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The outlook assumes continuity in current agricultural and trade policies and uses information available by late September 2016 for production data. An uncertainty analysis quantifies potential result variations driven by macroeconomic fluctuations and key crop yield changes. A validation workshop in Brussels reviewed baseline and uncertainty scenarios with policymakers and international experts.",{"@graph":69,"@context":122},[70,84,105],{"@type":71,"itemListElement":72},"BreadcrumbList",[73,77,79,82],{"item":74,"name":75,"@type":76,"position":8},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":78,"name":9,"@type":76,"position":14},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/",{"item":80,"name":40,"@type":76,"position":81},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":83,"name":65,"@type":76,"position":19},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/eu-agricultural-outlook-prospect-for-the-eu-agricultural-markets-and-income-2016-2026/238787/",{"url":83,"name":65,"@type":85,"image":86,"author":91,"headline":65,"publisher":94,"fileFormat":97,"inLanguage":63,"description":67,"dateModified":98,"datePublished":99,"encodingFormat":97,"isAccessibleForFree":100,"interactionStatistic":101},"DigitalDocument",{"url":87,"@type":88,"width":89,"height":90},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/eu-agricultural-outlook-prospect-for-the-eu-agricultural-markets-and-income-2016-2026/238787.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":92,"@type":93},"Margaret","Person",{"url":74,"name":95,"@type":96},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-10-29","2026-09-11",true,{"@type":102,"interactionType":103,"userInteractionCount":56},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":104},"ViewAction",{"@type":106,"mainEntity":107},"FAQPage",[108,114,118],{"name":109,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":111},"What is the purpose of the EU Agricultural Outlook report?","Question",{"text":112,"@type":113},"It provides a medium-term outlook for major EU agricultural commodity markets and agricultural income up to 2026.","Answer",{"name":115,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":116},"What assumptions underpin the projections?",{"text":117,"@type":113},"The projections rely on coherent macroeconomic assumptions and assume a continuation of current agricultural and trade policies.",{"name":119,"@type":110,"acceptedAnswer":120},"How is uncertainty addressed in the report?",{"text":121,"@type":113},"An uncertainty analysis quantifies potential variations in results, especially from fluctuations in the macroeconomic environment and yields of major crops.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":83,"og:type":124,"og:title":65,"og:site_name":95,"og:description":67},"article",{"robots":126,"canonical":83},"index,follow",{"doc_id":128,"site_id":62},238787,1789139605,{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":131},{"doc_id":128,"user_id":132,"nickname":92,"user_avatar":133,"doc_module":4,"category_id":39,"category_name":40,"doc_title":65,"doc_description":67,"doc_content":134,"file_id":135,"file_url":136,"file_type":137,"file_size":138,"view_count":56,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":8,"is_downloadable":8,"audit_status":8,"page_count":139,"language":140,"language_code":63,"site_id":62,"html_lang":63,"table_of_contents":141,"faqs":142,"seo_title":143,"seo_description":67,"update_tm":129,"read_time":144,"preview_page_count":4},137451207643,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_3d24733baf745e90a7e4bdd5f77d97b2","EU AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK  \nProspect for the EU agricultural marketsand income 2016-2026  \nDecember 2016  \nAgriculture and Rural Development  \nNOTE TO THE READER  \nThis report presents the medium-term outlook for the major EU agricultural commodity markets and agricultural income to 2026, based on a set of coherent macroeconomic assumptions deemed most plausible at the time of the analysis. The projections assume a continuation of current agricultural and trade policies.  \nOur analysis is based on information available at the end of September 2016 for agricultural production and on anagro-economic model used by the European Commission. (1) It is accompanied by an uncertainty analysis quantifying potential variations of the results, stemming in particular from fluctuations in the macroeconomic environment and yields of the main crops.  \nAs part of the validation process, an external review of the baseline and the uncertainty scenarios was conducted at an outlook workshop in Brussels on 25-26 October 2016. Valuable input was collected from high-level policymakers, European and international modelling and market experts, private companies and other stakeholders, and international organisations such asthe OECD, the FAO, the IEA and the World Bank.  \nThis European Commission publication is a joint effort between the Directorate-General for Agriculture and Rural Development and the Joint Research Centre (JRC) . Responsibility for the content rests with the Directorate-General for Agriculture and Rural Development. While every effort is made to provide a robust agricultural market and income outlook, strong uncertainties remain – hence the importance given to the uncertainty analysis. This publication does not necessarily reflect the official opinion of the European Commission.  \nIn the Directorate-General for Agriculture and Rural Development, the publication and underlying baseline were prepared by Koen Dillen, Sophie Hélaine, Pierluigi Londero, Koen Mondelaers, Fabien Santini (coordinator) and Benjamin Van Doorslaer. The Directorate-General’s outlook groups contributed to the preparation of the baseline.  \nAt the JRC, the team that helped prepare the baseline, organise the outlook workshop and carry out the uncertainty and scenario analysis included Thomas Chatzopoulos, Els De Rademaeker, Thomas Fellmann, Giampiero Genovese, Hans Jensen, Silvia Kanadani Campos, Ignacio Perez Dominguez (coordinator), Simone Pieralli and Leonor Rueda. Jesús Barreiro-Hurle, Mihaly Himics, Guna Salputra (JRC D.4), María Bielza, Adrian Leip, Jean-Michel Terres and, Franz Weiss (JRC D. 5) also contributed to the work.  \nWe are grateful to participants in the outlook workshop and many other colleagues for feedback received during preparation of the report.  \n1 EU version of the OECD-FAO AGLINK-COSIMO model.  \n1  \nTABLE OF CONTENTS  \nNOTE TO THE READER 1  \nEXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2  \nABBREVIATIONS 5  \n1. INTRODUCTION – BASELINE SETTING 6  \nDomestic policy assumptions 6  \nTrade policy assumptions 7  \nMacroeconomic environment 8  \n2. ARABLE CROPS 10  \nLand-use developments 10  \nBiofuels 13  \nSugar 18  \nCereals 21  \nRice 25  \nProtein crops 26  \nOilseed complex 27  \nFeed 30  \n3. MILK AND DAIRY PRODUCTS 32  \n4. MEAT PRODUCTS 42  \nBeef and veal 44  \nSheep and goat meat 46  \nPigmeat 47  \nPoultry meat 48  \n5. FRUIT AND VEGETABLES,  \nOLIVE OIL AND WINE 51  \n6. AGRICULTURAL INCOME 54  \n7. ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECTS 58  \n8. GENERAL CONSEQUENCE  \nOF MACROECONOMIC  \nAND YIELD UNCERTAINTIES 62  \nExogenous sources of uncertainty 62  \nMain impacts of macroeconomic  \nand yield uncertainties 64  \n9. MARKET OUTLOOK DATA 66  \n2 E U A G R I C U L T U R A L O U T L O O K  \nEXECUTIVE SUMMARY  \nThis report presents the medium-term outlook for the major EU agricultural commodity markets and agricultural income up until 2026, based on a set of macroeconomic assumptions.  \nIn a general environment of lower energy and commodity prices, EU cereals prices are expected to range between 160 EUR/t an","cbCaiqvea1lS2RXr","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaiqvea1lS2RXr","pdf",7381132,43,"English","# Executive Summary\n# Abbreviations\n# 1. Introduction - Baseline Setting\n## Domestic policy assumptions\n## Trade policy assumptions\n## Macroeconomic environment\n# 2. Arable Crops\n## Land-use developments\n## Biofuels\n## Sugar\n## Cereals\n## Rice\n## Protein crops\n## Oilseed complex\n## Feed\n# 3. Milk and Dairy Products\n# 4. Meat Products\n## Beef and veal\n## Sheep and goat meat\n## Pigmeat\n## Poultry meat\n# 5. Fruit and Vegetables, Olive Oil and Wine\n# 6. Agricultural Income\n# 7. Environmental Aspects\n# 8. General Consequence of Macroeconomic and Yield Uncertainties\n## Exogenous sources of uncertainty\n## Main impacts of macroeconomic and yield uncertainties\n# 9. Market Outlook Data","[{\"question\":\"What is the purpose of the EU Agricultural Outlook report?\",\"answer\":\"It provides a medium-term outlook for major EU agricultural commodity markets and agricultural income up to 2026.\"},{\"question\":\"What assumptions underpin the projections?\",\"answer\":\"The projections rely on coherent macroeconomic assumptions and assume a continuation of current agricultural and trade policies.\"},{\"question\":\"How is uncertainty addressed in the report?\",\"answer\":\"An uncertainty analysis quantifies potential variations in results, especially from fluctuations in the macroeconomic environment and yields of major crops.\"}]","EU Agricultural Outlook - Prospect for the EU agricultural markets and income 2016-2026 | PDF",108]