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It focuses on how standardized test scores and prior grades measure overlapping but distinct educational attainment, and evaluates predictive validity using relationships with undergraduate grade point average and course outcomes. The research applies point-to-point and curriculum-versus-aptitude framing, using cohorts from 2001 and 2006 to compare SAT I, SAT II, and new SAT measures.",{"@graph":69,"@context":123},[70,84,106],{"@type":71,"itemListElement":72},"BreadcrumbList",[73,77,79,82],{"item":74,"name":75,"@type":76,"position":8},"https://docshare.wps.com","Home","ListItem",{"item":78,"name":9,"@type":76,"position":14},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/",{"item":80,"name":40,"@type":76,"position":81},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/research-report/",3,{"item":83,"name":65,"@type":76,"position":19},"https://docshare.wps.com/document/air-2008-the-predictive-validity-of-the-new-sat-achievement-test-and-high-school-grades-on-undergraduate-success/267190/",{"url":83,"name":65,"@type":85,"image":86,"author":91,"headline":65,"publisher":94,"fileFormat":97,"inLanguage":63,"description":67,"dateModified":98,"datePublished":99,"encodingFormat":97,"isAccessibleForFree":100,"interactionStatistic":101},"DigitalDocument",{"url":87,"@type":88,"width":89,"height":90},"https://docshare.wps.com/thumbnails/air-2008-the-predictive-validity-of-the-new-sat-achievement-test-and-high-school-grades-on-undergraduate-success/267190.png","ImageObject",300,407,{"name":92,"@type":93},"Rhys","Person",{"url":74,"name":95,"@type":96},"DocShare","Organization","application/pdf","2026-10-18","2026-09-14",true,{"@type":102,"interactionType":103,"userInteractionCount":105},"InteractionCounter",{"@type":104},"ViewAction",12,{"@type":107,"mainEntity":108},"FAQPage",[109,115,119],{"name":110,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":112},"What predictive validity does the document evaluate for the new SAT?","Question",{"text":113,"@type":114},"It evaluates the degree to which SAT scores appropriately predict a future criterion measure, specifically undergraduate grades and related outcomes.","Answer",{"name":116,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":117},"How does the study compare the new SAT Achievement test with older SAT versions?",{"text":118,"@type":114},"It compares the predictive validity of SAT Achievement with old SAT tests (SAT I and SAT II) by analyzing correlations with undergraduate success measured by grade point average.",{"name":120,"@type":111,"acceptedAnswer":121},"What data and cohorts does the study use to run the analysis?",{"text":122,"@type":114},"It uses first-time freshmen cohorts from 2001 and 2006, combining SAT I and SAT II scores for the earlier cohort and new SAT Achievement tests for the later cohort, along with GPA and high school GPA.","https://schema.org",{"og:url":83,"og:type":125,"og:title":65,"og:site_name":95,"og:description":67},"article",{"robots":127,"canonical":83},"index,follow",{"doc_id":129,"site_id":62},267190,1789415818,{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":132},{"doc_id":129,"user_id":133,"nickname":92,"user_avatar":134,"doc_module":4,"category_id":39,"category_name":40,"doc_title":65,"doc_description":67,"doc_content":135,"file_id":136,"file_url":137,"file_type":138,"file_size":139,"view_count":105,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":8,"is_downloadable":8,"audit_status":8,"page_count":140,"language":141,"language_code":63,"site_id":62,"html_lang":63,"table_of_contents":142,"faqs":143,"seo_title":144,"seo_description":67,"update_tm":130,"read_time":145,"preview_page_count":4},687207024643,"https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_3d24733baf745e90a7e4bdd5f77d97b2","AIR 2008  \n The Predictive Validity of the New SAT  \nAchievement test and High School Grades on Undergraduate Success  \nPresented to the Annual Forum of the  \nAssociation for Institutional Research  \nSeattle, WA  \nMay 24-28, 2008  \nHeidi Carty, Ph.D., Principal Research Analyst  \nWilliam Armstrong, Ph.D., Director of Student Research  \nUniversity of California, San Diego  \n[http://studentresearch.ucsd.edu/](http://studentresearch.ucsd.edu/)  \nStudent Research & Information, Student Affairs, UCSD  \nHeidi Carty, Ph.D. & William Armstrong, Ph.D. UC San Diego  \n1  \nAIR 2008  \nIntroduction  \n• Researchers have shown that SATs are good predictors of d d d i f  \nundergraduate student academic performance . Some prospective undergraduate students