[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"detail-sidebar-cat-0-en-105":3,"doc-seo-206841-105":59,"doc-detail-206841-en":124},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"success",[7,13,18,23,28,33,38,43,48,51,55],{"id":8,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":10,"show_sort_weight":11,"slug":12},1,"Document","Story & Novel",90,"story-novel",{"id":14,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":15,"show_sort_weight":16,"slug":17},2,"Literature",80,"literature",{"id":19,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":20,"show_sort_weight":21,"slug":22},4,"Exam",70,"exam",{"id":24,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":25,"show_sort_weight":26,"slug":27},5,"Comic",60,"comic",{"id":29,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":30,"show_sort_weight":31,"slug":32},6,"Technology",50,"technology",{"id":34,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":35,"show_sort_weight":36,"slug":37},7,"Healthcare",40,"healthcare",{"id":39,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":40,"show_sort_weight":41,"slug":42},8,"Research & Report",30,"research-report",{"id":44,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":45,"show_sort_weight":46,"slug":47},9,"Religion & Spirituality",20,"religion-spirituality",{"id":46,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":49,"show_sort_weight":46,"slug":50},"World Cup","world-cup",{"id":52,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":53,"show_sort_weight":52,"slug":54},10,"Lifestyle","lifestyle",{"id":56,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":57,"show_sort_weight":24,"slug":58},19,"General","general",{"code":4,"msg":60,"data":61},"ok",{"site_id":62,"language":63,"slug":64,"title":65,"keywords":66,"description":67,"schema_data":68,"social_meta":117,"head_meta":119,"extra_data":121,"updated_unix":123},105,"en","progression-from-gcse-to-a-level-statistics-report-series-no-139","Progression from GCSE to A level - Statistics Report Series No. 139","","This statistics report investigates how students progress from GCSE to A level in the same or related subject across 2020–2022. It estimates overall progression rates for selected subjects using linked National Pupil Database records, then further breaks rates down by GCSE grade bands and student gender. The analysis also examines grade-to-grade relationships, including correlations between GCSE and A level attainment, while documenting data exclusions such as GCSE grade X and limitations from delayed A level entry.",{"@graph":69,"@context":116},[70,84,99],{"@type":71,"itemListElement":72},"BreadcrumbList",[73,77,79,82],{"item":74,"name":75,"@type":76,"position":8},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":78,"name":9,"@type":76,"position":14},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/",{"item":80,"name":40,"@type":76,"position":81},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":83,"name":65,"@type":76,"position":19},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/progression-from-gcse-to-a-level-statistics-report-series-no-139/206841/",{"url":83,"name":65,"@type":85,"author":86,"headline":65,"publisher":89,"fileFormat":92,"inLanguage":63,"description":67,"dateModified":93,"datePublished":93,"encodingFormat":92,"isAccessibleForFree":94,"interactionStatistic":95},"DigitalDocument",{"name":87,"@type":88},"Grenda","Person",{"url":74,"name":90,"@type":91},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-09-05",true,{"@type":96,"interactionType":97,"userInteractionCount":4},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":98},"ViewAction",{"@type":100,"mainEntity":101},"FAQPage",[102,108,112],{"name":103,"@type":104,"acceptedAnswer":105},"What progression does the report measure from GCSE to A level?","Question",{"text":106,"@type":107},"A student is considered to have progressed when they have both a GCSE and an A level result for the same subject.","Answer",{"name":109,"@type":104,"acceptedAnswer":110},"How are progression rates calculated and broken down?",{"text":111,"@type":107},"The report calculates overall progression rates, then estimates additional rates for students with GCSE grades in the 9–4 range, with both analyses broken down by student gender.",{"name":113,"@type":104,"acceptedAnswer":114},"How does the report study relationships between GCSE and A level grades?",{"text":115,"@type":107},"It estimates Pearson correlations between achieved GCSE and A level grades and also calculates cumulative percentages of students reaching each A level grade.