[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"detail-sidebar-cat-0-en-105":3,"doc-seo-584486-105":59,"doc-detail-584486-en":130},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"success",[7,13,18,23,28,33,38,43,48,51,55],{"id":8,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":10,"show_sort_weight":11,"slug":12},1,"Document","Story & Novel",90,"story-novel",{"id":14,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":15,"show_sort_weight":16,"slug":17},2,"Literature",80,"literature",{"id":19,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":20,"show_sort_weight":21,"slug":22},4,"Exam",70,"exam",{"id":24,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":25,"show_sort_weight":26,"slug":27},5,"Comic",60,"comic",{"id":29,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":30,"show_sort_weight":31,"slug":32},6,"Technology",50,"technology",{"id":34,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":35,"show_sort_weight":36,"slug":37},7,"Healthcare",40,"healthcare",{"id":39,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":40,"show_sort_weight":41,"slug":42},8,"Research & Report",30,"research-report",{"id":44,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":45,"show_sort_weight":46,"slug":47},9,"Religion & Spirituality",20,"religion-spirituality",{"id":46,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":49,"show_sort_weight":46,"slug":50},"World Cup","world-cup",{"id":52,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":53,"show_sort_weight":52,"slug":54},10,"Lifestyle","lifestyle",{"id":56,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":9,"category_name":57,"show_sort_weight":24,"slug":58},19,"General","general",{"code":4,"msg":60,"data":61},"ok",{"site_id":62,"language":63,"slug":64,"title":65,"keywords":66,"description":67,"schema_data":68,"social_meta":123,"head_meta":125,"extra_data":127,"updated_unix":129},105,"en","kasb-2017-18-enrollment-projection-report","KASB 2017-18 Enrollment Projection Report","","KASB’s 2017-18 Enrollment Projection Report analyzes projected student enrollment trends for Kansas statewide and explains how district-level projections can be accessed. Key findings cover expected year-to-year changes from 2018-19 through 2022-23, shifts in grade K-6 and early-age Special Education participation, changes in district size mix, and variations by KASB regions. It also evaluates lunch status eligibility stability and tracks average student age trends to assess validity and future enrollment implications.",{"@graph":69,"@context":122},[70,84,105],{"@type":71,"itemListElement":72},"BreadcrumbList",[73,77,79,82],{"item":74,"name":75,"@type":76,"position":8},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":78,"name":9,"@type":76,"position":14},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/",{"item":80,"name":40,"@type":76,"position":81},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":83,"name":65,"@type":76,"position":19},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/kasb-2017-18-enrollment-projection-report/584486/",{"url":83,"name":65,"@type":85,"image":86,"author":91,"headline":65,"publisher":94,"fileFormat":97,"inLanguage":63,"description":67,"dateModified":98,"datePublished":99,"encodingFormat":97,"isAccessibleForFree":100,"interactionStatistic":101},"DigitalDocument",{"url":87,"@type":88,"width":89,"height":90},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/kasb-2017-18-enrollment-projection-report/584486.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":92,"@type":93},"WPS_1786070896","Person",{"url":74,"name":95,"@type":96},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-11-05","2026-10-15",true,{"@type":102,"interactionType":103,"userInteractionCount":39},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":104},"ViewAction",{"@type":106,"mainEntity":107},"FAQPage",[108,114,118],{"name":109,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":111},"What enrollment trends does the report project for Kansas from 2018-19 to 2022-23?","Question",{"text":112,"@type":113},"The report expects a 0.4% increase next year, then declines from 2018-19 to 2019-20, steadiness into 2020-21, and an approximate 0.2% annual decline through 2022-23.","Answer",{"name":115,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":116},"How does the report estimate first-grade enrollment for districts?",{"text":117,"@type":113},"It calculates a ratio of births by county to first-grade enrollment seven years later, then applies a five-year rolling average of these ratios to actual resident live births to produce estimated future first-grade numbers.",{"name":119,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":120},"How are lunch status eligibility projections handled in the report?",{"text":121,"@type":113},"It computes ratios for each lunch eligibility group relative to total K-12 students for the same year, and tracks how eligibility shares change over time, indicating reduced-price eligibility decreases slightly while other categories remain virtually the same.