[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"doc-detail-116133-en":3,"doc-seo-116133-105":31,"detail-sidebar-cat-0-en-105":93},{"code":4,"msg":5,"data":6},0,"success",{"doc_id":7,"user_id":8,"nickname":9,"user_avatar":10,"doc_module":4,"category_id":11,"category_name":12,"doc_title":13,"doc_description":14,"doc_content":15,"file_id":16,"file_url":17,"file_type":18,"file_size":19,"view_count":20,"is_deleted":4,"is_public":21,"is_downloadable":21,"audit_status":21,"page_count":22,"language":23,"language_code":24,"site_id":25,"html_lang":24,"table_of_contents":26,"faqs":27,"seo_title":28,"seo_description":14,"update_tm":29,"read_time":30},116133,687207017582,"Himbo","https://ap-avatar.wpscdn.com/davatar_994ba38a5ba835b3df7d355c54d3ed8d",8,"Research & Report","2052 - A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years","2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years presents a reasoned, systems-based outlook on how major global forces may evolve across the coming four decades. Grounded in an assessment shaped by economic, demographic, and environmental considerations, the book structures its forecast around interconnected “big issues” and a logic that connects assumptions to outcomes. It addresses sustainability transformation, slowing growth, shifting governance, climate instability, and the likely social and intergenerational impacts, offering a basis for judging midcentury expectations.","Praise for 2052  \n“This thoughtful and thought-provoking book will be inspiring, and challenging, for all who really care about our common future.”  \n—Gro Harlem Brundtland,  \nformer prime minister of Norway; leader, World Commission on Environment and Development  \n“It’s too late to wonder how different and refreshingly breathable the world would be if everyone had listened hard to Jorgen Randers forty years ago. The question now is if we’ll heed him this time. Here’s our chance. Please seize it, everyone.”  \n—Alan Weisman,  \nauthor of The World Without Us and Gaviotas  \n“A sober, cogent, and courageous assessment of a future not dictated by fate, or economics, or limits to technology, but by the most egregious leadership failure in history. But there is still time to change course . . . just enough time and no more.”  \n—David W. Orr, Oberlin College,  \nauthor of Down to the Wire: Confronting Climate Collapse  \n“This is an extraordinary and profoundly important book. Randers’ mastery of many fields is impressive, and he presents his ‘best guess’ future with clarity and force. As a result, he provides a challenging template against which we can judge our own expectations for midcentury.”  \n—James Gustave Speth, author of America the Possible  \n“Read 2052 and get the views of a great futurist—one with a fine track record of being right.”  \n—Paul R. Ehrlich,  \nauthor of The Dominant Animal  \n“An unconventional and lucid explanation of the likely macroeconomic developments of the world over the next forty years.”  \n—Lord Nicholas Stern,  \nauthor of The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change; chair, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change  \nand the Environment, London School of Economics  \n“With clarity, conscience, and courage, global-systems pioneer Jorgen Randers and his distinguished contributors map the forces that will shape the next four decades. Their sobering but far from despairing insights will encourage all who strive in applied hope to build a society worthy of nature’s legacy and humans’ potential.”  \n—Amory B. Lovins,  \nchairman and chief scientist, Rocky Mountain Institute; senior author, Reinventing Fire; coauthor, Natural Capitalism  \n[OceanofPDF.com](OceanofPDF.com)  \n[OceanofPDF.com](OceanofPDF.com)  \nCopyright © 2012 by Jorgen Randers.  \nAll rights reserved.  \nUnless otherwise noted, all illustrations copyright © 2012 by Jorgen Randers.  \nNo part of this book may be transmitted or reproduced in any form by any means without permission in writing from the publisher.  \nEditor: Joni Praded  \nProject Manager: Patricia Stone  \nCopy Editor: Cannon Labrie  \nProofreader: Nancy Ringer  \nIndexer: Margaret Holloway  \nDesigner: Melissa Jacobson  \nPrinted in the United States of America First printing May, 2012  \n10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 12 13 14 15 16 Our Commitment to Green Publishing  \nChelsea Green sees publishing as a tool for cultural change and ecological stewardship. We strive to align our book manufacturing practices with our editorial mission and to reduce the impact of our business enterprise in the environment. We print our books and catalogs on chlorine-free recycled paper, using vegetable-based inks whenever possible. This book may cost slightly more because it was printed on paper that contains recycled fiber, and we hope you’ll agree that it’s worth it. Chelsea Green is a member of the Green Press Initiative ([www.greenpressinitiative.org](www.greenpressinitiative.org)), a nonprofit coalition of publishers, manufacturers, and authors working to protect the world’s endangered forests and conserve natural resources. 2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years was printed on FSC® -certified paper supplied by Thomson-Shore that contains at least 30% postconsumer recycled fiber.  \nLibrary of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Randers, Jorgen.  \n2052 : a global forecast for the next forty years / Jorgen Randers.  \n[p. cm](p. cm).  \n“A Report to the Club of Rome Commemorating the 40th Annivers","cbCaieaRtgEqlmbc","https://ap.wps.com/l/cbCaieaRtgEqlmbc","pdf",5303375,5,1,404,"English","en",105,"# Contents\n## Preface: What Will the Future Bring?\n## PART 1: BACKGROUND\n## PART 2: MY GLOBAL FORECAST\n## 1 Worrying about the Future\n## 2 Five Big Issues toward 2052\n## 3 The Logic behind My Forecast\n## 4 Population and Consumption to 2052","[{\"question\":\"What is the central purpose of 2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years?\",\"answer\":\"It provides a structured, systems-based forecast of how key global forces may unfold over the next forty years.\"},{\"question\":\"Which sustainability-related issues are highlighted toward 2052?\",\"answer\":\"The book emphasizes a sustainability revolution and system-change dynamics, alongside shifts in capitalism, economic growth, democracy, and intergenerational equity.\"},{\"question\":\"How does the book describe the logic behind its forecast?\",\"answer\":\"It explains the forecasting approach through guided assumptions, a broad-brush narrative, a deterministic backbone, and the underlying data base that supports the story.\"}]","2052 - 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