find the SAT test relatively easy, achieve a higher than average score, and get into a great undergraduate school In 2006 a new SAT test based on  \nundergraduate school. In 2006 , a new SAT test based on measuring a student’s achievement as opposed to a student’s inherent ability was introduced. Many universities and colleges have adopted the new SAT Achievement test as part  \nave adopted t e ew S c eve e t test as pa tof the application materials for admitting students. Does the new SAT Achievement test have predictive validity in predicting undergraduate success? Is the new SAT Achievement test a better predictor of undergraduate success compared to the old SAT test or compared to high school grades?  \nStudent Research & Information, Student Affairs, UCSD  \nHeidi Carty, Ph.D. & William Armstrong, Ph.D. UC San Diego  \n2  \nAIR 2008  \nStandardized Tests  \n• Standardized test scores and prior grades measure  \nand prior grades  \noverlapping but different aspects of educational attainment. Unlike grades, standardized test scores  \nreflect performance on tasks that are common to all students. The SAT Achievement test is intended to measure only a portion of the individual characteristics that are important for success in  \nundergraduate school: reasoning skills, critical thinking, and the ability to communicate effectively in writing.  \nStudent Research & Information, Student Affairs, UCSD  \nHeidi Carty, Ph.D. & William Armstrong, Ph.D. UC San Diego  \n3  \nAIR 2008  \nCurrent Study  \n• This study examines the predictive validity of high  \np y g  \nschool grades and SAT scores, both the SAT Achievement test and the old SAT ability test, on school s ccess as meas red b grade point a erage  \nschool success as measured by grade point average. Further, this study also compares the predictive validity between the old SAT tests (both the SAT I  \n(  \nand SAT II) and the new SAT test in predicting school success as measured by school grades. Correlations between high school grades and the  \nCorrelations between high school grades, and the SAT Achievement tests and old SAT test are discussed.  \nStudent Research & Information, Student Affairs, UCSD  \nHeidi Carty, Ph.D. & William Armstrong, Ph.D. UC San Diego  \n4  \nAIR 2008  \nResearch Question  \nResearch Question  \n• Which is a better predictor of college success  \nis a better predictor of college success, as measured by undergraduate grades, the new SAT Achievement tests or the old SAT tests  \ntests or the old tests  \nand/or high school grades?  \nStudent Research & Information, Student Affairs, UCSD  \nHeidi Carty, Ph.D. & William Armstrong, Ph.D. UC San Diego  \n5  \nAIR 2008  \nTheoretical Model  \n• Predictive validity  \nvalidity  \n– Approximate the future in the present  \ni t th th d l  \n• Point-to-point theory, method overlap  \n– Correspondence of predictor and criterion space i t th f lidit ffi i t  \nmproves strength of validity coefficient  \n• Curriculum vs . aptitude measure: Explanatory power should be enhanced by curriculum  \nmeasure  \nStudent Research & Information, Student Affairs, UCSD  \nHeidi Carty, Ph.D. & William Armstrong, Ph.D. UC San Diego  \n6  \nAIR 2008  \nTheoretical Model  \n• What is predictive validity? How do we show evidence of predictive val","cbCail6qrMqxQ7jt","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCail6qrMqxQ7jt","pdf",147016,22,"English","# Introduction\n## Standardized Tests\n## Current Study\n## Research Question\n## Theoretical Model\n## Rationale for Testing\n## Method\n## Sample Characteristics","[{\"question\":\"What predictive validity does the document evaluate for the new SAT?\",\"answer\":\"It evaluates the degree to which SAT scores appropriately predict a future criterion measure, specifically undergraduate grades and related outcomes.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the study compare the new SAT Achievement test with older SAT versions?\",\"answer\":\"It compares the predictive validity of SAT Achievement with old SAT tests (SAT I and SAT II) by analyzing correlations with undergraduate success measured by grade point average.\"},{\"question\":\"What data and cohorts does the study use to run the analysis?\",\"answer\":\"It uses first-time freshmen cohorts from 2001 and 2006, combining SAT I and SAT II scores for the earlier cohort and new SAT Achievement tests for the later cohort, along with GPA and high school GPA.\"}]","AIR 2008 - The Predictive Validity of the New SAT - Achievement test and High School Grades on Undergraduate Success | PDF",55]