[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"doc-detail-113482-en":3,"doc-seo-113482-105":29,"detail-sidebar-cat-0-en-105":90},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"success",{"doc_id":7,"user_id":8,"nickname":9,"user_avatar":10,"doc_module":4,"category_id":11,"category_name":12,"doc_title":13,"doc_description":14,"doc_content":15,"file_id":16,"file_url":17,"file_type":18,"file_size":19,"view_count":4,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":20,"is_downloadable":20,"audit_status":20,"page_count":21,"language":22,"language_code":23,"site_id":24,"html_lang":23,"table_of_contents":25,"faqs":26,"seo_title":13,"seo_description":14,"update_tm":27,"read_time":28},113482,1374391974564,"Clementine","https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/avatar/14000253aa45c000a9e?x-image-process=image/resize,m_fixed,w_180,h_180&k=1779874745381141002",8,"Research & Report","AFRICA’S PULSE - Volume 22 - Economic recovery analysis","AFRICA’S PULSE (October 2020, Volume 22) examines how COVID-19 continues to affect health conditions and economic performance across Sub-Saharan Africa. It highlights persistent uncertainty over a potential second wave, while noting a regional health toll and the risk of long-lasting economic damage. The report projects recessionary dynamics in 2020, weaker growth patterns by subregion, and major threats to poverty reduction and human capital through school closures. It argues recovery requires fiscal space, stronger debt management, anti-corruption efforts, and policy channels including digital transformation, sectoral reallocation, and spatial integration.","Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized  \nAFRICA’S PULSE | OCTOBER 2020 | VOLUME 22  \nExecutive Summary  \nu The COVID-19 pandemic is not over yet: African countries must not let their guard down. The pandemic continues to spread, with the number of cases surpassing 36 million and more than one million deaths globally. With the notable exception of South Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa appears to have so far escaped the worst of the health crisis. As of September 28, the numbers of COVID-19 confirmed cases and deaths in the region were, respectively, 3.4 and 2.5 percent of those registered worldwide. However, great uncertainty surrounds the scale and trajectory of the pandemic in the region. The occurrence of a second wave in Europe and the United States and concerns about a potential second wave in African countries are fueling further uncertainty about the persistence and spread of the virus.  \nu The COVID-19 pandemic has taken a large toll on economic activity in Sub-Saharan Africa, putting a decade of hard-won economic progress at risk. Economic activity in the region is expected to contract by 3.3 percent in 2020, confirming the prediction that Sub-Saharan Africa would suffer its first recession in a quarter-century in 2020. By the end of 2021, the region’s real gross domestic product (GDP) per capita will likely regress to its level in 2007. In Africa, COVID-19 could push up to 40 million people into extreme poverty, erasing at least five years of progress infighting poverty. Similarly, COVID-19 could set back progress in building human capital, as school closures will affect nearly 253 million students, potentially causing losses in learning.  \nu The economic contraction caused by the COVID-19 pandemic will spread broadly across countries in Sub-Saharan Africa in 2020. Due to the combination of domestic lockdownsand related spillovers from the global recession, growth is expected to slow in all countries in the region. Growth fell sharply in the second quarter of 2020 across countries, especially in Nigeria (6 .1 percent year-on-year) and South Africa (17 .1 percent) . The decline in growth is expected tobe larger in East and Southern Africa than West and Central Africa, partly because of the stronger output contractions in South Africa and Angola. Disruptions in the tourism industry and lockdownswill cause substantial slowdowns in Ethiopia, Kenya, and the island nations. In West and Central Africa, the decline in growth is projected to be driven mainly by oil exporters. Activity among non-resource-intensive countries, including Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana, and Senegal, will slow but not contract, helped by relatively more robust growth in the agriculture sector. Fragile countries in the region are expected to experience a strong decline in growth as COVID-19 exacerbates the drivers of fragility.  \nu The road to recovery will be long and steep, and it must be paved with sound economic policies. Countries need to reconstitute their fiscal space to finance programs that can stimulate recovery, improve debt management, and fight corruption. Ultimately, sustained recovery will depend on how fast African countries prioritize policy actions and investments that address the challenge of creating more, better, and inclusive jobs. These policy priorities, in turn, operate through three critical and interrelated channels: digital transformation, sectoral reallocation, and spatial integration. Several countries in the region are seizing the opportunity of the crisis to accelerate these reforms.  \nAFRICA’S PULSE > 1  \nLong Road Ahead  \nu The rebound in economic activity is expected to be modest in Sub-Saharan Africa in 2021, and the economic outlook is subject to considerable uncertainty. Economic activity started torebound in the third quarter of 2020 as the spread of COVID-19 began to abate and containment measures were progressively lifted. However, the recovery was modest and uneven across countries. Household spending on ","cbCaiu1sKDm6FgTf","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaiu1sKDm6FgTf","pdf",93432,1,6,"English","en",105,"# Executive Summary\n## The health outlook and uncertainty\n## Economic contraction and risks to development\n## Sector, subregion, and country impacts\n## The road to recovery and policy channels\n# Long Road Ahead\n## Recovery expectations and baseline assumptions\n## Growth projections and downside scenario","[{\"question\":\"Why does the report emphasize uncertainty about the pandemic’s trajectory in Africa?\",\"answer\":\"It points to the ongoing spread of cases and the possibility of a second wave, informed by developments in Europe and the United States.\"},{\"question\":\"What economic impacts does the report project for Sub-Saharan Africa?\",\"answer\":\"It forecasts contraction in 2020, a modest and uneven rebound in 2021, and renewed deterioration in per-capita outcomes alongside recession dynamics driven by lower consumption, investment, and supply-side contractions.\"},{\"question\":\"Which policy actions does the report recommend to support recovery?\",\"answer\":\"It calls for rebuilding fiscal space, strengthening debt management, and fighting corruption, with recovery accelerated through digital transformation, sectoral reallocation, and spatial 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does the report emphasize uncertainty about the pandemic’s trajectory in Africa?","Question",{"text":74,"@type":75},"It points to the ongoing spread of cases and the possibility of a second wave, informed by developments in Europe and the United States.","Answer",{"name":77,"@type":72,"acceptedAnswer":78},"What economic impacts does the report project for Sub-Saharan Africa?",{"text":79,"@type":75},"It forecasts contraction in 2020, a modest and uneven rebound in 2021, and renewed deterioration in per-capita outcomes alongside recession dynamics driven by lower consumption, investment, and supply-side contractions.",{"name":81,"@type":72,"acceptedAnswer":82},"Which policy actions does the report recommend to support recovery?",{"text":83,"@type":75},"It calls for rebuilding fiscal space, strengthening debt management, and fighting corruption, with recovery accelerated through digital transformation, sectoral reallocation, and spatial 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