[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"detail-sidebar-cat-0-en-105":3,"doc-seo-205404-105":59,"doc-detail-205404-en":131},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"success",[7,13,18,23,28,33,38,43,48,51,55],{"id":8,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":10,"show_sort_weight":11,"slug":12},1,"Document","Story & Novel",90,"story-novel",{"id":14,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":15,"show_sort_weight":16,"slug":17},2,"Literature",80,"literature",{"id":19,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":20,"show_sort_weight":21,"slug":22},4,"Exam",70,"exam",{"id":24,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":25,"show_sort_weight":26,"slug":27},5,"Comic",60,"comic",{"id":29,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":30,"show_sort_weight":31,"slug":32},6,"Technology",50,"technology",{"id":34,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":35,"show_sort_weight":36,"slug":37},7,"Healthcare",40,"healthcare",{"id":39,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":40,"show_sort_weight":41,"slug":42},8,"Research & Report",30,"research-report",{"id":44,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":45,"show_sort_weight":46,"slug":47},9,"Religion & Spirituality",20,"religion-spirituality",{"id":46,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":49,"show_sort_weight":46,"slug":50},"World Cup","world-cup",{"id":52,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":53,"show_sort_weight":52,"slug":54},10,"Lifestyle","lifestyle",{"id":56,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":57,"show_sort_weight":24,"slug":58},19,"General","general",{"code":4,"msg":60,"data":61},"ok",{"site_id":62,"language":63,"slug":64,"title":65,"keywords":66,"description":67,"schema_data":68,"social_meta":124,"head_meta":126,"extra_data":128,"updated_unix":130},105,"en","the-usefulness-of-the-atar-as-a-measure-of-academic-achievement-and-potential-october-2019","The Usefulness of the ATAR as a Measure of Academic Achievement and Potential - October 2019","","An analysis of how the Australian Tertiary Admission Rank (ATAR) relates to university outcomes, focusing on first-year success. Evidence from research summarized by UAC shows that higher ATAR scores correspond to higher first-year GPA and a lower likelihood of failing. The report defines success using several first-year GPA-based outcomes and discusses why ATAR works, including its breadth and calculation from school assessments and HSC exam results.",{"@graph":69,"@context":123},[70,84,106],{"@type":71,"itemListElement":72},"BreadcrumbList",[73,77,79,82],{"item":74,"name":75,"@type":76,"position":8},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":78,"name":9,"@type":76,"position":14},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/",{"item":80,"name":40,"@type":76,"position":81},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":83,"name":65,"@type":76,"position":19},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/the-usefulness-of-the-atar-as-a-measure-of-academic-achievement-and-potential-october-2019/205404/",{"url":83,"name":65,"@type":85,"image":86,"author":91,"headline":65,"publisher":94,"fileFormat":97,"inLanguage":63,"description":67,"dateModified":98,"datePublished":99,"encodingFormat":97,"isAccessibleForFree":100,"interactionStatistic":101},"DigitalDocument",{"url":87,"@type":88,"width":89,"height":90},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/the-usefulness-of-the-atar-as-a-measure-of-academic-achievement-and-potential-october-2019/205404.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":92,"@type":93},"Riley West","Person",{"url":74,"name":95,"@type":96},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-10-29","2026-09-05",true,{"@type":102,"interactionType":103,"userInteractionCount":105},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":104},"ViewAction",16,{"@type":107,"mainEntity":108},"FAQPage",[109,115,119],{"name":110,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":112},"How does ATAR predict university first-year GPA outcomes?","Question",{"text":113,"@type":114},"Research summarized in the report indicates that higher ATAR scores are associated with higher first-year GPA. It also links higher ATAR to a lower likelihood of achieving a failing first-year GPA (defined as less than 4).","Answer",{"name":116,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":117},"What does the report use to define “success” in first year?",{"text":118,"@type":114},"Success is primarily measured using first-year grade point average (GPA) and classified into four outcomes: incomplete first year, GPA under 4, completed first year with fails, and completed first year with no fails.",{"name":120,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":121},"Why does the report say the ATAR is a useful tool for university entry?",{"text":122,"@type":114},"It argues the ATAR is broad and built from multiple inputs: school assessment results across senior years and the HSC exam, producing a single number that reflects both ability and effort rather than only aptitude.