[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"detail-sidebar-cat-0-en-105":3,"doc-seo-602656-105":59,"doc-detail-602656-en":130},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"success",[7,13,18,23,28,33,38,43,48,51,55],{"id":8,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":10,"show_sort_weight":11,"slug":12},1,"Document","Story & Novel",90,"story-novel",{"id":14,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":15,"show_sort_weight":16,"slug":17},2,"Literature",80,"literature",{"id":19,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":20,"show_sort_weight":21,"slug":22},4,"Exam",70,"exam",{"id":24,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":25,"show_sort_weight":26,"slug":27},5,"Comic",60,"comic",{"id":29,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":30,"show_sort_weight":31,"slug":32},6,"Technology",50,"technology",{"id":34,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":35,"show_sort_weight":36,"slug":37},7,"Healthcare",40,"healthcare",{"id":39,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":40,"show_sort_weight":41,"slug":42},8,"Research & Report",30,"research-report",{"id":44,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":45,"show_sort_weight":46,"slug":47},9,"Religion & Spirituality",20,"religion-spirituality",{"id":46,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":49,"show_sort_weight":46,"slug":50},"World Cup","world-cup",{"id":52,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":53,"show_sort_weight":52,"slug":54},10,"Lifestyle","lifestyle",{"id":56,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":57,"show_sort_weight":24,"slug":58},19,"General","general",{"code":4,"msg":60,"data":61},"ok",{"site_id":62,"language":63,"slug":64,"title":65,"keywords":66,"description":67,"schema_data":68,"social_meta":123,"head_meta":125,"extra_data":127,"updated_unix":129},105,"en","projecting-enrollment-for-effective-academic-staff-planning-in-nigerian-universities","Projecting Enrollment for Effective Academic Staff Planning in Nigerian Universities","","Student enrollment in Nigerian universities expanded rapidly over the past decade, driven by free, universal and compulsory education at primary and junior secondary levels, Nigeria’s high population, and an estimated annual growth rate of 3.2%. Despite growing demand, the paper notes a misalignment between demand and available supply, particularly regarding academic staffing and institutional resources. Data on enrollment trends and academic staff were collected and analyzed using extrapolation equations and staff-student ratios across disciplines. Projections indicate enrollment rising from 1,417,080 in 2010 to 5,732,878 in 2020, with corresponding staffing needs of 70,854 and 286,644.",{"@graph":69,"@context":122},[70,84,105],{"@type":71,"itemListElement":72},"BreadcrumbList",[73,77,79,82],{"item":74,"name":75,"@type":76,"position":8},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":78,"name":9,"@type":76,"position":14},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/",{"item":80,"name":40,"@type":76,"position":81},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":83,"name":65,"@type":76,"position":19},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/projecting-enrollment-for-effective-academic-staff-planning-in-nigerian-universities/602656/",{"url":83,"name":65,"@type":85,"image":86,"author":91,"headline":65,"publisher":94,"fileFormat":97,"inLanguage":63,"description":67,"dateModified":98,"datePublished":99,"encodingFormat":97,"isAccessibleForFree":100,"interactionStatistic":101},"DigitalDocument",{"url":87,"@type":88,"width":89,"height":90},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/projecting-enrollment-for-effective-academic-staff-planning-in-nigerian-universities/602656.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":92,"@type":93},"pixelkiddo","Person",{"url":74,"name":95,"@type":96},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-10-29","2026-10-15",true,{"@type":102,"interactionType":103,"userInteractionCount":24},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":104},"ViewAction",{"@type":106,"mainEntity":107},"FAQPage",[108,114,118],{"name":109,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":111},"What drives the growth of student enrollment in Nigerian universities?","Question",{"text":112,"@type":113},"The paper links enrollment growth to free, universal and compulsory education policies at primary to junior secondary levels, Nigeria’s high population, and an annual growth rate of about 3.2%.","Answer",{"name":115,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":116},"How are future enrollment and academic staff numbers projected in the study?",{"text":117,"@type":113},"The study collects existing enrollment and academic staff data from relevant records, then analyzes trends using extrapolation equations and staff-student ratios for each discipline.",{"name":119,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":120},"What enrollment and academic staff figures does the study project for 2010 and 2020?",{"text":121,"@type":113},"Enrollment is projected to be 1,417,080 in 2010 and 5,732,878 in 2020, with corresponding ideal academic staff needs of 70,854 and 286,644 respectively.