[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"doc-detail-112817-en":3,"doc-seo-112817-105":29,"detail-sidebar-cat-0-en-105":91},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"success",{"doc_id":7,"user_id":8,"nickname":9,"user_avatar":10,"doc_module":4,"category_id":11,"category_name":12,"doc_title":13,"doc_description":14,"doc_content":15,"file_id":16,"file_url":17,"file_type":18,"file_size":19,"view_count":20,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":20,"is_downloadable":20,"audit_status":20,"page_count":21,"language":22,"language_code":23,"site_id":24,"html_lang":23,"table_of_contents":25,"faqs":26,"seo_title":13,"seo_description":14,"update_tm":27,"read_time":28},112817,962075114765,"Quinn","https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_a8503ba1806abce46bf441b54a3ca4cd",8,"Research & Report","The African Continental Free Trade Area - Economic and Distributional Effects","This publication examines the economic and distributional consequences of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA). It presents data and methodology, then evaluates macroeconomic impacts on real income, trade, output, and government revenue. The report further studies how AfCFTA affects poverty and employment through distributional channels. It includes sensitivity analysis, caveats, and multiple appendixes covering labor data, modeling approaches, legal commitments, and supporting data sources, culminating in policy-relevant insights for implementation.","Public Disc losure Authorized  \nTHE  \nAFRICAN CONTINENTAL FREE TRADE AREA  \nEconomic and Distributional Effects  \nPub lic Disclosure Authorized Pub lic Disc losure Authorized Pub lic Disclosure Authorized  \nThe African Continental Free Trade Area  \nThe African Continental Free Trade Area  \nEconomic and Distributional Effects  \n© 2020 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433  \nTelephone: 202-473-1000; [Internet: www.worldbank.org](Internet: www.worldbank.org)[ ](Internet: www.worldbank.org)Some rights reserved  \n1 2 3 4 23 22 21 20  \nThis work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.  \nNothing herein shall constitute or be considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved.  \nRights and Permissions  \nThis work is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 IGO license (CC BY 3.0 IGO) [http://creative](http://creative)[commons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo. Under the Creative Commons Attribution license](commons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo. Under the Creative Commons Attribution license), you are free to copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt this work, including for commercial purposes, under the following conditions:  \nAttribution—Please cite the work as follows: World Bank. The African Continental Free Trade Area: Economic and Distributional Effects. Washington, DC: World Bank. doi:10.1596/978-1-4648-1559-1 . License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO  \nTranslations—If you create a translation of this work, please add the following disclaimer along with the attribution: This translation was not created by The World Bank and should not be considered an official World Bank translation. The World Bank shall not be liable for any content or error in this translation.  \nAdaptations—If you create an adaptation of this work, please add the following disclaimer along with the attribution: This is an adaptation of an original work by The World Bank. Views and opinions expressed in the adaptation are the sole responsibility of the author or authors of the adaptation and are not endorsed by The World Bank.  \nThird-party content—The World Bank does not necessarily own each component of the content contained within the work. The World Bank therefore does not warrant that the use of any third-party-owned individual component or part contained in the work will not infringe on the rights of those third parties. The risk of claims resulting from such infringement rests solely with you. If you wish to reuse a component of the work, it is your responsibility to determine whether permission is needed for that reuse and to obtain permission from the copyright owner. Examples of components can include, but are not limited to, tables, figures, or images.  \nAll queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to World Bank Publications, The World Bank Group, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; [e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org](e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org).  \nISBN (paper): 978-1-4648-1559-1  \nISBN (electronic): 978-1-4648-1560-7  \nDOI: 10. 1596/978-1-4648-1559-1  \nCover illustration: Guillermo Varela and Estudio Prado  \nCover and interior design: Kirsten Dennison  \nLibrary of Congress Control Number: 2020942433.  \nContents  \nForeword IX  \nAcknowledgments XI  \nAbout the Authors XIII  \nAbout the Contributors XV  \nAbbreviations XIX  \nOVE","cbCaiaASDT6R7YxC","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaiaASDT6R7YxC","pdf",6531240,1,163,"English","en",105,"# Overview\n## Data and methodology\n## Macroeconomic impacts of AfCFTA\n## Distributional impacts of AfCFTA on poverty and employment\n## The African Continental Free Trade Area is a key to help Africa address the challenges of COVID-19\n## Caveats\n# Introduction\n## Notes\n## Reference\n# The content of AfCFTA and African subregional trade agreements\n## Notes\n## References\n# Literature review\n## References\n# Data and methodology\n## Data\n## Global dynamic computable general equilibrium model\n## Distributional impacts of AfCFTA\n## Trade facilitation\n## Notes\n## References\n# Macroeconomic impacts of AfCFTA\n## Real income implications\n## Trade implications\n## Output implications\n## Government revenue implications\n## Notes\n## References\n# Distributional effects of AfCFTA on poverty and employment\n## Effects on poverty\n## Effects on employment\n## Notes\n## References\n# Sensitivity analysis\n# Caveats\n## Notes","[{\"question\":\"What topics does the report cover about AfCFTA’s impacts?\",\"answer\":\"It covers macroeconomic effects (real income, trade, output, government revenue) and distributional effects on poverty and employment, supported by data and modeling methods.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the report study distributional impacts on poverty and employment?\",\"answer\":\"It analyzes distributional impacts of AfCFTA using its distributional framework, linking trade changes to poverty and employment outcomes.\"},{\"question\":\"Are there limitations or cautions included in the report?\",\"answer\":\"Yes. The report includes a dedicated section on caveats and also provides sensitivity analysis to assess how results respond to assumptions.\"}]",1784497369,411,{"code":4,"msg":30,"data":31},"ok",{"site_id":24,"language":23,"slug":32,"title":13,"keywords":33,"description":14,"schema_data":34,"social_meta":86,"head_meta":88,"extra_data":90,"updated_unix":27},"the-african-continental-free-trade-area-economic-and-distributional-effects","",{"@graph":35,"@context":85},[36,53,68],{"@type":37,"itemListElement":38},"BreadcrumbList",[39,43,47,50],{"item":40,"name":41,"@type":42,"position":20},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":44,"name":45,"@type":42,"position":46},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/","Document",2,{"item":48,"name":12,"@type":42,"position":49},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":51,"name":13,"@type":42,"position":52},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/the-african-continental-free-trade-area-economic-and-distributional-effects/112817/",4,{"url":51,"name":13,"@type":54,"author":55,"headline":13,"publisher":57,"fileFormat":60,"inLanguage":23,"description":14,"dateModified":61,"datePublished":62,"encodingFormat":60,"isAccessibleForFree":63,"interactionStatistic":64},"DigitalDocument",{"name":9,"@type":56},"Person",{"url":40,"name":58,"@type":59},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-07-22","2026-07-19",true,{"@type":65,"interactionType":66,"userInteractionCount":20},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":67},"ViewAction",{"@type":69,"mainEntity":70},"FAQPage",[71,77,81],{"name":72,"@type":73,"acceptedAnswer":74},"What topics does the report cover about AfCFTA’s impacts?","Question",{"text":75,"@type":76},"It covers macroeconomic effects (real income, trade, output, government revenue) and distributional effects on poverty and employment, supported by data and modeling methods.","Answer",{"name":78,"@type":73,"acceptedAnswer":79},"How does the report study distributional impacts on poverty and employment?",{"text":80,"@type":76},"It analyzes distributional impacts of AfCFTA using its distributional framework, linking trade changes to poverty and employment outcomes.",{"name":82,"@type":73,"acceptedAnswer":83},"Are there limitations or cautions included in the report?",{"text":84,"@type":76},"Yes. 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