[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"doc-seo-584542-105":3,"detail-sidebar-cat-0-en-105":81,"doc-detail-584542-en":130},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"ok",{"site_id":7,"language":8,"slug":9,"title":10,"keywords":11,"description":12,"schema_data":13,"social_meta":74,"head_meta":76,"extra_data":78,"updated_unix":80},105,"en","kasb-2019-20-enrollment-projections-enrollment-forecast-findings-and-methods","KASB 2019-20 Enrollment Projections - Enrollment Forecast Findings and Methods","","KASB 2019-20 Enrollment Projections compiles enrollment outlooks for Kansas school years 2020-21 through 2024-25 using historical enrollment data combined with county-level live birth statistics. The forecast projects total enrollment to fall from 499,331 in 2019-20 to 487,665 by 2024-25, a 2.3% decline, while student eligibility rates for ELL, free/reduced-price lunch, and special education are expected to remain largely stable. Grade-level distribution is forecast to shift, with decreases in lower grades and increases in higher grades, signaling continued population decline after 2024-25.",{"@graph":14,"@context":73},[15,34,56],{"@type":16,"itemListElement":17},"BreadcrumbList",[18,23,27,31],{"item":19,"name":20,"@type":21,"position":22},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",1,{"item":24,"name":25,"@type":21,"position":26},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/","Document",2,{"item":28,"name":29,"@type":21,"position":30},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/","Research & Report",3,{"item":32,"name":10,"@type":21,"position":33},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/kasb-2019-20-enrollment-projections-enrollment-forecast-findings-and-methods/584542/",4,{"url":32,"name":10,"@type":35,"image":36,"author":41,"headline":10,"publisher":44,"fileFormat":47,"inLanguage":8,"description":12,"dateModified":48,"datePublished":49,"encodingFormat":47,"isAccessibleForFree":50,"interactionStatistic":51},"DigitalDocument",{"url":37,"@type":38,"width":39,"height":40},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/kasb-2019-20-enrollment-projections-enrollment-forecast-findings-and-methods/584542.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":42,"@type":43},"WPS_1786070896","Person",{"url":19,"name":45,"@type":46},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-11-14","2026-10-15",true,{"@type":52,"interactionType":53,"userInteractionCount":55},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":54},"ViewAction",9,{"@type":57,"mainEntity":58},"FAQPage",[59,65,69],{"name":60,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":62},"What enrollment trend does KASB project from 2020-21 through 2024-25?","Question",{"text":63,"@type":64},"Total enrollment is projected to decline overall, from 499,331 in 2019-20 to 487,665 in 2024-25, reflecting a 2.3% decrease in the total student population.","Answer",{"name":66,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":67},"Which student characteristics are expected to change little in the forecast period?",{"text":68,"@type":64},"The report indicates no notable expected change in the percentage of students eligible for English language learner status, free or reduced-price lunch, or special education, and no notable change in gender, race, or ethnic makeup.",{"name":70,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":71},"How does the report explain why enrollment may decline?",{"text":72,"@type":64},"Enrollment projections rely on historical enrollment and county-level live birth statistics; the document notes a decline in the number of children born in Kansas over the past decade, suggesting enrollment will continue to decline.