[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"doc-detail-109358-en":3,"doc-seo-109358-105":31,"detail-sidebar-cat-0-en-105":93},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"success",{"doc_id":7,"user_id":8,"nickname":9,"user_avatar":10,"doc_module":4,"category_id":11,"category_name":12,"doc_title":13,"doc_description":14,"doc_content":15,"file_id":16,"file_url":17,"file_type":18,"file_size":19,"view_count":20,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":21,"is_downloadable":21,"audit_status":21,"page_count":22,"language":23,"language_code":24,"site_id":25,"html_lang":24,"table_of_contents":26,"faqs":27,"seo_title":28,"seo_description":14,"update_tm":29,"read_time":30},109358,4398048949847,"Eliana","https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/avatar/400002536579ef2da7f?_k=1778318612642679267",8,"Research & Report","Western Balkans 6 - Background Note - Mitigation Modeling and Results","The background note examines greenhouse gas emissions trends and mitigation needs across the six Western Balkan countries (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia). Emissions have plateaued near 120 MtCO2eq over the past decade, excluding LULUCF, while high carbon and energy intensity persists. It analyzes modeling approaches and scenario results, contrasting an unconstrained development path with pathways requiring radical transformation toward net zero, including investment needs and regional integration benefits.","Pub lic Disclosure Authorized Pub lic Disclosure Authorized Pub lic Disclosure Authorized Pub lic Disclosure Authorized  \nEUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA  \n WESTERN BALKANS 6  \nBACKGROUND NOTE  \nMitigation Modeling and Results  \nWorld Bank Group  \nTable of Contents  \n1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................................................... 4  \n2. Modeling approach .......................................................................................................................................... 5  \n3. Limited decarbonization progress in an unconstrained development scenario ......................................... 10  \n4. Radical transformation needed to achieve net zero .................................................................................... 13  \n5. Large investments needs but also large benefits......................................................................................... 21  \n6. Benefits of regional integration .................................................................................................................... 24  \n7. Major role for the private sector to play ........................................................................................................ 28  \n8. Conclusions and recommendations ............................................................................................................. 30  \nFigures  \nFigure 2.1: GHG emissions sectoral coverage of the KINESYS-WB6 model ...................................................... 5  \nFigure 2.2: GHG emissions caps assumed for the quantity-constrained net zero scenariosin KINESYS-WB6 (NZE, NZE-HG, and NZE-RI), MtCO2eq..................................................................................... 7  \nFigure 2.3: Carbon price constraint assumed for the CPS in KINESYS-WB6 (US 2020 dollars/tCO2eq) .......... 8  \nFigure 2.4: Simplified visualization of the interactions between the energy and macro models for the WB6 CC DR ................................................................................................................................................ 9  \nFigure 3.1: System-wide indicators across the RS, NZE, and NZE-HG scenarios for the WB6 as a whole ..... 11  \nFigure 3.2: Comparison of energy-related GHG emissions achieved by the model in the unconstrained RS and targets “with existing measures” (WEM) set in official strategic documents (energy sector emissions only, MtCO2eq) (percent) .......................................................................................... 12  \nFigure 4.1: Power sector indicators across the RS, NZE, and NZE-HG scenarios for the WB6 as a whole ..... 14  \nFigure 4.2: Electricity generation capacity mix in the NZE in the WB6 as a whole, 2050 ............................... 14  \nFigure 4.3: Transport indicators across the RS, NZE, and NZE-HG scenarios for the WB6 as a whole .......... 18  \nFigure 5.1: Discounted investment gap (difference between NZE and RS) until 2050 by subsector, 2020 US dollars, billions ................................................................................................................................... 22  \nFigure 6.1: Evolution of installed power generation capacity in the WB6, in the NZE (left chart) and the NZE-RI (right chart), 2019–50, in GW .................................................................................................. 24  \nFigure 6.2: Difference between total discounted power system costs until 2050 in the NZE and the NZE-RI, in discounted, 2020 US dollars, billions ................................................................................. 