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Harvard - January 2026","","Study of U.S. high school students’ college-entry patterns in the first year following the Supreme Court’s 2023 SFFA v. Harvard decision. Using linked PSAT, SAT, and AP data for over 12 million domestic test takers from the 2021–2024 high-school cohorts and fall 2024 enrollment records, the analysis evaluates destination shifts and changes in colleges’ entering-class sociodemographic composition, identifying meaningful post-SFFA declines for high-achieving underrepresented minority students and limited evidence from contemporaneous FAFSA disruptions.",{"@graph":69,"@context":123},[70,84,106],{"@type":71,"itemListElement":72},"BreadcrumbList",[73,77,79,82],{"item":74,"name":75,"@type":76,"position":8},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":78,"name":9,"@type":76,"position":14},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/",{"item":80,"name":40,"@type":76,"position":81},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":83,"name":65,"@type":76,"position":19},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/college-enrollment-patterns-after-sffa-v-harvard-january-2026/158700/",{"url":83,"name":65,"@type":85,"image":86,"author":91,"headline":65,"publisher":94,"fileFormat":97,"inLanguage":63,"description":67,"dateModified":98,"datePublished":99,"encodingFormat":97,"isAccessibleForFree":100,"interactionStatistic":101},"DigitalDocument",{"url":87,"@type":88,"width":89,"height":90},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/college-enrollment-patterns-after-sffa-v-harvard-january-2026/158700.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":92,"@type":93},"WPS_1786070896","Person",{"url":74,"name":95,"@type":96},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-11-06","2026-08-29",true,{"@type":102,"interactionType":103,"userInteractionCount":105},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":104},"ViewAction",25,{"@type":107,"mainEntity":108},"FAQPage",[109,115,119],{"name":110,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":112},"What change in college enrollment patterns does the paper study after SFFA v. Harvard?","Question",{"text":113,"@type":114},"It examines how U.S. high school students’ patterns of college entry changed in the first year after the 2023 SFFA v. Harvard ruling, focusing on both where students enroll and changes in colleges’ entering-class composition in fall 2024.","Answer",{"name":116,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":117},"How did high-achieving underrepresented minority (URM) students’ enrollment at highly selective colleges change?",{"text":118,"@type":114},"In fall 2024, high-achieving URM college-goers were up to 10 percentage points (14%) less likely to enroll in highly selective colleges compared with fall 2023, with evidence of “cascading” to less selective institutions.",{"name":120,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":121},"Does the paper find evidence that FAFSA disruptions explain the results?",{"text":122,"@type":114},"The paper reports little evidence that concurrent disruptions to the 2024–25 FAFSA explain the observed enrollment changes after SFFA.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":83,"og:type":125,"og:title":65,"og:site_name":95,"og:description":67},"article",{"robots":127,"canonical":83},"index,follow",{"doc_id":129,"site_id":62},158700,1788006612,{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":132},{"doc_id":129,"user_id":133,"nickname":92,"user_avatar":134,"doc_module":4,"category_id":39,"category_name":40,"doc_title":65,"doc_description":67,"doc_content":135,"file_id":136,"file_url":137,"file_type":138,"file_size":139,"view_count":105,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":8,"is_downloadable":8,"audit_status":8,"page_count":140,"language":141,"language_code":63,"site_id":62,"html_lang":63,"table_of_contents":142,"faqs":143,"seo_title":144,"seo_description":67,"update_tm":130,"read_time":145,"preview_page_count":4},549768072016,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_155a257f0dc6eb9ab79c44ca47cae57d","EdWorkingPaper No. 26-1392  \nCollege Enrollment Patterns After SFFA v. Harvard  \nMichael D. Bloem, Ashley Edwards, J. Parker Goyer, Jessica Howell, Xiaowen Hu, Michael Hurwitz, Samuel J. Imlay, Jennifer Ma, Matea Pender  \nWe study how U.S. high school students’ patterns of college entry changed in the first year after the Supreme Court’s 2023 SFFA v. Harvard ruling. Drawing on a rich dataset linking more than 12 million domestic PSAT, SAT, and AP takers in the 2021-2024 high school graduation cohorts to their college enrollment records, we examine post-SFFA changes both in students’ college destinations