acak pada dokumen ini?","Question",{"text":63,"@type":64},"Dokumen menggunakan rumus Ne+1 = (u*Ne + S) mod i, dengan syarat u dan s \u003C i serta N0 > 0. Parameter yang digunakan ditentukan pada bagian contoh perhitungan.","Answer",{"name":66,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":67},"Bagaimana hasil bilangan acak dibandingkan dengan data real penerimaan peserta didik?",{"text":68,"@type":64},"Angka acak yang dibangkitkan dipakai untuk membentuk data simulasi per bulan. Persentase dihitung dengan membandingkan data simulasi terhadap data real pada tahun ajaran yang sama.",{"name":70,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":71},"Berapa akurasi rata-rata simulasi Monte Carlo yang dilaporkan untuk tahun ajaran yang dicakup?",{"text":72,"@type":64},"Untuk 2020-2021 dilaporkan rata-rata akurasi sekitar 84%, sedangkan untuk 2022-2023 rata-rata sekitar 81%. Persentase per bulan juga ditampilkan pada tabel hasil simulasi.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":32,"og:type":75,"og:title":10,"og:site_name":45,"og:description":12},"article",{"robots":77,"canonical":32},"index,follow",{"doc_id":79,"site_id":7},184956,1788365067,{"code":4,"msg":82,"data":83},"success",[84,89,93,97,101,105,108,112,116,120,124],{"id":85,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":86,"show_sort_weight":87,"slug":88},55,"Agama & Spiritualitas",60,"religion-spirituality",{"id":90,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":91,"show_sort_weight":87,"slug":92},48,"Cerita & Novel","story-novel",{"id":94,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":95,"show_sort_weight":87,"slug":96},56,"Gaya Hidup","lifestyle",{"id":98,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":99,"show_sort_weight":87,"slug":100},51,"Komik","comic",{"id":102,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":103,"show_sort_weight":87,"slug":104},53,"Layanan Kesehatan","healthcare",{"id":106,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":29,"show_sort_weight":87,"slug":107},54,"research-report",{"id":109,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":110,"show_sort_weight":87,"slug":111},49,"Sastra","literature",{"id":113,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":114,"show_sort_weight":87,"slug":115},52,"Teknologi","technology",{"id":117,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":118,"show_sort_weight":87,"slug":119},50,"Ujian","exam",{"id":121,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":122,"show_sort_weight":87,"slug":123},57,"Umum","general",{"id":125,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":126,"show_sort_weight":4,"slug":127},181,"Formulir","formulir",{"code":4,"msg":82,"data":129},{"doc_id":79,"user_id":130,"nickname":42,"user_avatar":131,"doc_module":4,"category_id":106,"category_name":29,"doc_title":10,"doc_description":12,"doc_content":132,"file_id":133,"file_url":134,"file_type":135,"file_size":136,"view_count":55,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":22,"is_downloadable":22,"audit_status":22,"page_count":55,"language":137,"language_code":8,"site_id":7,"html_lang":8,"table_of_contents":138,"faqs":139,"seo_title":140,"seo_description":12,"update_tm":80,"read_time":141},687207022233,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_155a257f0dc6eb9ab79c44ca47cae57d","| No | Bulan\u003Cbr>Pendaftaran | Frekuensi (Orang) |  |  |\n| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |\n|  |  | 2020-2021 | 2021-2022 | 2022-2023 |\n| 1 | September | 20 | 19 | 17 |\n| 2 | Oktober | 36 | 22 | 28 |\n| 3 | November | 20 | 25 | 32 |\n| 4 | Desember | 22 | 23 | 26 |\n| 5 | Januari | 19 | 14 | 17 |\n| 6 | Februari | 7 | 12 | 15 |\n|  | Jumlah | 124 | 115 | 135 |\n\n\n| No | Bulan Pendaftaran | Frekuensi\u003Cbr>2020-2021 | Distribusi\u003Cbr>Probabilitas |\n| --- | --- | --- | --- |\n| 1 | September | 20 | 0,16 |\n| 2 | Oktober | 36 | 0,29 |\n| 3 | November | 20 | 0,16 |\n| 4 | Desember | 22 | 0,18 |\n| 5 | Januari | 19 | 0,15 |\n| 6 | Februari | 7 | 0,06 |\n|  | Jumlah | 124 | 1,00 |\n\n\n| No | Bulan\u003Cbr>Pendaftaran | Frekuensi\u003Cbr>2020-2021 | Distribusi\u003Cbr>Probabilitas | Distribusi\u003Cbr>Kumulatif |\n| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |\n| 1 | September | 20 | 0,16 | 0,16 |\n| 2 | Oktober | 36 | 0,29 | 0,45 |\n| 3 | November | 20 | 0,16 | 0,61 |\n| 4 | Desember | 22 | 0,18 | 0,79 |\n| 5 | Januari | 19 | 0,15 | 0,94 |\n| 6 | Februari | 7 | 0,06 | 1,00 |\n|  | Jumlah | 124 | 1,00 |  |\n\n\n| No | Bulan\u003Cbr>Pendaftaran | Fr\u003Cbr>2020-\u003Cbr>2021 |  | Np | Nk | Interval |  |  |\n| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |\n|  |  |  |  |  |  | Awal |  | Akhir |\n| 1 | September | 20 |  | 0,16 | 0,16 | 1 |  | 16 |\n| 2 | Oktober | 36 |  | 0,29 | 0,45 | 17 |  | 45 |\n| 3 | November | 20 |  | 0,16 | 0,61 | 46 |  | 61 |\n| 4 | Desember | 22 |  | 0,18 | 0,79 | 62 |  | 79 |\n| 5 | Januari | 19 |  | 0,15 | 0,94 | 80 |  | 94 |\n| 6 | Februari | 7 |  | 0,06 | 1,00 | 95 |  | 100 |\n|  | Jumlah | 124 |  | 1,00 |  |  |  |  |\n| e. Memasukan variabel dan membangkitkan bilangan acak.\u003Cbr>Ne+1 = ( u * Ne + S ) mod i (3)\u003Cbr>Dengan syarat u, s \u003C i, N0 > 0\u003Cbr>Pada Ne merupakan bilangan awal yang ditentukan, merupakan konstanta perkalian, s merupakan konstantapenambahan, mod merupakan modulus dan i adalah batasan nilai bilangan acak. Diketahui: U = 19 ; N0 = 20 ; S = 24 ; i = 99\u003Cbr>N(1) = (19 * 20 + 24) mod 99 = (380 + 24) mod 99 = 404 mod 99 = 8\u003Cbr>N(2) = (19 * 8 + 24) mod 99 = (152 + 24) mod 99 = 176 mod 99 = 77\u003Cbr>N(3) = (19 * 77 + 24) mod 99 = (1463 + 24) mod 99 = 1487 mod 99 = 2\u003Cbr>N(4) = (19 * 2 + 24) mod 99 = (38 + 24) mod 99 = 62 mod 99 = 62\u003Cbr>N(5) = (19 * 62 + 24) mod 99 = (1178 + 24) mod 99 = 1202 mod 99 = 14\u003Cbr>N(6) = (19 * 14 + 24) mod 99 = (266 + 24) mod 99 = 290 mod 99 = 92\u003Cbr>Tabel 5. Pembangkitan Bilangan Acak |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |\n| No | Bulan\u003Cbr>Pendaftaran | e | Ne |  | (U*Ne+S) |  | N(e+1)=\u003Cbr>(U*Ne+S)\u003Cbr>mod 99 |  |\n| 1 | September | 0 | 20 |  | 404 |  | 8 |  |\n| 2 | Oktober | 1 | 8 |  | 176 |  | 77 |  |\n| 3 | November | 2 | 77 |  | 1487 |  | 2 |  |\n| 4 | Desember | 3 | 2 |  | 62 |  | 62 |  |\n| 5 | Januari | 4 | 62 |  | 1202 |  | 14 |  |\n| 6 | Februari | 5 | 14 |  | 290 |  | 92 |  |\n\n\n| No | Bulan\u003Cbr>Pendaftaran | Angka\u003Cbr>Acak | Data\u003Cbr>Simulasi\u003Cbr>2021-\u003Cbr>2022 | Data\u003Cbr>Real\u003Cbr>2022-\u003Cbr>2022 | Persentase |\n| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |\n| 1 | September | 8 | 20 | 19 | 95% |\n| 2 | Oktober | 77 | 22 | 22 | 100% |\n| 3 | November | 2 | 20 | 25 | 80% |\n| 4 | Desember | 62 | 22 | 23 | 96% |\n| 5 | Januari | 14 | 20 | 14 | 70% |\n| 6 | Februari | 92 | 19 | 12 | 63% |\n|  |  | Rata-rata |  |  | 84% |\n| Tabel 6 menampilkan hasil simulasi Monte Carlopenerimaan peserta didik baru SD Telkom Padang tahun ajaran 2020-2021 didapatkan dari angka acak yang telah dibangkitkan mendapatkan tingkat akurasirata-rata 84% .\u003Cbr>Tabel 7 . Hasil Simulasi Monte Carlo Penerimaan Peserta Didik Baru SD Telkom Padang Tahun Ajaran 2022-2023 |  |  |  |  |  |\n| No | Bulan\u003Cbr>Pendaftaran | Angka\u003Cbr>Acak | Data\u003Cbr>Simulasi\u003Cbr>2022-\u003Cbr>2023 | Data\u003Cbr>Real\u003Cbr>2022-\u003Cbr>2023 | Persentase |\n| 1 | September | 8 | 19 | 17 | 89% |\n| 2 | Oktober | 77 | 23 | 28 | 82% |\n| 3 | November | 2 | 19 | 32 | 59% |\n| 4 | Desember | 62 | 23 | 26 | 88% |\n| 5 | Januari | 14 | 19 | 17 | 89% |\n| 6 | Februari | 92 | 12 | 15 | 80% |\n| Rata-rata 81% |  |  |  |  |  |\n\n\n| No | Bulan\u003Cbr>Pendaftaran | Angka Acak | Data Simulasi\u003Cbr>2023-2024 |","cbCaijYLJH8OoNBF","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaijYLJH8OoNBF","pdf",470128,"Indonesian","# Distribusi Probabilitas Pendaftaran Peserta Didik\n## Frekuensi dan Probabilitas 2020-2021\n## Distribusi Kumulatif\n## Pembangkitan Bilangan Acak dengan Metode Congruential\n# Simulasi Monte Carlo Penerimaan Peserta Didik Baru\n## Tabel Hasil Simulasi dan Akurasi (2021-2022)\n## Tabel Hasil Simulasi dan Akurasi (2022-2023)\n## Simulasi Lanjutan (2023-2024)","[{\"question\":\"Bagaimana rumus pembangkitan bilangan acak pada dokumen ini?\",\"answer\":\"Dokumen menggunakan rumus Ne+1 = (u*Ne + S) mod i, dengan syarat u dan s \\u003c i serta N0 \\u003e 0. Parameter yang digunakan ditentukan pada bagian contoh perhitungan.\"},{\"question\":\"Bagaimana hasil bilangan acak dibandingkan dengan data real penerimaan peserta didik?\",\"answer\":\"Angka acak yang dibangkitkan dipakai untuk membentuk data simulasi per bulan. Persentase dihitung dengan membandingkan data simulasi terhadap data real pada tahun ajaran yang sama.\"},{\"question\":\"Berapa akurasi rata-rata simulasi Monte Carlo yang dilaporkan untuk tahun ajaran yang dicakup?\",\"answer\":\"Untuk 2020-2021 dilaporkan rata-rata akurasi sekitar 84%, sedangkan untuk 2022-2023 rata-rata sekitar 81%. Persentase per bulan juga ditampilkan pada tabel hasil simulasi.\"}]","Pembangkitan Bilangan Acak dan Simulasi Monte Carlo Penerimaan Peserta Didik Baru SD Telkom Padang | PDF",9]