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":83,"og:type":124,"og:title":65,"og:site_name":95,"og:description":67},"article",{"robots":126,"canonical":83},"index,follow",{"doc_id":128,"site_id":62},602656,1792475988,{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":131},{"doc_id":128,"user_id":132,"nickname":92,"user_avatar":133,"doc_module":4,"category_id":39,"category_name":40,"doc_title":65,"doc_description":67,"doc_content":134,"file_id":135,"file_url":136,"file_type":137,"file_size":138,"view_count":24,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":8,"is_downloadable":8,"audit_status":8,"page_count":139,"language":140,"language_code":63,"site_id":62,"html_lang":63,"table_of_contents":141,"faqs":142,"seo_title":143,"seo_description":67,"update_tm":144,"read_time":145},962090883892,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/avatar/e00115db34f3e0f11b?x-image-process=image/resize,m_fixed,w_180,h_180&k=1790152879550218658","Projecting Enrollment for Effective Academic Staff Planning in  \nNigerian Universities  \nB. M. Agboola and J. Kola Adeyemi  \nABSTRACT  \nStudent enrollment in Nigerian universities has grown tremendously in the past one decade due to the increased demand for university education. The new development could be attributed to the policy of free, universal and compulsory education at the primary to junior secondary, coupled with the high population of Nigeria, with an annual growth rate of 3.2%. This has given rise to the school enrollment in the universities. Nevertheless, there are strong indications that the trend in demand for and supply of university education seems not to match, so also are the resources available in the universities (human, facilities and fund). For this paper, data on the existing student enrollment trend and academic staff on roll were collected through checklist from records of relevant bodies. The data were analyzed through extrapolation equation and staff-student ratio for each discipline. This study examined the pattern of enrollment in the Nigerian universities and made projection for the academic staff and student for the future years.  \nThe results showed that enrollment of 1,417,080 is expected in the universities in 2010, while in the year 2020 the enrollment will be 5,732,878. The corresponding ideal number of academic staff required will be 70,854 and 286,644 for 2010 and 2020 respectively. It was suggested that proactive actions should be taken by the managements and councils of the various universities at meeting the demand-supply staff needs of the university system.  \nIntroduction  \nMaking projection in education has been regarded as the centerpiece of quantitative aspect of educational planning. As such, educational planners are to be grounded in the techniques of making projection. Projection informs the educational planner of a future pattern and trend of education parameters, especially the resource requirements in the educational system. These include enrollment, staffing, facilities, funding, etc. Projection also acquaints the institutional managers with the number of students and staff that would be expected in the system at a future period, assuming no change occurs in the educational system.  \nProjection in the educational system is therefore, a conditional forecast based on explicit assumptions and it holds true if the assumptions are realized (Nwankwo, 1981) . All levels of education require timely projection of resources for an effective operation and sustainable development. According to (Mehta (2004). projections are conditional statements about the future and they refer mostly to the exercises of extrapolation of the past trends into the future, which oftentimes do not take into account changes in the policy parameters, nor take into account changes in the government policies, programs, etc. in projecting the future population growth. Often times the reliability and usefulness of projections depend on the assumptions and their closeness to reality.  \nIn Nigeria, university education has grown into a complex system over the years. The structure, program and management are all affected. The resource inputs have also grown tremendously. The numbers of universities, the enrollment and staff have all gone up in comparison to the situation during the pre-Independence era. The number of the nation’s universities have increased from one University College in 1948 to one hundred  \nEducational Planning 5 Vol. 21, No. 1  \nand two in 2009, with a total student population of about 1,218,312 (Joint Admission Matriculation Board, JAMB: 2009) . Despite this number, it was affirmed that more than double the country’s present number of universities will be required to meet the general perception of Nigerians that believed that only university degree could give them a good future. This assertion could be seen in the ever increasing gap between demand and supply of university education in the coun","cbCaislcm3PzsveV","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaislcm3PzsveV","pdf",196771,13,"English","# Introduction\n## Educational projection and resource planning\n## Growth of university education in Nigeria\n## Enrollment demand-supply challenges\n## Importance of enrollment data","[{\"question\":\"What drives the growth of student enrollment in Nigerian universities?\",\"answer\":\"The paper links enrollment growth to free, universal and compulsory education policies at primary to junior secondary levels, Nigeria’s high population, and an annual growth rate of about 3.2%.\"},{\"question\":\"How are future enrollment and academic staff numbers projected in the study?\",\"answer\":\"The study collects existing enrollment and academic staff data from relevant records, then analyzes trends using extrapolation equations and staff-student ratios for each discipline.\"},{\"question\":\"What enrollment and academic staff figures does the study project for 2010 and 2020?\",\"answer\":\"Enrollment is projected to be 1,417,080 in 2010 and 5,732,878 in 2020, with corresponding ideal academic staff needs of 70,854 and 286,644 respectively.\"}]","Projecting Enrollment for Effective Academic Staff Planning in Nigerian Universities | PDF",1792095037,33]