and in the sociodemographic composition of colleges’ entering classes in fall 2024. We uncover several notable findings. First, high-achieving underrepresented minority (URM) college-goers were up to 10 percentage points (14 percent) less likely to enroll in highly selective colleges in fall 2024 than fall 2023, with URM enrollees “cascading” down the college selectivity distribution into less selective colleges with lower graduation rates and earnings outcomes. Second, using difference-in-differences designs that leverage preexisting state-specific bans on race-based admission preferences, we estimate that the URM student share of first-year domestic students at highly selective colleges declined 4 to 5 percentage points (18 percent) in the first year after SFFA, with smaller declines at selective public colleges. In both analyses, we find evidence consistent with a pivot to class-based affirmative action among Ivy Plus institutions, but topline changes in enrollment patterns by students’ neighborhood median income are minimal. We find little evidence that concurrent disruptions to the 2024-25 FAFSA explain our results.  \nVERSION: January 2026  \nSuggested citation: Bloem, Michael D., Ashley Edwards, J. Parker Goyer, Jessica Howell, Xiaowen Hu, Michael Hurwitz, Samuel J. Imlay, Jennifer Ma, and Matea Pender. (2026). College Enrollment Patterns After SFFA v. Harvard. (EdWorkingPaper: 26-1392).  \nRetrieved from Annenberg Institute at Brown University: [https://doi.org/10.26300/6a7w-bq06](https://doi.org/10.26300/6a7w-bq06)  \nCollege Enrollment Patterns After SFFA v. Harvard  \nJanuary 2026  \nMichael D. Bloem  \nAshley Edwards  \nJ. Parker Goyer  \nJessica Howell  \nXiaowen Hu  \nMichael Hurwitz  \nSamuel J. Imlay  \nJennifer Ma  \nMatea Pender􀀍  \nAbstract: We study how U.S. high school students’ patterns of college entry changed in the first year after the Supreme Court’s 2023 SFFA v. Harvard ruling. Drawing on a rich dataset linking more than 12 million domestic PSAT, SAT, and AP takers in the 2021-2024 high school graduation cohorts to their college enrollment records, we examine post-SFFA changes both in students’college destinations and in the sociodemographic composition of colleges’ entering classes in fall 2024. We uncover several notable findings. First, high-achieving underrepresented minority (URM) college-goers were up to 10 percentage points (14 percent) less likely to enroll in highly selective colleges in fall 2024 than fall 2023, with URM enrollees “cascading” down the college selectivity distribution into less selective colleges with lower graduation rates and earnings outcomes. Second, using difference-in-differences designs that leverage preexisting state-specific bans on race-based admission preferences, we estimate that the URM student share of first-year domestic students at highly selective colleges declined 4 to 5 percentage points (18 percent) in the first year after SFFA, with smaller declines at selective public colleges. In both analyses, we find evidence consistent with a pivot to class-based affirmative action among Ivy Plus institutions, but topline changes in enrollment patterns by students’neighborhood median income are minimal. We find little evidence that concurrent disruptions to the 2024-25 FAFSA explain our results.  \n􀀍 We are grateful for helpful comments and assistance from Jeff Wyatt, Joe Williams, ","cbCaipnwlBWzMnsH","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaipnwlBWzMnsH","pdf",5400208,74,"English","# Introduction\n## Data and Research Approach\n## Post-SFFA Enrollment Destination Changes\n## Changes in Selective Colleges’ Student Composition\n## Interpretation and Policy Implications","[{\"question\":\"What change in college enrollment patterns does the paper study after SFFA v. Harvard?\",\"answer\":\"It examines how U.S. high school students’ patterns of college entry changed in the first year after the 2023 SFFA v. Harvard ruling, focusing on both where students enroll and changes in colleges’ entering-class composition in fall 2024.\"},{\"question\":\"How did high-achieving underrepresented minority (URM) students’ enrollment at highly selective colleges change?\",\"answer\":\"In fall 2024, high-achieving URM college-goers were up to 10 percentage points (14%) less likely to enroll in highly selective colleges compared with fall 2023, with evidence of “cascading” to less selective institutions.\"},{\"question\":\"Does the paper find evidence that FAFSA disruptions explain the results?\",\"answer\":\"The paper reports little evidence that concurrent disruptions to the 2024–25 FAFSA explain the observed enrollment changes after SFFA.\"}]","College Enrollment Patterns After SFFA v. Harvard - January 2026 | PDF",186]