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":83,"og:type":118,"og:title":65,"og:site_name":90,"og:description":67},"article",{"robots":120,"canonical":83},"index,follow",{"doc_id":122,"site_id":62},206841,1788596289,{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":125},{"doc_id":122,"user_id":126,"nickname":87,"user_avatar":127,"doc_module":4,"category_id":39,"category_name":40,"doc_title":65,"doc_description":67,"doc_content":128,"file_id":129,"file_url":130,"file_type":131,"file_size":132,"view_count":4,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":8,"is_downloadable":8,"audit_status":8,"page_count":133,"language":134,"language_code":63,"site_id":62,"html_lang":63,"table_of_contents":135,"faqs":136,"seo_title":137,"seo_description":67,"update_tm":123,"read_time":36},7971474921005,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_29158cc5080c5b710cf443261637dec0","Progression from GCSE to A Level, 2020–2022  \nStatistics Report Series No. 139  \nJoanna Williamson Carmen Vidal Rodeiro  \n01 February 2024  \nAuthor contact details:  \nCarmen Vidal Rodeiro  \nAssessment Research and Development Research Division  \nShaftesbury Road  \nCambridge CB2 8EA UK  \n[carmen.vidalrodeiro@cambridge.org](carmen.vidalrodeiro@cambridge.org)  \n[https://www.cambridge.org/](https://www.cambridge.org/)  \nAs a department of the university, Cambridge University Press & Assessment is respected and trusted worldwide, managing three world-class examination boards, and maintaining the highest standards in educational assessment and learning. We are a not-for-profit organisation.  \nCambridge University Press & Assessment is committed to making our documents accessible in accordance with the WCAG 2.1 Standard. We’re always looking to improve the accessibility of our documents. If you find any problems or you think we’re not meeting accessibility requirements, contact our team: Research Division  \nIf you need this document in a different format contact us telling us your name, email address and requirements and we will respond within 15 working days.  \nHow to cite this publication:  \nWilliamson, J. , & Vidal Rodeiro, C. L. (2024) . Progression from GCSE to A level, 2020–2022.(Statistics Report Series No. 139) . Cambridge University Press & Assessment.  \nAcknowledgements:  \nThis work was carried out in the Secure Research Service, part of the Office for National Statistics (ONS) . It contains statistical data from ONS which is Crown Copyright. The use of the ONS statistical data in this work does not imply the endorsement of the ONS in relation to the interpretation or analysis of the statistical data. This work uses research datasets which may not exactly reproduce National Statistics aggregates.  \nIntroduction  \nIn this report we investigate the progression of students from GCSE to A level in the same (or related) subject. That is, for a range of subjects, we calculate the proportion of GCSE students who continue to study the subject at A level. To understand possible sources of variation, we also break down progression rates by GCSE grade and student gender. Finally, we consider relationships between GCSE and A level grades for those students who do progress. To evaluate whether there have been any changes in progression over time, we refer to previous versions of this analysis (Carroll & Gill, 2023; Gill, 2019) .  \nA student’s decision to study a subject beyond GCSE may be influenced by various factors (see, for example, Vidal Rodeiro (2007)), including enjoyment of the subject, attainment, and usefulness for career plans. Alongside these more personal factors, there may also be constraints imposed by the school or college, such as whether the subject is offered, and whether the school restricts entry onto A level courses based on GCSE attainment. Accordingly, we do not attempt to explain the reasons for any differences observed in subject progression here; instead, we focus on reporting progression rates.  \nData and Methods  \nThe data for these analyses was taken from the National Pupil Database (NPD), maintained by the Department for Education. Access to the data was provided via the Office for National Statistics Secure Research Service, and all analyses were carried out in the secure environment.  \nWe extracted GCSE results for all students who were in Year 11 in the 2019/2020 school year from the 2020 Key Stage 4 (KS4) database. Note that this sample included all GCSEs awarded to these students, i.e. , both those taken in 2020 and any taken early. GCSEs graded X1 were excluded from the dataset. We then used unique pupil identifier numbers to match the students to any A level results recorded in the 2022 Key Stage 5 (KS5) database. Note that as A levels are studied over two years, this should have included all A levels taken by this cohort, but if any students delayed taking A levels (e.g. , through repeating a year ","cbCaibcpqqQuRR9d","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaibcpqqQuRR9d","pdf",790798,16,"English","# Introduction\n## Data and Methods","[{\"question\":\"What progression does the report measure from GCSE to A level?\",\"answer\":\"A student is considered to have progressed when they have both a GCSE and an A level result for the same subject.\"},{\"question\":\"How are progression rates calculated and broken down?\",\"answer\":\"The report calculates overall progression rates, then estimates additional rates for students with GCSE grades in the 9–4 range, with both analyses broken down by student gender.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the report study relationships between GCSE and A level grades?\",\"answer\":\"It estimates Pearson correlations between achieved GCSE and A level grades and also calculates cumulative percentages of students reaching each A level grade.\"}]","Progression from GCSE to A level - Statistics Report Series No. 139 | PDF"]