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Using eighth-grade record data from two cohorts (2015-16 and 2016-17), the report identifies high school students most at risk due to weak course grades, low attendance, and suspension histories. Key findings show that eighth-grade core-subject GPA is the strongest predictor, and a four-factor set (8GPs) identifies about 30% of off-track students and captures substantial risk across subgroups.",{"@graph":69,"@context":123},[70,84,106],{"@type":71,"itemListElement":72},"BreadcrumbList",[73,77,79,82],{"item":74,"name":75,"@type":76,"position":8},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":78,"name":9,"@type":76,"position":14},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/",{"item":80,"name":40,"@type":76,"position":81},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":83,"name":65,"@type":76,"position":19},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/ready-from-the-start-identifying-and-supporting-at-risk-ninth-graders-from-their-earliest-days-in-high-school/586644/",{"url":83,"name":65,"@type":85,"image":86,"author":91,"headline":65,"publisher":94,"fileFormat":97,"inLanguage":63,"description":67,"dateModified":98,"datePublished":99,"encodingFormat":97,"isAccessibleForFree":100,"interactionStatistic":101},"DigitalDocument",{"url":87,"@type":88,"width":89,"height":90},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/ready-from-the-start-identifying-and-supporting-at-risk-ninth-graders-from-their-earliest-days-in-high-school/586644.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":92,"@type":93},"Angel","Person",{"url":74,"name":95,"@type":96},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-11-04","2026-10-15",true,{"@type":102,"interactionType":103,"userInteractionCount":105},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":104},"ViewAction",13,{"@type":107,"mainEntity":108},"FAQPage",[109,115,119],{"name":110,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":112},"What problem does the report address about ninth grade transition?","Question",{"text":113,"@type":114},"It examines how the move into ninth grade can disrupt students’ progress, especially when students enter high school with weak grades, attendance issues, or behavior problems.","Answer",{"name":116,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":117},"Which eighth-grade factors best predict ninth-grade on-track status?",{"text":118,"@type":114},"The report finds eighth-grade core-subject GPA is the strongest predictor, followed by attendance and the number of out-of-school suspensions.",{"name":120,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":121},"What are the Eighth Grade Predictors (8GPs)?",{"text":122,"@type":114},"8GPs are four eighth-grade characteristics: earning final grades of D or F in all eighth-grade courses, failing a core subject, attending less than 80% of the time, and receiving two or more out-of-school suspensions.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":83,"og:type":125,"og:title":65,"og:site_name":95,"og:description":67},"article",{"robots":127,"canonical":83},"index,follow",{"doc_id":129,"site_id":62},586644,1792189077,{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":132},{"doc_id":129,"user_id":133,"nickname":92,"user_avatar":134,"doc_module":4,"category_id":39,"category_name":40,"doc_title":65,"doc_description":67,"doc_content":135,"file_id":136,"file_url":137,"file_type":138,"file_size":139,"view_count":105,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":8,"is_downloadable":8,"audit_status":8,"page_count":140,"language":141,"language_code":63,"site_id":62,"html_lang":63,"table_of_contents":142,"faqs":143,"seo_title":144,"seo_description":67,"update_tm":145,"read_time":146,"preview_page_count":4},687207412472,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_155a257f0dc6eb9ab79c44ca47cae57d","READY FROM THE START  \nIdentifying and Supporting At-Risk Ninth Graders from Their Earliest Days in High School  \nJuly 2018  \nStarting Strong: A Research Series on the Transition to High School  \nAUSTIN SLAUGHTER RUTH CURRAN NEILD MOLLY CROFTON  \nTo learn more about PERC, [visit](visit www.phledresearch.org)[ www.phledresearch.org](visit www.phledresearch.org).  \nAcknowledgements  \nThe authors gratefully acknowledge the intellectual contributions of Theodore Wills, Ji Eun Park, Joy Lesnick, and Tonya Wolford from the School District of Philadelphia’s Office of Research and Evaluation.  \nAt Research for Action, Kathryn Carter, Dae Kim, and Kate Shaw provided helpful feedback on drafts. Megan Morris created the report design and graphics.  \nThis work was made possible through the support of the Neubauer Family Foundation and the William Penn Foundation. Neither foundation exercised editorial control over this report, and the contents ofthe report do not necessarily reflect their views.  \nAbout PERC  \nThe mission of the Philadelphia Education Research Consortium is to provide timely, actionable, rigorous, and non-partisan research on the most pressing issues facing Philadelphia public education. To do this, PERC seeks to engage the region’s colleges and universities, nonprofits, and the Philadelphia public education sector in respectful, mutually beneficial research-practice partnerships. By providing Philadelphia’s leaders and citizenry with high-quality information about progress, challenges, and effective strategies in education, PERC aims to increase education opportunities and achievement for all Philadelphia students.  \nSuggested Citation  \nAPA STYLE:  \nSlaughter, A., Neild, R.C., & Crofton, M. (2018) . Ready from the start: Identifying and supporting atrisk ninth graders from their earliest days in high school. Philadelphia: The Philadelphia Education Research Consortium.  \nCHICAGO STYLE:  \nSlaughter, Austin, Neild, Ruth Curran, and Molly Crofton. (2018) . Ready from the Start: Identifying and Supporting At-risk Ninth Graders from their Earliest Days in High School. Philadelphia: The Philadelphia Education Research Consortium.  \nReady from the Start:  \nIdentifying and Supporting At-risk Ninth Graders from their Earliest Days in High School  \nAustin Slaughter, Ruth Curran Neild, Molly Crofton • June 2018  \nSummary  \nNinth grade is a critical juncture for students—and can be a jarring transition. Even students a strong track record in the middle grades can experience academic difficulty, and those who enter high school with poor course grades, weak attendance, or behavior problems are especially at risk. An early misstep can have lasting implications: students who fall off track at the beginning of the school year may find it difficult to recover, and ninth graders who fail to earn the required number of academic credits are at elevated risk of dropping out.  \nTo support their most vulnerable students, high schools first need to identify them. This report uses eighth-grade student record data from two cohorts of first-time ninth graders (2015-16 and 2016-17) in the School District of Philadelphia (SDP) to examine which student characteristics are most predictive of falling off track in ninth grade. With this information, schools can use middle grades data to identify their most at-risk ninth graders—and intervene to help them start strong in high school.  \nKEY FINDINGS  \n• Ninth-grade on-track rates varied by eighth-grade GPA, attendance, suspensions, and demographic characteristics. More than 90 percent of students who earned an A in any eighth grade core subject were on track at the end of ninth grade. Although earning a D or an F in a core subject was relatively uncommon, students who earned these grades were more likely to be off track than on track. Less than one-third of students with the weakest eighth grade attendance – those who attended less than 80 percent of the time, or missed at least seven weeks of school – we","cbCaiircok05ll9I","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaiircok05ll9I","pdf",470649,26,"English","# Summary\n# Key Findings\n## Eighth-grade predictors of on-track status\n## Accuracy and subgroup differences","[{\"question\":\"What problem does the report address about ninth grade transition?\",\"answer\":\"It examines how the move into ninth grade can disrupt students’ progress, especially when students enter high school with weak grades, attendance issues, or behavior problems.\"},{\"question\":\"Which eighth-grade factors best predict ninth-grade on-track status?\",\"answer\":\"The report finds eighth-grade core-subject GPA is the strongest predictor, followed by attendance and the number of out-of-school suspensions.\"},{\"question\":\"What are the Eighth Grade Predictors (8GPs)?\",\"answer\":\"8GPs are four eighth-grade characteristics: earning final grades of D or F in all eighth-grade courses, failing a core subject, attending less than 80% of the time, and receiving two or more out-of-school suspensions.\"}]","Ready from the Start - Identifying and Supporting At-risk Ninth Graders from their Earliest Days in High School | PDF",1792058732,66]