[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"doc-detail-108118-en":3,"doc-seo-108118-105":30,"detail-sidebar-cat-0-en-105":91},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"success",{"doc_id":7,"user_id":8,"nickname":9,"user_avatar":10,"doc_module":4,"category_id":11,"category_name":12,"doc_title":13,"doc_description":14,"doc_content":15,"file_id":16,"file_url":17,"file_type":18,"file_size":19,"view_count":20,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":21,"is_downloadable":21,"audit_status":21,"page_count":22,"language":23,"language_code":24,"site_id":25,"html_lang":24,"table_of_contents":26,"faqs":27,"seo_title":13,"seo_description":14,"update_tm":28,"read_time":29},108118,1099513958607,"Jiven","https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/avatar/100002390cf8733938c?x-image-process=image/resize,m_fixed,w_180,h_180&k=1778829742770036399",8,"Research & Report","TÜRKIYE CCDR - Background Note 6 - Macroeconomic modelling","Background Note 6 describes the macroeconomic modelling approach and key results used in the Turkey Country Climate and Development (CCDR) report. It explains how sector-level analyses for power, transport, buildings, and forest landscapes are integrated with economy-wide models to capture inter-sectoral relationships and general equilibrium effects. The report builds a Resilient Net Zero Scenario (RNZP) from sector roadmaps, then uses the MANAGE CGE model and the MFMod macrostructural model to test feasibility and assess implications for growth, household welfare, employment, and mitigation trade-offs.","D c os reisc os ru Auor ez Publ c D iic os rls reu Auor ez   \nTÜRKIYE CCDR  \nBackground Note 6  \nMacroeconomic modelling  \nP lubl icc Disclosure Auor ez   \nThis note was prepared by Hasan Dudu, Charl Jooste, Stephane Hallegatte, and Hans Anand Beck.  \nIntroduction  \nThis background note aims to provide details on the macroeconomic modelling approach and results for the Turkey Country Climate and Development (CCDR) report. The Turkey CCDR explores the policy options to combine Turkey’s economic and development priorities with its commitment to climate action. The Turkey CCDR seeks to achieve this in two iterative stages. First by adopting a multisectoral approach where the power, transport, buildings, and forest landscapes sectors are analyzed using sector level models. The sectoral models explore various pathway to reaching Turkey’s net zero emissions target in 2053. To bring the sectoral analyses together, two macroeconomic models, the MANAGE CGE model (part 1) and the MFMod macrostructural model (part 2), are used to analyze the macroeconomic impacts of the sector level policies. This note explains how the economic modelling in the report integrated the sector-level analyses—which include detailed representation of assets and technologies and some sectoral interactions but exclude macroeconomic or inter-sectoral feedback—with the macroeconomic analyses which captures inter-sectoral relationships and general equilibrium effects albeit with simplified representations of production systems and technologies (Figure 1) .  \nFigure 1. Integration of sector-level and macroeconomic analyses  \nThe CCDR is built around a Resilient Net Zero Scenario (RNZP), constructed from various sectoral roadmaps, with detailed roadmaps developed for the power sector, transport, buildings, and Forrest landscapes, and more simplified roadmaps for industry and agriculture (Figure 2) . For each of the sectors, the analysis provides estimates of the investment needs in the RNZP scenario, as well as estimates of various costs and benefits (e.g., reduction in fuel consumption from the power and transport systems) . These investments, costs, and benefits are then fed into macroeconomic models to explore the feasibility of the RNZP and its implication on growth and other macroeconomic variables as well as household welfare and employment at the sectoral level. The focus of the macroeconomic analyses is to draw attention to the economic trade-offs that mitigation policies could entail. Analyzing those trade-offs provides valuable insights on the potential challenges and opportunities of the transition to a net zero economy.  \nFigure 2. Historical emissions (left) and RNZP scenario (right)  \nPart 1: Computable General Equilibrium Modeling  \nThe CGE model used in this study is based on the MANAGE model which is developed by the World Bank. MANAGE is a single country CGE model that relies on neoclassical structural modeling approach. Most of the model assumptions follows the standard CGE literature. An extended documentation and user guide for the model can be found in van der Mensbrugghe (2020)1. In what follows we will briefly explain the main features of the MANAGE model.  \nProduction activities in the MANAGE model are profit maximizers under constant returns to scale technologies. They use labor, capital, land, and intermediate inputs to produce goods and services (which we will refer as goods from here on) for domestic and international markets. The production  \n1 van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2020. The Mitigation, Adapation and New Technologies Applied General Equilibrium (MANAGE) Model, Version 2.0g. GTAP Technical Paper, TP/20/xx. Center for Global Trade Analysis, Purdue University West Lafayette, IN  \nfunction is a nested one with constant elasticity of substitution (CES) production function in value added nests and a Leontief technology at intermediate input nest. The CES production function allows for substitution of factors in a specific nest while","cbCaiofSA3s3ExtF","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaiofSA3s3ExtF","pdf",712446,4,1,21,"English","en",105,"# Introduction\n## Scenario building and integration approach\n# Part 1: Computable General Equilibrium Modeling\n## MANAGE model structure and production\n## Energy intensity and carbon pricing mechanisms","[{\"question\":\"What is the main purpose of this background note in the Turkey CCDR report?\",\"answer\":\"It details the macroeconomic modelling approach and results used to support the Turkey CCDR, including how sector-level outputs are integrated into economy-wide analysis.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the report integrate sector-level modelling with macroeconomic modelling?\",\"answer\":\"Sector-level analyses are produced with detailed asset and technology representations and limited macro feedback, then fed into two macroeconomic models to capture inter-sectoral relationships and general equilibrium effects.\"},{\"question\":\"What are the key modelling features of the MANAGE CGE model used in this study?\",\"answer\":\"MANAGE uses profit-maximizing production with nested CES and Leontief structures, links sectors through intermediate inputs, and determines energy intensity endogenously via energy prices—relevant for evaluating carbon pricing and substitution between capital and energy.\"}]",1784468841,53,{"code":4,"msg":31,"data":32},"ok",{"site_id":25,"language":24,"slug":33,"title":13,"keywords":34,"description":14,"schema_data":35,"social_meta":86,"head_meta":88,"extra_data":90,"updated_unix":28},"turkiye-ccdr-background-note-6-macroeconomic-modelling","",{"@graph":36,"@context":85},[37,53,68],{"@type":38,"itemListElement":39},"BreadcrumbList",[40,44,48,51],{"item":41,"name":42,"@type":43,"position":21},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":45,"name":46,"@type":43,"position":47},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/","Document",2,{"item":49,"name":12,"@type":43,"position":50},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":52,"name":13,"@type":43,"position":20},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/turkiye-ccdr-background-note-6-macroeconomic-modelling/108118/",{"url":52,"name":13,"@type":54,"author":55,"headline":13,"publisher":57,"fileFormat":60,"inLanguage":24,"description":14,"dateModified":61,"datePublished":62,"encodingFormat":60,"isAccessibleForFree":63,"interactionStatistic":64},"DigitalDocument",{"name":9,"@type":56},"Person",{"url":41,"name":58,"@type":59},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-07-29","2026-07-19",true,{"@type":65,"interactionType":66,"userInteractionCount":20},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":67},"ViewAction",{"@type":69,"mainEntity":70},"FAQPage",[71,77,81],{"name":72,"@type":73,"acceptedAnswer":74},"What is the main purpose of this background note in the Turkey CCDR report?","Question",{"text":75,"@type":76},"It details the macroeconomic modelling approach and results used to support the Turkey CCDR, including how sector-level outputs are integrated into economy-wide analysis.","Answer",{"name":78,"@type":73,"acceptedAnswer":79},"How does the report integrate sector-level modelling with macroeconomic modelling?",{"text":80,"@type":76},"Sector-level analyses are produced with detailed asset and technology representations and limited macro feedback, then fed into two macroeconomic models to capture inter-sectoral relationships and general equilibrium effects.",{"name":82,"@type":73,"acceptedAnswer":83},"What are the key modelling features of the MANAGE CGE model used in this study?",{"text":84,"@type":76},"MANAGE uses profit-maximizing production with nested CES and Leontief structures, links sectors through intermediate inputs, and determines energy intensity endogenously via energy prices—relevant for evaluating carbon pricing and substitution between capital and energy.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":52,"og:type":87,"og:title":13,"og:site_name":58,"og:description":14},"article",{"robots":89,"canonical":52},"index,follow",{"doc_id":7,"site_id":25},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":92},[93,97,101,105,110,115,120,123,128,131,135],{"id":21,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":46,"category_name":94,"show_sort_weight":95,"slug":96},"Story & 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