[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"doc-detail-33516-en":3,"doc-seo-33516-105":29},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"success",{"doc_id":7,"user_id":8,"nickname":9,"user_avatar":10,"doc_module":4,"category_id":11,"category_name":12,"doc_title":13,"doc_description":14,"doc_content":15,"file_id":16,"file_url":17,"file_type":18,"file_size":19,"view_count":4,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":20,"is_downloadable":20,"audit_status":20,"page_count":21,"language":22,"language_code":23,"site_id":24,"html_lang":23,"table_of_contents":25,"faqs":26,"seo_title":13,"seo_description":14,"update_tm":27,"read_time":28},33516,8796095461610,"Oliver","https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_276721f389ce27ea32af1340a28f341c",4,"Exam","Newcomb’s Problem and Two Principles of Choice","Newcomb’s problem presents a choice between taking $1000 only (by taking both boxes, since the second box depends on a prediction) or taking the contents of a second box that may contain $1,000,000 or nothing. An entity with extraordinary predictive accuracy determines whether the second box contains the million based on what you will choose, knowing that you know. Two intuitive arguments support opposite actions, and the core task is to explain why one argument fails to apply legitimately to this decision scenario.","","cbCailJh5iJkKFoa","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCailJh5iJkKFoa","pdf",1791542,1,17,"English","en",105,"# Setup of the prediction game\n## The two boxes and the choice options\n# The predictive mechanism\n## How the million is placed in the second box\n# Competing intuitive arguments\n## First argument leading to take only the second box\n## Second argument leading to take both boxes\n# Rationality and implications of betting","[{\"question\":\"What are the two boxes and the two possible choices in Newcomb’s problem?\",\"answer\":\"Box (B1) contains $1000. Box (B2) contains either $1,000,000 or nothing, and you choose either to take what is in both boxes or to take only what is in the second box.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the predicting being determine whether $1,000,000 is in the second box?\",\"answer\":\"The being predicts what you will choose and, if it predicts you will take both boxes, it does not put the $1,000,000 in (B2); if it predicts you will take only (B2), it does put the $1,000,000 in (B2).\"},{\"question\":\"Why do the two arguments lead to different decisions?\",\"answer\":\"The first argument treats the being’s prediction as nearly certain and concludes that taking only (B2) yields $1,000,000. The second argument treats the placement of $1,000,000 as already fixed and concludes that taking both boxes yields $1000 more in the already-determined cases.\"}]",1782211704,43,{"code":4,"msg":30,"data":31},"ok",{"site_id":24,"language":23,"slug":32,"title":13,"keywords":15,"description":14,"schema_data":33,"social_meta":83,"head_meta":85,"extra_data":87,"updated_unix":27},"newcombs-problem-and-two-principles-of-choice",{"@graph":34,"@context":82},[35,51,65],{"@type":36,"itemListElement":37},"BreadcrumbList",[38,42,46,49],{"item":39,"name":40,"@type":41,"position":20},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":43,"name":44,"@type":41,"position":45},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/","Document",2,{"item":47,"name":12,"@type":41,"position":48},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/exam/",3,{"item":50,"name":13,"@type":41,"position":11},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/newcombs-problem-and-two-principles-of-choice/33516/",{"url":50,"name":13,"@type":52,"author":53,"headline":13,"publisher":55,"fileFormat":58,"description":14,"dateModified":59,"datePublished":59,"encodingFormat":58,"isAccessibleForFree":60,"interactionStatistic":61},"DigitalDocument",{"name":9,"@type":54},"Person",{"url":39,"name":56,"@type":57},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-06-23",true,{"@type":62,"interactionType":63,"userInteractionCount":4},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":64},"ViewAction",{"@type":66,"mainEntity":67},"FAQPage",[68,74,78],{"name":69,"@type":70,"acceptedAnswer":71},"What are the two boxes and the two possible choices in Newcomb’s problem?","Question",{"text":72,"@type":73},"Box (B1) contains $1000. Box (B2) contains either $1,000,000 or nothing, and you choose either to take what is in both boxes or to take only what is in the second box.","Answer",{"name":75,"@type":70,"acceptedAnswer":76},"How does the predicting being determine whether $1,000,000 is in the second box?",{"text":77,"@type":73},"The being predicts what you will choose and, if it predicts you will take both boxes, it does not put the $1,000,000 in (B2); if it predicts you will take only (B2), it does put the $1,000,000 in (B2).",{"name":79,"@type":70,"acceptedAnswer":80},"Why do the two arguments lead to different decisions?",{"text":81,"@type":73},"The first argument treats the being’s prediction as nearly certain and concludes that taking only (B2) yields $1,000,000. The second argument treats the placement of $1,000,000 as already fixed and concludes that taking both boxes yields $1000 more in the already-determined cases.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":50,"og:type":84,"og:title":13,"og:site_name":56,"og:description":14},"article",{"robots":86,"canonical":50},"index,follow",{"doc_id":7,"site_id":24}]