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With a bearish intermediate bias on the US dollar, the strategy shifts to BTCUSD, seeking support near 41,500, monitoring reversal signals on lower timeframes, and targeting the 60,000 liquidity area.",{"@graph":14,"@context":73},[15,34,56],{"@type":16,"itemListElement":17},"BreadcrumbList",[18,23,27,31],{"item":19,"name":20,"@type":21,"position":22},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",1,{"item":24,"name":25,"@type":21,"position":26},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/","Document",2,{"item":28,"name":29,"@type":21,"position":30},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/","Research & Report",3,{"item":32,"name":10,"@type":21,"position":33},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/btcusd-trade-strategy-price-action-cot-and-seasonal-bias/299835/",4,{"url":32,"name":10,"@type":35,"image":36,"author":41,"headline":10,"publisher":44,"fileFormat":47,"inLanguage":8,"description":12,"dateModified":48,"datePublished":49,"encodingFormat":47,"isAccessibleForFree":50,"interactionStatistic":51},"DigitalDocument",{"url":37,"@type":38,"width":39,"height":40},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/btcusd-trade-strategy-price-action-cot-and-seasonal-bias/299835.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":42,"@type":43},"Emma Wilson","Person",{"url":19,"name":45,"@type":46},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-11-08","2026-09-18",true,{"@type":52,"interactionType":53,"userInteractionCount":55},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":54},"ViewAction",22,{"@type":57,"mainEntity":58},"FAQPage",[59,65,69],{"name":60,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":62},"How does the strategy determine the directional bias before trading BTCUSD?","Question",{"text":63,"@type":64},"It first analyzes DXY price action and the COT report to infer what high-volume traders are doing, then combines this with US dollar seasonal tendencies to form a bearish intermediate bias on the US dollar.","Answer",{"name":66,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":67},"What BTCUSD levels does the strategy focus on for support and target?",{"text":68,"@type":64},"It looks for support around the 41,500 level for a move higher, then aims for liquidity around the 60,000 level as the target.",{"name":70,"@type":61,"acceptedAnswer":71},"How does the strategy plan to enter the trade and manage risk?",{"text":72,"@type":64},"After BTCUSD retraces into a higher-timeframe support area and shows reversal signs, it uses intraday charts to time the entry, reducing exposed risk compared with waiting for the move to fully develop.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":32,"og:type":75,"og:title":10,"og:site_name":45,"og:description":12},"article",{"robots":77,"canonical":32},"index,follow",{"doc_id":79,"site_id":7},299835,1789771456,{"code":4,"msg":82,"data":83},"success",[84,88,92,96,101,106,111,115,120,123,127],{"id":22,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":85,"show_sort_weight":86,"slug":87},"Story & Novel",90,"story-novel",{"id":26,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":89,"show_sort_weight":90,"slug":91},"Literature",80,"literature",{"id":33,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":93,"show_sort_weight":94,"slug":95},"Exam",70,"exam",{"id":97,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":98,"show_sort_weight":99,"slug":100},5,"Comic",60,"comic",{"id":102,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":103,"show_sort_weight":104,"slug":105},6,"Technology",50,"technology",{"id":107,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":108,"show_sort_weight":109,"slug":110},7,"Healthcare",40,"healthcare",{"id":112,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":29,"show_sort_weight":113,"slug":114},8,30,"research-report",{"id":116,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":117,"show_sort_weight":118,"slug":119},9,"Religion & Spirituality",20,"religion-spirituality",{"id":118,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":121,"show_sort_weight":118,"slug":122},"World Cup","world-cup",{"id":124,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":125,"show_sort_weight":124,"slug":126},10,"Lifestyle","lifestyle",{"id":128,"doc_module":4,"doc_module_name":25,"category_name":129,"show_sort_weight":97,"slug":130},19,"General","general",{"code":4,"msg":82,"data":132},{"doc_id":79,"user_id":133,"nickname":42,"user_avatar":134,"doc_module":4,"category_id":112,"category_name":29,"doc_title":10,"doc_description":12,"doc_content":135,"file_id":136,"file_url":137,"file_type":138,"file_size":139,"view_count":55,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":22,"is_downloadable":22,"audit_status":22,"page_count":33,"language":140,"language_code":8,"site_id":7,"html_lang":8,"table_of_contents":141,"faqs":142,"seo_title":143,"seo_description":12,"update_tm":80,"read_time":124,"preview_page_count":4},3848291630094,"https://eur-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_085a072bc5b1113ac321206ff7593b45","BTCUSD Trade Strategy  \nDXY (US Dollar)  \nThe US dollar is relatively the strongest currency in the world and it is visible on the charts. When the US dollar is Strong, Foreign Currencies will be relatively weak and the opposite is true. So to determine the of foreign currencies we must first do an analysis on the US Dollar index.  \nUS Dollar Index Price Action Analysis  \nAbove we can see that DXY has been bullish since July and is headed to the Previous High made on April to sweep liquidity in a form of sell stops that’s resting above those highs. I am expecting to find resistance around the 97.887 then trade lower.  \nCommitment of Traders report  \nThe COT report is a report that shows the order of the high Volume traders. Hedge Funds, Institutional investors, Market makers and Commercial Businesses’ transaction can be seen through this report and we can try to build a macro understanding of what the order flow is and what high Volume traders are doing.  \nAbove the COT data of US Dollar Futures Contract is shown in the red line graph and we can straightaway see that High Volume traders are shorting the market as the market is at a two year extreme.  \nUS Dollar Seasonal tendencies.  \nSeasonal Tendency is the Historical data of a certain asset and that data is then averaged into a single line chart. This is the seasonal tendency of US Dollar and it constitutes of historical data since the currency was established. This is 40 years plus worth of data so this is a strong market analysis tool we can use to see the macro view of certain asset.  \nAbove, the white line graph is the historical Average and the Orange line graph is the US dollar at the current market price. Looking at the historical data we can see that DXY has a tendency to go lower from the middle of August till October then has a retracement in November then continue going lower in December.  \nThe seasonal tendencies, COT data together with Price Action give us Confluence that we can use to enter a position with the highest probability.  \nSince we have determined our Bias on US dollar that in the intermediate we are bearish we can then look at BTCUSD.  \nBTCUSD  \nSince BTC is the First quoted currency in the pair, If US dollar is Determined to go lower then we can expect BTCUSD to go high.  \nBTCUSD Price Action  \nLooking the BTCUSD chart we can see that BTCUSD has broken market structure to the upside and is looking for higher prices. I am looking at the 41500 level for BTCUSD to find support and then go Higher. It can also go lower than the level outlined but if we find support at a certain Price array and the see a consolidation around that price array and see price breaking market structure in the lower time Frames then we can get an entry and look for the liquidity pool around the 60000 level.  \nSeasonal Tendencies of BTC  \nWe can see that since the Currency was created, BTC has a seasonal tendency of being bullish around October.  \nPlease note that seasonal tendencies are not the Hallmark and seasonal tendencies effect can happen before time or even after the time the seasonal average states that a move will happen. So we are just merely using the data as confluence to have a high probability trade and we must use the data together with price action to get the best entries.  \nBTC USD Relative strength  \nThis chart shows the relationship between US Dollar and BTC, we can see that there was a break in correlation between the two meaning that as the US dollar was making higher highs, BTCUSD was also making higher highs. This further shows that BITCOIN is strong at the Moment and when the time comes for Us dollar to plummet, BTCUSD will rally.  \nTrade strategy.  \nSince we discovered that BTC is strong and US Dollar will likely go down after purging the Sell side liquidity. We will look to go long when BTCUSD retraces into a higher time frame Support level then look for BTCUSD to trade to the 60000 level as the target.  \nWhen BTCUSD trades into a Price array (Support ","cbCaijNieicA2mH1","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaijNieicA2mH1","pdf",648289,"English","# BTCUSD Trade Strategy\n## DXY (US Dollar) Analysis\n## Commitment of Traders (COT) Report\n## US Dollar Seasonal Tendencies\n## BTCUSD Setup and Execution Plan","[{\"question\":\"How does the strategy determine the directional bias before trading BTCUSD?\",\"answer\":\"It first analyzes DXY price action and the COT report to infer what high-volume traders are doing, then combines this with US dollar seasonal tendencies to form a bearish intermediate bias on the US dollar.\"},{\"question\":\"What BTCUSD levels does the strategy focus on for support and target?\",\"answer\":\"It looks for support around the 41,500 level for a move higher, then aims for liquidity around the 60,000 level as the target.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the strategy plan to enter the trade and manage risk?\",\"answer\":\"After BTCUSD retraces into a higher-timeframe support area and shows reversal signs, it uses intraday charts to time the entry, reducing exposed risk compared with waiting for the move to fully develop.\"}]","BTCUSD Trade Strategy - Price Action, COT and Seasonal Bias | PDF"]