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":83,"og:type":125,"og:title":65,"og:site_name":95,"og:description":67},"article",{"robots":127,"canonical":83},"index,follow",{"doc_id":129,"site_id":62},205404,1788579249,{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":132},{"doc_id":129,"user_id":133,"nickname":92,"user_avatar":134,"doc_module":4,"category_id":39,"category_name":40,"doc_title":65,"doc_description":67,"doc_content":135,"file_id":136,"file_url":137,"file_type":138,"file_size":139,"view_count":105,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":8,"is_downloadable":8,"audit_status":8,"page_count":24,"language":140,"language_code":63,"site_id":62,"html_lang":63,"table_of_contents":141,"faqs":142,"seo_title":143,"seo_description":67,"update_tm":130,"read_time":144,"preview_page_count":4},1099523885074,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_9964176cb1d06d4a9deccf72a44ae3dc","THE USEFULNESS OF THEATAR AS A MEASURE OF ACADEMIC ACHIEVEMENT AND POTENTIAL  \nOCTOBER 2019  \nAnthony Manny, Helen Tam and Robert Lipka  \n1 WHY THE ATAR WORKS  \nRecent research by UAC shows that the ATAR is the best available predictor of university success, as measured by students’ first-year grade-point-average (GPA) . The higher the ATAR, the higher the student’s first-year GPA is likely to be.  \nFurther, the ATAR is related to the likelihood of obtaining a failing first-year GPA (defined as less than 4) . The higher the ATAR, the less likely the student would get a failing first-year GPA. For example, in our recent study, we found that for students with an ATAR in the 90s, only 8 per cent had a first-year GPA of less than 4. This rate increases as ATAR decreases, such that for students with ATARs in the 70s, 29 per cent would have a failing GPA, and for students with ATARs in the 50s, around half (52 per cent) would have a failing GPA.  \nOur findings are consistent with other research by the Grattan Institute 1 showing the value of the ATAR in predicting success at university. As with all predictors, the ATAR is not perfect. There will be instances where the prediction will ‘miss the mark’. Also, there will be cases where selection based on the ATAR alone would not be optimal. However, this has been acknowledged by institutions for a long time and they have been using alternative mechanisms for selecting students to certain courses like design and the performing arts.  \nHowever, for a large number of courses where the fundamental requirement of the student is to possess the right level of academic ability to meet the demands of the course, the ATAR is an effective tool in predicting the likelihood of this outcome.  \n1.1 Defining success  \nSuccess at university can be defined in many ways. First-year university results are a useful way to define success due to the timeliness and availability of the associated data, and have been found to correlate with degree completion rates 1. Many factors influence results in later years of university ranging from personal life circumstances to subject specialisation, which are less related to secondary study choices. For the purposes of this report, first-year success was primarily  \nmeasured by first-year grade point average2 (GPA) and defined by four outcomes:  \n▪ incomplete first year – achieving a GPA of zero with a non-zero study load (recording a fail for all subjects)  \n▪ GPA under 4 – the student has failed one or more subjects  \n▪ completed first year with fails – recording a non-zero GPA but failing at least one subject  \n▪ completed first year with no fails – achieved a pass grade or better in all subjects.  \n1.2 Analysis  \nA summary of first-year university outcomes (as defined in section 1.1 above) is shown in Figure 1 below for HSC students (2013–17) enrolling through UAC in a bachelor degree (2014–18) . On average, over half of the students with an ATAR of 60 or above, pass all subjects in first year. This is reflected in the first-year GPA, which has a moderately strong correlation to ATAR.  \n1 Norton, A. , Cherastidtham, I. , & Mackey, W. (2018) . Dropping out: The benefits and costs of trying university. Grattan Institute.  \n2 [https://www.uac.edu.au/future-applicants/admission-criteria/tertiary-qualifications](https://www.uac.edu.au/future-applicants/admission-criteria/tertiary-qualifications)  \nFigure 1: First-year outcomes of HSC students 2013–2017.  \n1.3 The strengths of the ATAR  \nOne of the strengths of the ATAR, as a tool for university entry, is that it is broad. There is no university degree from which you can graduate having studied only one subject, so to be prepared for university it’s important to have achieved in a variety of areas.  \nATAR is a single number, but it has been calculated using many inputs. Student’s school assessment results over the senior school years make up half of the marks for each subject, with the other half coming from the HSC exam","cbCaiprQwNsGOZLg","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaiprQwNsGOZLg","pdf",395011,"English","# Why the ATAR works\n## Defining success\n## Analysis\n## The strengths of the ATAR\n## The relationship between HSC subjects, KLAs and the ATAR","[{\"question\":\"How does ATAR predict university first-year GPA outcomes?\",\"answer\":\"Research summarized in the report indicates that higher ATAR scores are associated with higher first-year GPA. It also links higher ATAR to a lower likelihood of achieving a failing first-year GPA (defined as less than 4).\"},{\"question\":\"What does the report use to define “success” in first year?\",\"answer\":\"Success is primarily measured using first-year grade point average (GPA) and classified into four outcomes: incomplete first year, GPA under 4, completed first year with fails, and completed first year with no fails.\"},{\"question\":\"Why does the report say the ATAR is a useful tool for university entry?\",\"answer\":\"It argues the ATAR is broad and built from multiple inputs: school assessment results across senior years and the HSC exam, producing a single number that reflects both ability and effort rather than only aptitude.\"}]","The Usefulness of the ATAR as a Measure of Academic Achievement and Potential - October 2019 | PDF",13]