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Regional Patterns in Early Transfer in Ontario Post-Secondary Education","","Research examines transfer student flows in Ontario post-secondary education, focusing on regional dynamics beyond the common college-to-university transition lens. Using newly created administrative linkages from Statistics Canada’s Education and Labour Market Linkage Platform, the study maps transfer magnitudes across the province and models predictors of within- and cross-region transfers. Results show students starting in the provincial north are more likely to leave their region, and addressing imbalances could help retain human capital.",{"@graph":69,"@context":122},[70,84,105],{"@type":71,"itemListElement":72},"BreadcrumbList",[73,77,79,82],{"item":74,"name":75,"@type":76,"position":8},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":78,"name":9,"@type":76,"position":14},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/",{"item":80,"name":40,"@type":76,"position":81},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":83,"name":65,"@type":76,"position":19},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/where-did-they-go-regional-patterns-in-early-transfer-in-ontario-post-secondary-education/597033/",{"url":83,"name":65,"@type":85,"image":86,"author":91,"headline":65,"publisher":94,"fileFormat":97,"inLanguage":63,"description":67,"dateModified":98,"datePublished":99,"encodingFormat":97,"isAccessibleForFree":100,"interactionStatistic":101},"DigitalDocument",{"url":87,"@type":88,"width":89,"height":90},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/where-did-they-go-regional-patterns-in-early-transfer-in-ontario-post-secondary-education/597033.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":92,"@type":93},"Rainbow Cat","Person",{"url":74,"name":95,"@type":96},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-10-29","2026-10-15",true,{"@type":102,"interactionType":103,"userInteractionCount":24},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":104},"ViewAction",{"@type":106,"mainEntity":107},"FAQPage",[108,114,118],{"name":109,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":111},"What gap does the study address about transfer student flows?","Question",{"text":112,"@type":113},"It examines regional dimensions of transfer flows in Ontario rather than focusing almost exclusively on transitions between colleges and universities.","Answer",{"name":115,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":116},"Which data source and method does the study use?",{"text":117,"@type":113},"It uses novel administrative linkages from Statistics Canada’s Education and Labour Market Linkage Platform (ELMLP) to map transfer flows and statistically model transfer predictors.",{"name":119,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":120},"What do the findings indicate about students starting in northern Ontario?",{"text":121,"@type":113},"Students commencing studies in the provincial north are more likely to transfer out of their region, suggesting geographic imbalances that may affect retention of human capital.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":83,"og:type":124,"og:title":65,"og:site_name":95,"og:description":67},"article",{"robots":126,"canonical":83},"index,follow",{"doc_id":128,"site_id":62},597033,1792164946,{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":131},{"doc_id":128,"user_id":132,"nickname":92,"user_avatar":133,"doc_module":4,"category_id":39,"category_name":40,"doc_title":65,"doc_description":67,"doc_content":134,"file_id":135,"file_url":136,"file_type":137,"file_size":138,"view_count":24,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":8,"is_downloadable":8,"audit_status":8,"page_count":139,"language":140,"language_code":63,"site_id":62,"html_lang":63,"table_of_contents":141,"faqs":142,"seo_title":143,"seo_description":67,"update_tm":144,"read_time":145,"preview_page_count":4},962090769181,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_6f874abed73319feea01a86fa6f0fab8","Where Did They Go? Regional Patterns in Early Transfer in Ontario Post-Secondary Education  \nCathlene Hillier Crandall University  \nRoger Pizarro Milian University of Toronto  \nYujiro Sano Nipissing University  \nDavid Zarifa Nipissing University  \nAbstract  \nResearch on transfer student flows has focused almost exclusively on transitions occurring between colleges and universities. Few have sought to systematically examine the regional dimensions of these student flows, and how they may map onto prevailing migration patterns that drive individuals out of remote geographical regions. Through this study, we perform the first comprehensive analysis of regional dynamics in early transfer student flows within Ontario post-secondary education (PSE), drawing on novel administrative linkages within Statistics Canada’s Education and Labour Market Linkage Platform (ELMLP). Our empirical analyses (i) map the magnitude of transfer student flows across the province, and (ii) statistically model the predictors of within-and cross-region forms of student transfer. Our findings demonstrate that PSE students commencing their studies in the provincial north are more likely to transfer out of their region, and that correcting these imbalances could serve as a useful strategy to retain and inject further human capital into northern communities. We explore the implications of these findings for both provincial policy makers and researchers interested in how geography shapes student trajectories.  \nKeywords: transfer, colleges, universities, out-migration, north, rural, Ontario  \nRésumé  \nLa recherche sur les flux des étudiants en transfert s’est concentrée presque exclusivement sur les transitions entre collèges et universités. Peu de recherches examinent de manière systématique l’aspect régional de ces flux d’étudiants et la manière dont ces derniers s’inscrivent dans les modèles de migration dominants poussant les individus à quitter les régionsgéographiques éloignées. Dans le cadre de cette étude, nous effectuons la première analyse exhaustive des dynamiques régionales dans les premiers flux d’étudiants en transfert au sein de l’enseignement postsecondaire de l’Ontario en nous appuyant sur des couplages novateurs provenant de la Plateforme longitudinale entre l’éducation et le marché du travail (PLEMT). Nos analyses empiriques i) évaluent l’étendue des flux d’étudiants en transfert à travers la province et ii) modélisent statistiquement les facteurs prédictifs des étudiants en transfertau sein de différentes régions et entre celles-ci. Nos résultats montrent que les étudiants du postsecondaire commençant leurs études dans le nord de la province sont plus susceptibles de se déplacer hors de leur région, et que la correction de ces déséquilibres pourrait servirde stratégie utile pour reteniret injecterdavantage de capital humain dans les communautés du nord. Nous explorons les implications de ces résultats pour les responsables provinciaux et les chercheurs intéressés par la façon dont lagéographie façonne les trajectoires des étudiants.  \nMots-clés : transfert, colleges, universités, migration de sortie, rurale, Ontario  \nCanadian Journal of Higher Education | Revue canadienne d’enseignement supérieur 53:1 (2023)   \nIntroduction1  \nResearch on student mobility in Canada and other international jurisdictions has focused disproportionately on mapping the precursorsand outcomes associated with students travelling non-linear pathways (e.g., college-to-university) between post-secondary education (PSE) organizations (Pizarro Milian & Zarifa, 2022) . Such focus aligns with the prevailing interests of PSE administrators and policy makers who fixate on augmented transfer credit and inter-organizational pathway articulation as levers to facilitate student flows and broader system efficiency (e.g., Council of Ministers of Education, Canada, 2009; Government of Ontario, 2011; Pizarro Milian & Munro, 2020) . On the other hand, few have empirically examined ","cbCaivUJ9Ko4qoCI","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaivUJ9Ko4qoCI","pdf",207188,18,"English","# Introduction\n## Regional dimensions of transfer student flows","[{\"question\":\"What gap does the study address about transfer student flows?\",\"answer\":\"It examines regional dimensions of transfer flows in Ontario rather than focusing almost exclusively on transitions between colleges and universities.\"},{\"question\":\"Which data source and method does the study use?\",\"answer\":\"It uses novel administrative linkages from Statistics Canada’s Education and Labour Market Linkage Platform (ELMLP) to map transfer flows and statistically model transfer predictors.\"},{\"question\":\"What do the findings indicate about students starting in northern Ontario?\",\"answer\":\"Students commencing studies in the provincial north are more likely to transfer out of their region, suggesting geographic imbalances that may affect retention of human capital.\"}]","Where Did They Go? Regional Patterns in Early Transfer in Ontario Post-Secondary Education | PDF",1792084237,45]