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":32,"og:type":75,"og:title":10,"og:site_name":45,"og:description":12},"article",{"robots":77,"canonical":32},"index,follow",{"doc_id":79,"site_id":7},584542,1792105010,{"code":4,"msg":82,"data":83},"success",[84,88,92,96,101,106,111,115,119,122,126],{"id":22,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":85,"show_sort_weight":86,"slug":87},"Story & Novel",90,"story-novel",{"id":26,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":89,"show_sort_weight":90,"slug":91},"Literature",80,"literature",{"id":33,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":93,"show_sort_weight":94,"slug":95},"Exam",70,"exam",{"id":97,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":98,"show_sort_weight":99,"slug":100},5,"Comic",60,"comic",{"id":102,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":103,"show_sort_weight":104,"slug":105},6,"Technology",50,"technology",{"id":107,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":108,"show_sort_weight":109,"slug":110},7,"Healthcare",40,"healthcare",{"id":112,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":29,"show_sort_weight":113,"slug":114},8,30,"research-report",{"id":55,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":116,"show_sort_weight":117,"slug":118},"Religion & Spirituality",20,"religion-spirituality",{"id":117,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":120,"show_sort_weight":117,"slug":121},"World Cup","world-cup",{"id":123,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":124,"show_sort_weight":123,"slug":125},10,"Lifestyle","lifestyle",{"id":127,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":128,"show_sort_weight":97,"slug":129},19,"General","general",{"code":4,"msg":82,"data":131},{"doc_id":79,"user_id":132,"nickname":42,"user_avatar":133,"doc_module":4,"category_id":112,"category_name":29,"doc_title":10,"doc_description":12,"doc_content":134,"file_id":135,"file_url":136,"file_type":137,"file_size":138,"view_count":55,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":22,"is_downloadable":22,"audit_status":22,"page_count":139,"language":140,"language_code":8,"site_id":7,"html_lang":8,"table_of_contents":141,"faqs":142,"seo_title":143,"seo_description":12,"update_tm":144,"read_time":145,"preview_page_count":4},549768072016,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_155a257f0dc6eb9ab79c44ca47cae57d","KASB 2019-20 Enrollment Projections  \nIntroduction  \nThis report summarizes the findings from the KASB 2019-20 Enrollment Projections and describes the new methods KASB members can use to access this information.  \nKey Findings  \nKASB’s enrollment projections for the 2020-21 through 2024-25 school years indicate:  \n• Total enrollment will decline from 499,331 in 2019-20 to 487,665 in 2024-25. This represents a 2.3% decline in the total student population.  \n• No notable change is expected in the percent of students eligible for English language learner status, free or reduced-price lunch, or special education.  \n• No notable change is expected in the gender, race, or ethnic makeup of the student population.  \nBirth Data  \nKASB’s enrollment projections rely on both historical enrollment data and county-level live birth statistics. The following  \ntable shows births by school year from 2007-08 through 2017-18.  \n\n| School Year |  Births  % Change | Cumulative % Change |  |\n| --- | --- | --- | --- |\n| 2007-08 | \u003Cbr>41,786 |  |  |\n| 2008-09 | 41,321 | -1.1% | -1.1% |\n| 2009-10 | \u003Cbr>40,994 | -0.8% | -1.9% |\n| 2010-11 | 39,764 | -3.0% | -4.8% |\n| 2011-12 | \u003Cbr>39,917 | 0.4% | -4.5% |\n| 2012-13 | 39,224 | -1.7% | -6.1% |\n| 2013-14 | \u003Cbr>39,400 | 0.4% | -5.7% |\n| 2014-15 | 38,902 | -1.3% | -6.9% |\n| 2015-16 | \u003Cbr>38,638 | -0.7% | -7.5% |\n| 2016-17 | 37,094 | -4.0% | -11.2% |\n| 2017-18 | \u003Cbr>36,185 | -2.5% | -13.4% |\n\nAs the table shows, in the past decade there was a 13% decrease in the number of children born in Kansas each school year. With the number of children born in Kansas declining, enrollment numbers can be expected to continue to decline.  \nTotal Enrollment  \nThe following chart and table show the total enrollment by school year. Data from 2007-08 through 2019-20 is actual, and data from 2020-21 through 2024-25 is projected.  \n| School Year | Total Enrollment | % Change | Cumulative % Change | Projected % Change |\n| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |\n| 2007-08 | 468,704 |  |  |  |\n| 2008-09 | 470,316 | 0.3% | 0.3% |  |\n| 2009-10 | 475,373 | 1.1% | 1.4% |  |\n| 2010-11 | 485,082 | 2.0% | 3.5% |  |\n| 2011-12 | 486,956 | 0.4% | 3.9% |  |\n| 2012-13 | 489,582 | 0.5% | 4.5% |  |\n| 2013-14 | 496,903 | 1.5% | 6.0% |  |\n| 2014-15 | 497,778 | 0.2% | 6.2% |  |\n| 2015-16 | 496,739 | -0.2% | 6.0% |  |\n| 2016-17 | 495,356 | -0.3% | 5.7% |  |\n| 2017-18 | 498,317 | 0.6% | 6.3% |  |\n| 2018-19 | 499,034 | 0.1% | 6.5% |  |\n| 2019-20 | 499,331 | 0.1% | 6.5% |  |\n| 2020-21 | 499,231 | 0.0% | 6.5% | 0.0% |\n| 2021-22 | 496,542 | -0.5% | 5.9% | -0.6% |\n| 2022-23 | 495,498 | -0.2% | 5.7% | -0.8% |\n| 2023-24 | 492,263 | -0.7% | 5.0% | -1.4% |\n| 2024-25 | 487,665 | -0.9% | 4.0% | -2.3% |\n\nThough enrollment has been increasing slightly since 2016-17, the projections suggest that the total will remain essentially level next year then begin declining, with an overall decrease of 2 .3% by 2024-25.  \nGrade Levels  \nThe following chart and table show the enrollment by grade level for 2007-08, 2019-20, and the projected 2024-25 numbers.  \n| Category | 2007-08 |  | \u003Cbr>Count | 2019-20\u003Cbr>\u003Cbr>% of Total | \u003Cbr>% Change | \u003Cbr>Count | 2024-25\u003Cbr>\u003Cbr>% of Total | \u003Cbr>% Change |\n| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |\n|  | Count | % of Total |  |  |  |  |  |  |\n| K | 35,462 | 7.6% | 35,521 | 0.2% | -0.5% | 32,769 | 6.7% | -7.7% |\n| 1 | \u003Cbr>35,751 | \u003Cbr>7.6% | \u003Cbr>35,217 | \u003Cbr>-1.5% | \u003Cbr>-0.6% | 32,626 | \u003Cbr>6.7% | \u003Cbr>-7.4% |\n| 2 | 35,284 | 7.5% | 35,602 | 0.9% | -0.4% | 33,318 | 6.8% | -6.4% |\n| 3 | 34,688 | 7.4% | 35,668 | 2.8% | -0.3% | 34,790 | 7.1% | -2.5% |\n| 4 | 34,366 | 7.3% | 36,584 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 35,077 | 7.2% | -4.1% |\n| 5 | 33,470 | 7.1% | 37,123 | 10.9% | 0.3% | 35,571 | 7.3% | -4.2% |\n| 6 | 33,823 | 7.2% | 37,814 | 11.8% | 0.4% | 35,591 | 7.3% | -5.9% |\n| 7 | 34,338 | 7.3% | 37,873 | 10.3% | 0.3% | 36,140 | 7.4% | -4.6% |\n| 8 | 34,555 | 7.4% | 36,962 | 7.0% | 0.0% | 36,139 | 7.4% | -2.2% |\n| 9 | 37,431 | 8.0% | 37,345 | -0.2% | -0.5% | 38","cbCaiqaILwZdACMT","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaiqaILwZdACMT","pdf",962853,11,"English","# Introduction\n# Key Findings\n# Birth Data\n# Total Enrollment\n# Grade Levels\n# Program Participation\n## ELL\n## Lunch\n## Special Education","[{\"question\":\"What enrollment trend does KASB project from 2020-21 through 2024-25?\",\"answer\":\"Total enrollment is projected to decline overall, from 499,331 in 2019-20 to 487,665 in 2024-25, reflecting a 2.3% decrease in the total student population.\"},{\"question\":\"Which student characteristics are expected to change little in the forecast period?\",\"answer\":\"The report indicates no notable expected change in the percentage of students eligible for English language learner status, free or reduced-price lunch, or special education, and no notable change in gender, race, or ethnic makeup.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the report explain why enrollment may decline?\",\"answer\":\"Enrollment projections rely on historical enrollment and county-level live birth statistics; the document notes a decline in the number of children born in Kansas over the past decade, suggesting enrollment will continue to decline.\"}]","KASB 2019-20 Enrollment Projections - Enrollment Forecast Findings and Methods | PDF",1792051390,28]