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Graduate enrollment grows more slowly, with unemployment rate changes generally reducing graduate participation.",{"@graph":14,"@context":73},[15,34,56],{"@type":16,"itemListElement":17},"BreadcrumbList",[18,23,27,31],{"item":19,"name":20,"@type":21,"position":22},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",1,{"item":24,"name":25,"@type":21,"position":26},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/","Document",2,{"item":28,"name":29,"@type":21,"position":30},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/","Research & Report",3,{"item":32,"name":10,"@type":21,"position":33},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/higher-education-enrollment-projections-2015-2023-executive-summary/586420/",4,{"url":32,"name":10,"@type":35,"image":36,"author":41,"headline":10,"publisher":44,"fileFormat":47,"inLanguage":8,"description":12,"dateModified":48,"datePublished":49,"encodingFormat":47,"isAccessibleForFree":50,"interactionStatistic":51},"DigitalDocument",{"url":37,"@type":38,"width":39,"height":40},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/higher-education-enrollment-projections-2015-2023-executive-summary/586420.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":42,"@type":43},"Quinn Holloway","Person",{"url":19,"name":45,"@type":46},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-11-12","2026-10-15",true,{"@type":52,"interactionType":53,"userInteractionCount":55},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":54},"ViewAction",14,{"@type":57,"mainEntity":58},"FAQPage",[59,65,69],{"name":60,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":62},"What data period and scope does the report use for building enrollment models?","Question",{"text":63,"@type":64},"It uses institutional enrollment data from the late 1970s through 2014 and models enrollment trends for public undergraduate and graduate programs in South Carolina by sector.","Answer",{"name":66,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":67},"Which variable best predicts undergraduate enrollment in the next year?",{"text":68,"@type":64},"Across public sectors, the single best predictor of enrollment in one year is the level of enrollment in the prior year.",{"name":70,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":71},"How does the unemployment rate relate to enrollment for undergraduate vs. graduate students?",{"text":72,"@type":64},"Since 1990, higher undergraduate enrollment is associated with rising unemployment rates, while for graduate programs increases in unemployment rate tend to decrease enrollments, especially for Comprehensive Teaching Institutions.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":32,"og:type":75,"og:title":10,"og:site_name":45,"og:description":12},"article",{"robots":77,"canonical":32},"index,follow",{"doc_id":79,"site_id":7},586420,1792124519,{"code":4,"msg":82,"data":83},"success",[84,88,92,96,101,106,111,115,120,123,127],{"id":22,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":85,"show_sort_weight":86,"slug":87},"Story & Novel",90,"story-novel",{"id":26,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":89,"show_sort_weight":90,"slug":91},"Literature",80,"literature",{"id":33,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":93,"show_sort_weight":94,"slug":95},"Exam",70,"exam",{"id":97,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":98,"show_sort_weight":99,"slug":100},5,"Comic",60,"comic",{"id":102,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":103,"show_sort_weight":104,"slug":105},6,"Technology",50,"technology",{"id":107,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":108,"show_sort_weight":109,"slug":110},7,"Healthcare",40,"healthcare",{"id":112,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":29,"show_sort_weight":113,"slug":114},8,30,"research-report",{"id":116,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":117,"show_sort_weight":118,"slug":119},9,"Religion & Spirituality",20,"religion-spirituality",{"id":118,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":121,"show_sort_weight":118,"slug":122},"World Cup","world-cup",{"id":124,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":125,"show_sort_weight":124,"slug":126},10,"Lifestyle","lifestyle",{"id":128,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":129,"show_sort_weight":97,"slug":130},19,"General","general",{"code":4,"msg":82,"data":132},{"doc_id":79,"user_id":133,"nickname":42,"user_avatar":134,"doc_module":4,"category_id":112,"category_name":29,"doc_title":10,"doc_description":12,"doc_content":135,"file_id":136,"file_url":137,"file_type":138,"file_size":139,"view_count":55,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":22,"is_downloadable":22,"audit_status":22,"page_count":140,"language":141,"language_code":8,"site_id":7,"html_lang":8,"table_of_contents":142,"faqs":143,"seo_title":144,"seo_description":12,"update_tm":145,"read_time":146,"preview_page_count":4},2336474466712,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_a8503ba1806abce46bf441b54a3ca4cd","S . C . C O M M I S S I O N O N H I G H E R E D U C A T I O N  \nHIGHER EDUCATION ENROLLMENT  \nPROJECTIONS 2015-2023  \nSEPTEMBER 2 0 1 5  \nR E P O R T B Y : E R I C A M . V O N N E S S E N , P H . D .  \n1 1 2 2 L A D Y S T . , S U I T E 3 0 0 C O L U M B I A , S C 2 9 2 0 1  \nEXECUTIVE SUMMARY  \nIntroduction:  \nThis report provides an overview of enrollment trends and enrollment projections at both the undergraduate and graduate level, by sector, for public colleges and universities in South Carolina. Using institutional enrollment data from the late 1970s through 2014, statistical models were built for each sector to determine which factors influence their enrollment and help predict future enrollment.  \nFindings:  \nUndergraduate Student Enrollment  \nEnrollment in higher education has grown tremendously over the past 25 years.  \n􀂙 Between 1990 and 2014 total enrollment in all public undergraduate programs has grown  \n62.5 percent, or about 2.0 percent per year.  \n􀂙 Between 1990 and 2014 total enrollment in all independent undergraduate programs has grown 38.7 percent, or about 1.4 percent per year.  \nWhile enrollment growth is projected to continue to increase over the next decade, there will be significant differences in the growth patterns of each of the sectors. Between 2014 and 2023 undergraduate enrollment is projected to increase:  \n􀂙 11.6 percent to slightly more than 207,000 for all public undergraduate students,  \no 16.0 percent to slightly more than 49,000 at the Research Institutions,  \no 5.8 percent to nearly 50,000 in the Comprehensive Teaching Institutions,  \no 13.1 percent to nearly 104,000 in the Technical Colleges, and  \no 0.9 percent to just under 4,500 at the Two-Year Regional Campuses of USC.  \nAcross all public sectors, the single best predictor of enrollment in one year is the level of enrollment in the prior year. Additional economic variables had differing impacts on enrollment depending on the sector examined.  \nSince 1990, the level of undergraduate enrollment has become increasingly influenced by the unemployment rate.  \n􀂙 As the unemployment rate has risen, so too has enrollment in the state’s undergraduate programs. All else equal,  \no Approximately 56 percent of the variation in enrollment at the Research Institutions could be explained by variation in the state average unemployment rate.  \no Approximately 57 percent of the variation in enrollment at the Comprehensive Teaching Institutions could be explained by variation in the state average unemployment rate.  \no Approximately 56 percent of the variation in enrollment at the Technical Colleges could be explained by variation in the state average unemployment rate.  \no Approximately 45 percent of the variation in enrollment at the Two-Year Regional Campuses of USC could be explained by variation in the state average unemployment rate.  \nOther economic variables that appear to play a role in the enrollment levels of undergraduate students include real per capita personal income and the number of seniors enrolled in the state’s public high schools.  \n􀂙 Increases in per capita personal income tend to increase undergraduate enrollment in the Technical Colleges, Comprehensive Teaching Institutions, and Research Institutions.  \n􀂙 Increases in the number of public high school seniors tend to increase undergraduate enrollment in the Research Institutions.  \n􀂙 Increases in the level of unemployment in the counties traditionally served by the Two-Year Regional Campuses of USC typically increase undergraduate enrollment in those schools.  \nGraduate Student Enrollment  \nGraduate student enrollment overall has grown at a much slower pace than undergraduate enrollment with significantly more variability.  \n􀂙 Between 1990 and 2014 total enrollment in all graduate programs has grown only 6.7 percent, or about 0.2 percent per year.  \nEnrollment growth for graduate students is projected to grow marginally over the next decade in South Carolina—consistent with natio","cbCaigEnmZrusTpi","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaigEnmZrusTpi","pdf",523236,44,"English","# Executive Summary\n# Table of Contents\n## Section 1: Introduction\n## Section 2: Background\n## Undergraduate Students\n## Graduate Students\n## Section 3: Potential Factors Influencing Enrollment\n## High School Seniors, Racial Composition, and Birth Rates\n## Unemployment Rate\n## Personal Income\n## Section 4: Forecast Models and Results\n## Undergraduate—Two Year Regional Campuses of USC\n## Undergraduate—Technical Colleges","[{\"question\":\"What data period and scope does the report use for building enrollment models?\",\"answer\":\"It uses institutional enrollment data from the late 1970s through 2014 and models enrollment trends for public undergraduate and graduate programs in South Carolina by sector.\"},{\"question\":\"Which variable best predicts undergraduate enrollment in the next year?\",\"answer\":\"Across public sectors, the single best predictor of enrollment in one year is the level of enrollment in the prior year.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the unemployment rate relate to enrollment for undergraduate vs. graduate students?\",\"answer\":\"Since 1990, higher undergraduate enrollment is associated with rising unemployment rates, while for graduate programs increases in unemployment rate tend to decrease enrollments, especially for Comprehensive Teaching Institutions.\"}]","HIGHER EDUCATION ENROLLMENT - PROJECTIONS 2015-2023 - Executive Summary | PDF",1792057872,111]