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":83,"og:type":124,"og:title":65,"og:site_name":95,"og:description":67},"article",{"robots":126,"canonical":83},"index,follow",{"doc_id":128,"site_id":62},584486,1792105061,{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":131},{"doc_id":128,"user_id":132,"nickname":92,"user_avatar":133,"doc_module":4,"category_id":39,"category_name":40,"doc_title":65,"doc_description":67,"doc_content":134,"file_id":135,"file_url":136,"file_type":137,"file_size":138,"view_count":39,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":8,"is_downloadable":8,"audit_status":8,"page_count":139,"language":140,"language_code":63,"site_id":62,"html_lang":63,"table_of_contents":141,"faqs":142,"seo_title":143,"seo_description":67,"update_tm":144,"read_time":26,"preview_page_count":4},549768072016,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_155a257f0dc6eb9ab79c44ca47cae57d","KASB 2017‐18 Enrollment ProjecƟon Report  \nTed Carter, Research Specialist January, 2018  \nKey Findings  \nThis report presents the ﬁndings from KASB’s 2017‐18 Enrollment ProjecƟons for the state of Kansas as a whole, and also provides instrucƟons on how these projecƟons can be accessed at the district level. Here are some of the key ﬁndings:  \n􀁸 The projected enrollment is expected to increase 0.4 percent next year, decline from 2018‐19 to 2019‐20, stay steady into 2020‐21, then decline approximately 0.2 percent annually through 2022‐23.  \n􀁸 From 2017‐18 to 2022‐23 there will be a decrease in the percent of students in grades K‐6 and for Special EducaƟon 3 and 4‐year olds, 4 year‐old at risk students, and Pre‐Kindergarten students.  \n􀁸 The percent of students coming from small and medium districts will increase from 2017‐18 to 2022‐23.  \n􀁸 From 2017‐18 to 2022‐23, the percent of students coming from KASB Regions 1, 4, and 6‐9 will increase slightly, while the percent coming from Regions 2, 3, 5, and 10 will decrease. However, all of these chang‐ es are small percent changes.  \n􀁸 Between 2017‐18 and 2022‐23, the percent of students eligible for free lunch and those eligible for full‐ price lunch will remain virtually the same, but the percent eligible for reduced‐price lunch will decrease slightly.  \n􀁸 The calculated average age of students from districts with between 5001 and 50,000 has been increasing, suggesƟng that these larger districts might see a decrease in enrollment in the future.  \n􀁸 Comparison of actual values to previously projected values suggest that the KASB enrollment projecƟon calculaƟons produce highly accurate predicƟons.  \nContents  \nKey Findings 1  \nIntroducƟon 2  \nMethodology 2  \nTotal Enrollment 5  \nGrades 6  \nDistricts 7  \nDistrict Size 8  \nKASB Region 9  \nLunch Status 10  \nAverage Age 12  \nValidity 14  \nTable: District Totals 17  \nAccessing District– Level Data 24  \nIntroducƟon  \nThis report presents the ﬁndings from KASB’s 2017‐ 18 Enrollment ProjecƟons for the state of Kansas asa whole, and also provides instrucƟons on how these projecƟons can be accessed at the district level.  \nMethodology  \nThe following describes the methods used for devel‐ oping the Enrollment ProjecƟons contained in this report. This method is based on the one used by KASB for many years, but was enhanced and expand‐ ed as of the 2014‐15 school year.  \nIniƟal Data  \nKASB acquires unaudited enrollment counts and the percent enrolled who qualify for free lunch, reduced‐ price lunch, and full‐price lunch from the Kansas State Department of EducaƟon (KSDE) via their Com‐ paraƟve Performance & Fiscal System ( hƩ p:// [datacentral.ksde.org/cpfs.aspx](datacentral.ksde.org/cpfs.aspx) ) .  \nKASB acquires county‐level birth data by month from the Kansas Department of Health and Environment via their Annual Summary of Vital StaƟsƟcs ( hƩ p:// [www.kdheks.gov/hci/annsumm.html](www.kdheks.gov/hci/annsumm.html)) .  \nRaƟo of Birth to First Grade Enrollment  \nTotal resident live births by county and school year are calculated using monthly births from September of one year through August of the following year; consistent with the birth dates used to determine age of eligibility for aƩending ﬁ rst grade. The birth data by county is then Ɵed to the district‐level enroll‐ ment data based on all counƟes that the district boundaries cross.  \nBecause of some of the challenges with kindergarten data, KASB uƟlizes a raƟo of births by school year to ﬁ rst grade enrollments seven years later; when the children would be turning seven years old and there‐  \n2 KASB 2017‐18 Enrollment ProjecƟon Report  \nfore be eligible for ﬁrst‐grade enrollment.  \nThis raƟo, which serves as a comparison between children born in the district to the number of stu‐ dents enrolling in ﬁ rst grade within the district seven years later, serves as the basis for the enrollment esƟmates for the district. LimitaƟons of this raƟo include the fact that it does not take into account ch","cbCaiinTJRU4DDxz","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaiinTJRU4DDxz","pdf",2887929,24,"English","# Key Findings\n# Introduction\n# Methodology\n## Initial Data\n## Ratio of Birth to First Grade Enrollment\n## Cohort Survival Rate\n## Other Grade Levels\n## Lunch Status\n# Total Enrollment\n# Grades\n# Districts\n# District Size\n# KASB Region\n# Average Age\n# Validity\n# Table: District Totals\n# Accessing District-Level Data","[{\"question\":\"What enrollment trends does the report project for Kansas from 2018-19 to 2022-23?\",\"answer\":\"The report expects a 0.4% increase next year, then declines from 2018-19 to 2019-20, steadiness into 2020-21, and an approximate 0.2% annual decline through 2022-23.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the report estimate first-grade enrollment for districts?\",\"answer\":\"It calculates a ratio of births by county to first-grade enrollment seven years later, then applies a five-year rolling average of these ratios to actual resident live births to produce estimated future first-grade numbers.\"},{\"question\":\"How are lunch status eligibility projections handled in the report?\",\"answer\":\"It computes ratios for each lunch eligibility group relative to total K-12 students for the same year, and tracks how eligibility shares change over time, indicating reduced-price eligibility decreases slightly while other categories remain virtually the same.\"}]","KASB 2017-18 Enrollment Projection Report | PDF",1792051150]