[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"doc-detail-43479-en":3,"doc-seo-43479-105":29,"detail-sidebar-cat-0-en-105":89},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"success",{"doc_id":7,"user_id":8,"nickname":9,"user_avatar":10,"doc_module":4,"category_id":11,"category_name":12,"doc_title":13,"doc_description":14,"doc_content":15,"file_id":16,"file_url":17,"file_type":18,"file_size":19,"view_count":20,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":21,"is_downloadable":21,"audit_status":21,"page_count":22,"language":23,"language_code":24,"site_id":25,"html_lang":24,"table_of_contents":26,"faqs":27,"seo_title":13,"seo_description":14,"update_tm":28,"read_time":11},43479,1099514068365,"Aurelia","https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/avatar/10000253d8d9f28188e?_k=1776742907772140068",8,"Research & Report","Climate Change and Food Security in Kenya","Climate Change and Food Security in Kenya examines how climate change—greater variability and reduced predictability of temperature and rainfall—affects food security in Kenya. Using county-level data across more than three decades, the study links yields of four major crops (maize, beans, sorghum, millet) with multiple climate variables, population, soil, and agro-ecological zones. Results indicate climate variability and change increase food insecurity, while favorable agro-ecological conditions and adequate soil drainage reduce risk, informing mitigation-oriented policy recommendations.","The Environment for Development initiative is a capacity building program in environmental economics focused on international research collaboration, policy advice, and academic training. It consists of centers in Central America, Chile, China, Ethiopia, Kenya, South Africa, Sweden (Environmental Economics Unit, University of Gothenburg), Tanzania, and the US (Resources for the Future) . Financial support is provided by the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (Sida) . [www.efdinitiative.org](www.efdinitiative.org).  \nClimate Change and Food Security in Kenya Does Climate Change Affect Food Insecurity in Kenya?  \nBY JANE KABUBO-MARIARA, EFD KENYA, DRB 15-05, DECEMBER 2015  \nThe research analyzes the impact of climate change (including increased variability and less predictability of temperature and rainfall) on food security in Kenya. The study is based on county-level data, collected over time, for yields of four major crops (maize, beans, sorghum and millet), four climate variables (precipitation, temperature, runoff and total cloud cover), population, soil and agro-ecological zones data spanning over three decades. The paper estimates models of main food crop yields and also of the probability of a county being food insecure. A county is defined as food insecure if yields fell short of the 25th, 40th and 60th percentile of the yields in any one period. The results show that climate variability and change will increase food insecurity and that food security responds positively to favourable agro-ecological zones, soil drainage and depth, and high  \npopulation density. The paper recommends strengthening policies on mitigation against climate change.  \nThe research  \nClimate change threatens to significantly increase the number of people at risk of food insecurity all over the world. According to the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change, climate change has led to, and will continue to lead to, increases in the frequency and intensity of natural disasters and extreme weather events, such as droughts, floods and hurricanes; rising sea levels; salinization of water supplies and agricultural lands; changes in rainfall patterns; and decline in water quality and availability in arid and semi-arid regions, with expected reduction in agricultural productivity, especially in sub-Saharan Africa. Predictions suggest that yields from rain-fed agriculture in parts of subSaharan Africa could fall by 50 percent by the year 2020.  \nKenya is characterized by low and declining crop productivity, and, like many other developing countries, is particularly susceptible to climate change due to its over-reliance on rain-fed agriculture, aridity, inadequate water supply and degradation of many of its natural  \nKey Points  \n􀁸 Climate change affects food security due to over-reliance on rain-fed agriculture, high levels of poverty, low levels of education, inadequate access to financial capital and poor infrastructure, especially in sub-Saharan Africa.  \n􀁸 The results show that climate variability and change will increase food insecurity and that different food crops respond differently to climate change variables in Kenya.  \n􀁸 The results further indicate that food security responds positively to favourable agro-ecological zones, soil drainage and depth, and high population density.  \n􀁸 These results point at the need for policies that safeguard agriculture against the adverse effects of climate change in order to alleviate food insecurity in Kenya.  \nresources. The agro-ecological zones differ in terms of moisture index, rainfall, vegetation and farming systems, where the arid and semi-arid zones (characterized by high temperatures and less suitable for arable agriculture) account for about 80 percent of the total land area. Given this agroecological setting, agricultural production is undermined by unpredictable weather and climate variation, especially in the arid and semi-arid or less arable zones.  \nMost previous studies on ","cbCaiuKxBQuajzJc","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaiuKxBQuajzJc","pdf",275976,4,1,3,"English","en",105,"# Key Points\n## Study Findings and Implications\n## Data, Methods, and Climate Variables\n## Policy Recommendations","[{\"question\":\"What is the main question of the research on Kenya’s food security?\",\"answer\":\"The research asks whether climate change affects food insecurity in Kenya, focusing on variability and predictability of temperature and rainfall.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the study define a county as food insecure?\",\"answer\":\"A county is defined as food insecure when crop yields fall short of specified percentile thresholds (25th, 40th, or 60th) in any one period.\"},{\"question\":\"Which factors are associated with lower or higher food insecurity?\",\"answer\":\"Lower food insecurity is associated with favorable agro-ecological zones, good soil drainage, and certain climate patterns such as crucial but not excessive rainfall; adverse climate change is expected to increase insecurity, especially for maize.\"}]",1783381709,{"code":4,"msg":30,"data":31},"ok",{"site_id":25,"language":24,"slug":32,"title":13,"keywords":33,"description":14,"schema_data":34,"social_meta":84,"head_meta":86,"extra_data":88,"updated_unix":28},"climate-change-and-food-security-in-kenya","",{"@graph":35,"@context":83},[36,51,66],{"@type":37,"itemListElement":38},"BreadcrumbList",[39,43,47,49],{"item":40,"name":41,"@type":42,"position":21},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":44,"name":45,"@type":42,"position":46},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/","Document",2,{"item":48,"name":12,"@type":42,"position":22},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",{"item":50,"name":13,"@type":42,"position":20},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/climate-change-and-food-security-in-kenya/43479/",{"url":50,"name":13,"@type":52,"author":53,"headline":13,"publisher":55,"fileFormat":58,"inLanguage":24,"description":14,"dateModified":59,"datePublished":60,"encodingFormat":58,"isAccessibleForFree":61,"interactionStatistic":62},"DigitalDocument",{"name":9,"@type":54},"Person",{"url":40,"name":56,"@type":57},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-07-15","2026-07-06",true,{"@type":63,"interactionType":64,"userInteractionCount":20},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":65},"ViewAction",{"@type":67,"mainEntity":68},"FAQPage",[69,75,79],{"name":70,"@type":71,"acceptedAnswer":72},"What is the main question of the research on Kenya’s food security?","Question",{"text":73,"@type":74},"The research asks whether climate change affects food insecurity in Kenya, focusing on variability and predictability of temperature and rainfall.","Answer",{"name":76,"@type":71,"acceptedAnswer":77},"How does the study define a county as food insecure?",{"text":78,"@type":74},"A county is defined as food insecure when crop yields fall short of specified percentile thresholds (25th, 40th, or 60th) in any one period.",{"name":80,"@type":71,"acceptedAnswer":81},"Which factors are associated with lower or higher food insecurity?",{"text":82,"@type":74},"Lower food insecurity is associated with favorable agro-ecological zones, good soil drainage, and certain climate patterns such as crucial but not excessive rainfall; adverse climate change is expected to increase insecurity, especially for maize.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":50,"og:type":85,"og:title":13,"og:site_name":56,"og:description":14},"article",{"robots":87,"canonical":50},"index,follow",{"doc_id":7,"site_id":25},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":90},[91,95,99,103,108,113,118,121,126,129,133],{"id":21,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":45,"category_name":92,"show_sort_weight":93,"slug":94},"Story & Novel",90,"story-novel",{"id":46,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":45,"category_name":96,"show_sort_weight":97,"slug":98},"Literature",80,"literature",{"id":20,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":45,"category_name":100,"show_sort_weight":101,"slug":102},"Exam",70,"exam",{"id":104,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":45,"category_name":105,"show_sort_weight":106,"slug":107},5,"Comic",60,"comic",{"id":109,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":45,"category_name":110,"show_sort_weight":111,"slug":112},6,"Technology",50,"technology",{"id":114,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":45,"category_name":115,"show_sort_weight":116,"slug":117},7,"Healthcare",40,"healthcare",{"id":11,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":45,"category_name":12,"show_sort_weight":119,"slug":120},30,"research-report",{"id":122,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":45,"category_name":123,"show_sort_weight":124,"slug":125},9,"Religion & Spirituality",20,"religion-spirituality",{"id":124,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":45,"category_name":127,"show_sort_weight":124,"slug":128},"World Cup","world-cup",{"id":130,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":45,"category_name":131,"show_sort_weight":130,"slug":132},10,"Lifestyle","lifestyle",{"id":134,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":45,"category_name":135,"show_sort_weight":104,"slug":136},19,"General","general"]