25  \nFigure 6.3: Illustrative allocation, by country, of the reduction in total discounted power system costs until 2050 in the NZE-RI vs. the NZE, under the assumption that the benefits of trade are split equally between trade partners, discounted, billion, in 2020 US dollars ...","cbCaiqE7NEvrQgbc","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaiqE7NEvrQgbc","pdf",1356238,6,1,37,"English","en",105,"# 1. Introduction\n# 2. Modeling approach\n# 3. Limited decarbonization progress in an unconstrained development scenario\n# 4. Radical transformation needed to achieve net zero\n# 5. Large investments needs but also large benefits\n# 6. Benefits of regional integration\n# 7. Major role for the private sector to play\n# 8. Conclusions and recommendations","[{\"question\":\"What emission trend is described for the Western Balkans 6 countries?\",\"answer\":\"Their greenhouse gas emissions have plateaued over the past decade, stabilizing around 120 MtCO2eq, excluding LULUCF.\"},{\"question\":\"Why do emission reductions remain difficult despite economic growth?\",\"answer\":\"Efforts to reduce emissions have been neglected because GDP growth has not been decoupled from GHG emissions, driven in part by ongoing reliance on lignite and other fossil fuels.\"},{\"question\":\"What is the main conclusion about reaching net zero?\",\"answer\":\"Achieving net zero requires radical transformation, moving beyond an unconstrained development scenario and toward modeled pathways that incorporate mitigation constraints and system-wide changes.\"}]","Western Balkans 6 - Background Note - Mitigation Modeling and Results | PDF",1784479003,93,{"code":4,"msg":32,"data":33},"ok",{"site_id":25,"language":24,"slug":34,"title":13,"keywords":35,"description":14,"schema_data":36,"social_meta":88,"head_meta":90,"extra_data":92,"updated_unix":29},"western-balkans-6-background-note-mitigation-modeling-and-results","",{"@graph":37,"@context":87},[38,55,70],{"@type":39,"itemListElement":40},"BreadcrumbList",[41,45,49,52],{"item":42,"name":43,"@type":44,"position":21},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":46,"name":47,"@type":44,"position":48},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/","Document",2,{"item":50,"name":12,"@type":44,"position":51},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":53,"name":13,"@type":44,"position":54},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/western-balkans-6-background-note-mitigation-modeling-and-results/109358/",4,{"url":53,"name":13,"@type":56,"author":57,"headline":13,"publisher":59,"fileFormat":62,"inLanguage":24,"description":14,"dateModified":63,"datePublished":64,"encodingFormat":62,"isAccessibleForFree":65,"interactionStatistic":66},"DigitalDocument",{"name":9,"@type":58},"Person",{"url":42,"name":60,"@type":61},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-07-30","2026-07-19",true,{"@type":67,"interactionType":68,"userInteractionCount":20},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":69},"ViewAction",{"@type":71,"mainEntity":72},"FAQPage",[73,79,83],{"name":74,"@type":75,"acceptedAnswer":76},"What emission trend is described for the Western Balkans 6 countries?","Question",{"text":77,"@type":78},"Their greenhouse gas emissions have plateaued over the past decade, stabilizing around 120 MtCO2eq, excluding LULUCF.","Answer",{"name":80,"@type":75,"acceptedAnswer":81},"Why do emission reductions remain difficult despite economic growth?",{"text":82,"@type":78},"Efforts to reduce emissions have been neglected because GDP growth has not been decoupled from GHG emissions, driven in part by ongoing reliance on lignite and other fossil fuels.",{"name":84,"@type":75,"acceptedAnswer":85},"What is the main conclusion about reaching net zero?",{"text":86,"@type":78},"Achieving net zero requires radical transformation, moving beyond an unconstrained development scenario and toward modeled pathways that incorporate mitigation constraints and system-wide changes.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":53,"og:type":89,"og:title":13,"og:site_name":60,"og:description":14},"article",{"robots":91,"canonical":53},"index,follow",{"doc_id":7,"site_id":25},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":94},[95,99,103,107,112,116,121,124,129,132,136],{"id":21,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":47,"category_name":96,"show_sort_weight":97,"slug":98},"Story & Novel",90,"story-novel",{"id":48,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":47,"category_name":100,"show_sort_weight":101,"slug":102},"Literature",80,"literature",{"id":54,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":47,"category_name":104,"show_sort_weight":105,"slug":106},"Exam",70,"exam",{"id":108,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":47,"category_name":109,"show_sort_weight":110,"slug":111},5,"Comic",60,"comic",{"id":20,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":47,"category_name":113,"show_sort_weight":114,"slug":115},"Technology",50,"technology",{"id":117,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":47,"category_name":118,"show_sort_weight":119,"slug":120},7,"Healthcare",40,"healthcare",{"id":11,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":47,"category_name":12,"show_sort_weight":122,"slug":123},30,"research-report",{"id":125,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":47,"category_name":126,"show_sort_weight":127,"slug":128},9,"Religion & Spirituality",20,"religion-spirituality",{"id":127,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":47,"category_name":130,"show_sort_weight":127,"slug":131},"World Cup","world-cup",{"id":133,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":47,"category_name":134,"show_sort_weight":133,"slug":135},10,"Lifestyle","lifestyle",{"id":137,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":47,"category_name":138,"show_sort_weight":108,"slug":139},19,"General","general"]