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.................................................................................................................. 3  \nExecutive Summary .................................................................................................................. 4  \nStructure and objective of the modelling framework................................................................. 5  \nModel features......................................................................................................................... 9  \nGEM-E3 .......................................................................................................................................................... 9  \nCLIMACRED .................................................................................................................................................. 15  \nEIRIN ............................................................................................................................................................ 18  \nRepresentation of physical risks.............................................................................................. 26  \nModelling physical risk in GEM-E3 ............................................................................................................... 32  \nModelling physical risks in EIRIN ................................................................................................................. 33  \nModelling physical risk in CLIMACRED ........................................................................................................ 34  \nCalibration of the models for the Baseline scenario ................................................................. 37  \nGEM-E3 calibration ...................................................................................................................................... 37  \nGlobal Macroeconomic Outlook and country outlook ................................................................................ 37  \nCurrent Climate Policies .............................................................................................................................. 39  \nCLIMACRED calibration ................................................................................................................................ 41  \nEIRIN Model calibration ............................................................................................................................... 41  \nHighway to Paris scenario....................................................................................................... 43  \nHigh Level Narrative .................................................................................................................................... 43  \nOutline of the Implementation.................................................................................................................... 43  \nSudden wake-up call scenario ................................................................................................. 46  \nHigh level narrative...................................................................................................................................... 46  \nOutline of the implementation .................................................................................................................... 47  \nDisaster and Policy Stagnation ................................................................................................ 49  \nHigh level narrative...................................................................................................................................... 49  \nOutline of the implementation .................................................................................................................... 49  \nDiverging Realities..............................................................","cbCaivje4vX4XAgw","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaivje4vX4XAgw","pdf",2562722,83,"English","# Acknowledgements\n# Executive Summary\n# Structure and objective of the modelling framework\n# Model features\n## GEM-E3\n## CLIMACRED\n## EIRIN\n# Representation of physical risks\n## Modelling physical risk in GEM-E3\n## Modelling physical risks in EIRIN\n## Modelling physical risk in CLIMACRED\n# Calibration of the models for the Baseline scenario\n## GEM-E3 calibration\n## CLIMACRED calibration\n## EIRIN Model calibration\n# Highway to Paris scenario\n## High Level Narrative\n## Outline of the Implementation\n# Sudden wake-up call scenario\n## High level narrative\n## Outline of the implementation\n# Disaster and Policy Stagnation\n## High level narrative\n## Outline of the implementation\n# Diverging Realities\n## High Level Narrative\n## Outline of the implementation\n# Data access & tools\n# References\n# ANNEX","[{\"question\":\"What are the main model components described in the NGFS short-term climate scenarios framework?\",\"answer\":\"The documentation presents model features for GEM-E3, CLIMACRED, and EIRIN, and explains how each contributes to scenario analysis and risk representation.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the report handle representation and modelling of physical risks?\",\"answer\":\"It outlines how physical risks are represented and then details modelling approaches for physical risks within GEM-E3, EIRIN, and CLIMACRED.\"},{\"question\":\"What calibration work is performed for the Baseline scenario?\",\"answer\":\"It includes GEM-E3 calibration, CLIMACRED calibration, and EIRIN model calibration, together with components such as global macroeconomic outlook, country outlook, and current climate policies.\"}]","NGFS Short-Term Climate Scenarios - Technical Documentation - Version 1.0 - May 2025 | PDF",1789650361,209]